Understanding the size of your target market can be the difference between launching a wildly successful product and sinking resources into an untapped and unprofitable niche. 

Accurate market size calculation is crucial to business success. It helps senior leaders navigate complex market landscapes and make informed strategic decisions. Understanding your market’s true potential is critical whether you’re planning to enter a new market or launch a product. Companies risk overestimating opportunities without precise data, leading to misallocated resources and potential failure.

Market size calculations grounded in thorough research offer brands a strategic advantage. By analyzing consumer demand, competitive landscapes, and market trends, brands can identify untapped opportunities and avoid costly missteps. This data-driven approach is especially important in international market expansion, where cultural nuances, economic conditions, and purchasing behaviours vary significantly across regions.

To stay competitive, senior leaders must leverage AI-driven predictive models, real-time data collection, and scenario analysis. These advanced tools provide a clearer, more dynamic view of market potential, allowing brands to adapt to changes in consumer behaviour, economic conditions, and competitive landscapes.

What is Market Size?

Market-sizing

Market size represents a business’s total revenue or sales volume within a specific market. It encompasses two primary components:

  • Total Addressable Market (TAM): The total demand for your product or service.
  • Serviceable Available Market (SAM): The portion of the TAM that is realistically targetable given your resources, competition, and market position.

While TAM offers a macro-level overview, SAM provides actionable insight, allowing you to focus on the areas with the highest growth potential.

Why Market Size Matters for Businesses

Understanding market size is essential for companies because it helps set realistic goals and growth strategies. 

Whether launching a new product or entering a new market, knowing the potential market size can inform decisions about product development, marketing efforts, and resource allocation. 

For example:

  • Product Launches: Calculating market size helps companies assess whether there’s enough demand to justify investing in product development. It allows brands to target segments with high growth potential, avoiding wasted efforts on oversaturated or declining markets.
  • Market Entry Strategies: For companies looking to expand into new regions, understanding the size of the potential market helps identify opportunities. It also helps tailor entry strategies based on local consumer behaviours, economic conditions, and competitive landscapes.
  • Resource Allocation: A clear understanding of market size allows companies to allocate budgets, staffing, and marketing resources more effectively. It ensures investments are directed toward the most promising opportunities, improving ROI and minimising risks.

Hypothetical Example: The EV Market in the Philippines

To illustrate the process, consider a hypothetical scenario in which a major global automotive brand is contemplating entering the electric vehicle market in the Philippines. The company begins by calculating the market size and analyzing the country’s growing middle-class population, increasing urbanisation, and government incentives for green technology. Based on these factors, they estimate the total addressable market (TAM) and the serviceable available market (SAM) for EVs.

The insights from this research allow the company to focus its entry strategy on urban areas with the highest potential for EV adoption. By strategically allocating resources toward infrastructure partnerships for charging stations, the brand positions itself as a leader in sustainable transportation within the Philippines.

This example demonstrates how understanding market size gives brands the insights to make informed decisions, driving success in product launches and market expansions.

Key Approaches to Calculating Market Size

Calculating market size effectively requires a combination of traditional methodologies and AI-driven models for dynamic predictions. Here are the key approaches and their application in today’s fast-changing global markets:

Top-Down Approach for Market Sizing

The top-down approach starts with broad industry data, such as government reports, and narrows it down to your target market. While useful for estimating large markets, it can often overlook local nuances and consumer behaviour specifics.

AI Forecasting Models:
Modern AI tools enhance the top-down approach by using predictive analytics to project future demand. These models analyze vast data sets, including historical market data, competitor trends, and consumer sentiment, to provide more accurate predictions.

Example Scenario:
The global automaker in our previous example entering the EV market in the Philippines could start by analyzing the $500 billion global EV market. By using AI models, they can refine their estimate to account for specific factors like EV infrastructure readiness, consumer preferences, and government incentives. This dynamic model would forecast how the market might grow over time, offering more precise insights than static industry reports.

Bottom-Up Approach to Determine Market Size

The bottom-up approach is more granular, focusing on data from local surveys, sales figures, and consumer interviews. It provides precise, actionable insights by starting at the ground level and scaling upwards.

Predictive Analytics for Consumer Behavior:
Predictive analytics, driven by machine learning, can analyze customer behaviour patterns from past transactions, providing dynamic insights into future purchasing trends. This allows brands to scale their bottom-up analysis beyond traditional surveys.

Example Scenario:
For a company entering the plant-based food market in Japan, real-time consumer surveys combined with AI-based behaviour analysis could reveal current consumption trends and predict shifts in preferences, such as increasing demand for eco-friendly or organic products. This insight allows for more accurate scaling of market size and better-informed product development.

Hybrid Approach to Market Sizing

The hybrid approach integrates top-down and bottom-up methods, offering a comprehensive view by blending industry-wide data with detailed local insights.

Scenario Analysis:
Scenario analysis allows companies to project different future outcomes based on various market conditions, such as economic downturns or sudden shifts in consumer behavior. This approach helps companies develop a range of potential market sizes, reducing reliance on a single estimate and improving strategic flexibility.

Example Scenario:
A beauty brand entering China’s cruelty-free market might use top-down reports estimating the total beauty market at $60 billion and supplement this with consumer surveys. Through scenario analysis, the brand could model how different factors, such as regulatory changes or social movements, might affect demand for cruelty-free products, resulting in a more adaptive market strategy.

Steps to Calculate Potential Market Size

Accurately calculating market size requires data, advanced tools, and strategic foresight. 

Below are four advanced steps for senior leaders to ensure robust and actionable market size calculations:

  • Step 1: Define Your Target Market with AI and Predictive Modeling

Identifying your target audience is essential, but doing it with predictive modelling enhances precision. Machine learning algorithms can segment your audience based on historical data, real-time transactions, and behavioural cues, helping you identify the highest-value customers.


For instance, in Japan, using AI to analyze the purchasing patterns of senior grocery buyers could reveal untapped market segments or emerging preferences, such as increased demand for organic products among older consumers.

  • Step 2: Analyze Market Demand Using Real-Time Data

Relying on static data is risky for brands. Analyzing real-time data—such as digital transaction flows, social media activity, or mobile app usage—offers a dynamic view of market demand.

Example Scenario:
In Vietnam’s fast-fashion market, brands could use social listening tools and real-time purchase data from e-commerce platforms to predict upcoming fashion trends. By analyzing how consumers interact with fast-fashion brands online, the company could refine its market demand estimates and optimise its product range accordingly.

  • Step 3: Identify Competitors and Leverage Competitive Intelligence

Understanding the competitive landscape goes beyond identifying your competitors. It involves leveraging competitive intelligence tools that track pricing strategies, product launches, and consumer loyalty in real time.

AI-Powered Competitor Analysis:
AI tools can continuously monitor competitors’ activities, providing alerts on market shifts, new product launches, or changes in pricing strategies. This allows companies to stay agile and adjust their market size calculations accordingly.

Example Scenario:
In Singapore’s online gaming sector, AI-powered competitor intelligence can track shifts in consumer preferences across platforms, allowing a new entrant to identify untapped niches within a highly saturated market.

  • Step 4: Estimate Market Value with Dynamic Forecasting Models

Traditional market value estimation methods involve static calculations of potential revenue. Today, dynamic forecasting models allow brands to estimate revenue based on real-time data streams and projected market conditions.

Example Scenario:
In India’s digital payment space, AI-driven models could analyze user transaction patterns, banking access, and digital literacy trends to offer projections that reflect current and future market opportunities. This allows companies to scale more effectively, planning for changes in consumer adoption rates or regulatory policies.

Common Challenges in Calculating Market Size (and How to Overcome Them)

Senior leaders and market researchers face several challenges when calculating market size, but these obstacles can be mitigated using advanced tools and strategies:

  • Data Limitations: Use AI and machine learning to fill gaps, generate forecasts, and continuously refine your data sets with real-time information.
  • Rapidly Changing Conditions: Invest in scenario analysis to account for multiple possible futures, preparing for changes in demand or economic conditions.
  • Regional Differences: Use localised AI-driven models to account for cultural, regulatory, and economic variations across regions.
  • Overestimating TAM: Use AI to break down TAM into more realistic segments and predict which parts of the market are truly serviceable and attainable.
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Actionable Recommendations for Market Leaders

Accurately calculating market size is not a one-time task; it is a dynamic and ongoing process that demands a combination of data-driven insights, predictive analytics, and strategic foresight. 

For senior leaders—brand managers, product managers, researchers and CMOs—leveraging the right approaches unlock growth opportunities and helps navigate complex market conditions. 

Here are key takeaways from our global research projects for strategic decision-making:

  • Leverage AI and Predictive Analytics

AI-driven tools should be integrated into your market research strategy to analyze data dynamically, predict trends, and continuously adjust market size calculations. Machine learning algorithms can track consumer behaviour in real-time, allowing for precise market size predictions, especially in rapidly changing industries like tech and healthcare.

Tip: Use AI to enhance traditional market size calculations by incorporating real-time data, predictive analytics, and automated updates. This allows for a more dynamic and accurate understanding of market potential. For example, predictive models can forecast how emerging technologies may impact digital payments or consumer behaviour shifts in fast-fashion markets.

  • Apply Tailored Strategies for Specific Industries and Regions

Market size calculations should be tailored to the industry and region’s unique characteristics. Each sector—whether technology, healthcare, or retail—has different market dynamics, while each region introduces variables such as cultural differences, economic conditions, and regulatory frameworks.

Tips for Tailoring Market Size Calculations:

  • Industry-Specific: In industries driven by innovation, such as automotive or tech, emerging trends and technological advancements are incorporated into market size calculations. In traditional sectors like retail, historical data and consumer behaviour patterns may provide more stable insights.
  • Regional Adaptation: For global companies, segment market analysis by region and factor in local consumer preferences, regulatory conditions, and cultural nuances. For example, a mobile-first strategy may be essential in the digital payments space in India, while sustainability and cruelty-free preferences may shape the beauty market in the UK.
  • Focus on Serviceable Market Segments for Realistic Growth

Overestimating the Total Addressable Market (TAM) often leads to inflated expectations. Senior leaders should instead focus on the Serviceable Available Market (SAM) and Serviceable Obtainable Market (SOM)—the realistic segments where your brand can effectively compete and capture market share.

Tips for Targeting Serviceable Markets:

  • Narrow Market Segments

Identify key market segments that align with your brand’s strengths and competitive advantage. Use detailed customer personas and AI-driven behavioural analytics to focus on high-potential groups.

  • Assess Market Entry Barriers

Consider competitive pressures, pricing, and regulatory hurdles to understand how much of the SAM is realistically achievable. For instance, new digital payment market entrants must analyze user adoption rates and infrastructure readiness to set realistic growth targets.

  • Adopt Scenario Analysis for Greater Flexibility
    Markets evolve rapidly, making it essential to develop agile, flexible strategies. Scenario analysis allows senior leaders to project multiple outcomes based on different market conditions—economic shifts, regulatory changes, or technological breakthroughs—providing a range of potential market sizes and reducing reliance on a single estimate.
    Tip: Model different market projections, such as how an economic downturn might affect consumer demand or how technological advancements could open new market opportunities. This flexibility allows leaders to adjust their strategies quickly in response to evolving market dynamics, staying resilient and competitive.
  • Leverage Continuous Market Research for Agile Decision-Making
    Relying on static, one-time market size estimates is insufficient in today’s fast-moving market environments. Continuous market research enables brands to stay agile, quickly respond to changing consumer behaviours, and seize new opportunities as they emerge.

Tips for Continuous Research:

  • Adopt Real-Time Data Tools

Implement tools for ongoing data collection and analysis, such as digital analytics platforms, AI-based social listening tools, and automated consumer surveys. These provide immediate insights into consumer trends as they develop.

  • Periodic Market Size Reviews

Regularly review and update your market size calculations to reflect current trends and external shifts. Dynamic forecasting models can help adjust strategies to respond to sudden market shifts, such as regulatory changes or competitive disruptions.

  • Collaborate Across Departments for a Holistic View
    Market size calculations should not be isolated within marketing or strategy departments. Instead, a cross-functional approach incorporating sales, finance, product development, and operations insights ensures a more comprehensive and actionable view of market potential.

Tips for Cross-Department Collaboration:

  • Engage Sales Teams

Sales teams directly contact customers and can provide valuable insights on demand patterns, emerging consumer needs, and market saturation. Their input ensures market size estimates reflect actual market conditions.

  • Collaborate with Finance

Align market size calculations with revenue forecasts. By collaborating with the finance team, brands can ensure growth targets are realistic, achievable, and backed by sound financial analysis.

  • Prioritise Data-Driven Decision-Making
    Data is the foundation of accurate market size calculations. Senior leaders should prioritise decisions based on robust data trends and predictive analytics rather than relying on intuition or anecdotal evidence. This approach minimises the risk of misallocating resources and allows brands to adjust their strategies as market conditions evolve.

Tips for Data-Driven Decision-Making:

  • Use Multiple Data Sources: Combine primary and secondary research, internal sales data, AI-based analytics, and third-party reports to build a holistic view of market potential.
  • Validate Assumptions Continuously: Regularly validate assumptions by cross-referencing updated industry reports, competitor analysis, and customer feedback. This ensures your market size estimate evolves alongside real-time data, allowing for more accurate and reliable forecasts.

Final Thoughts

Calculating market size is no longer a one-time exercise but a continuous process enhanced by AI-driven tools, predictive models, and real-time data. By leveraging advanced analytics, senior leaders can make more informed decisions, adapt to market shifts, and drive sustainable growth. With the right strategies in place, brands can confidently navigate uncertainty and capitalise on the full potential of their target markets.

Now is the time to invest in the market research services, tools and insights needed to refine your market size calculations and stay competitive globally.

Consumer behaviour is shifting more rapidly and drastically than ever before. Brands are trying to keep up with massive changes in consumer behaviour and preferences in virtually every sector, from groceries and fitness to banking and finance. Consumers continue to pivot their preferences and priorities with uncertainty, inflation, and an economic downturn. 

In the early days of the pandemic, an uncertain and dismal picture caused anxiety and depression, which led to panic buying globally. Those were short-term behaviours and did not last. However, many massive shifts due to the pandemic have stuck, including online shopping and the need for speed, efficiency, and convenience. 

The pandemic has changed certain habits for the long haul, with many consumers going to stores less frequently than before. Buyers are now more comfortable shopping online, and most consumers prefer a hybrid shopping experience combining the physical and digital worlds as convenience becomes paramount.

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With the growth of online shopping and technological advancements making online shopping as personalised as a store visit, consumers are exploring options beyond traditional brick-and-mortar stores and looking for a complete experience, be it physical, online, or hybrid. Businesses must adapt quickly to these changes and shifts in consumer preferences to remain competitive in a dynamic and ever-changing market. These changes have been taking place for some time, but the pandemic accelerated the rate of change unexpectedly. 

Some of the consumer behaviours that have drastically shifted post-pandemic are food and grocery delivery services. In the U.S., consumers did not regularly use grocery delivery services. According to some reports, about 15 percent of U.S. consumers tried grocery delivery services for the first time due to the pandemic, about 80 percent of those first-timers liked the service, and 40 percent said they would continue using it post-pandemic. 

While convenience and safety were the two reasons delivery services skyrocketed during the pandemic, the price will likely supersede convenience as we enter a time of out-of-control inflation. Consumers will try to make their money stretch further because savvy consumers know the premium they pay for using delivery services like Instacart. 

In this new economy, will they still be comfortable paying a premium and missing out on discounts for fuel when they don’t shop in person? 

Food delivery services also became more popular worldwide, and the takeout and delivery trend was rising. However, as people returned to in-person dining, food delivery apps took a hit. These apps will also follow the same path as grocery delivery services because when consumers buy from DoorDash, the prices are higher, and they cannot use vouchers. 

Many big retailers like Walmart are following shifts in consumer behaviour by offering pick-up and delivery with no markup on prices. Other delivery apps are double-dipping on price, and the consumer pays more than they would in the store. 

Brands need to understand that just as convenience and safety were top priorities during the pandemic, consumers prioritise value and price over everything else, given the current economic environment. 

The fitness market is also seeing massive shifts, and consumers now want an omnichannel approach to fitness, where they use at-home gym equipment and online classes and apps in combination with in-person classes. 

Many e-commerce brands capitalised on creating connections with their consumers by using hand-written-style notes to add to the unboxing experience.

Beauty and fashion brands made it easier for consumers to shop online by using machine learning and artificial intelligence to offer personalised suggestions, experiences, and Virtual try-on sessions using Virtual Reality to mirror an in-store experience. 

Brands need access to high-quality consumer data, insights, and business Intelligence to stay in the game, meet customers’ demands, and outpace the competition.  

In any business environment, enterprises need to clearly understand the psychology behind why consumers behave the way they do. Consumer behaviour is the study of consumers and analyzes how consumers decide what to buy, when, and how to buy. It seeks to understand the psychology behind consumers’ needs, wants, and desires and how they purchase, use and dispose of products and services. 

This study is critical because it helps brands understand the motivations and influences behind their purchases. It allows brands and marketers to develop the right products for the right audiences and market the product with the right messaging to convert prospects into buyers and retain them over time. 

Several factors come into play during the purchase decision stage, and these may include personal (age, culture, values, beliefs), psychological (brand perception), or social (friends, family, influencers, social media).

There are four types of consumer behaviour:

  1. Complex buying behaviour

This type of buying behaviour is associated with big-ticket purchases, like buying a home or a car, where consumers invest a lot of time and energy. 

2. Dissonance-reducing buying behaviour

This type of consumer behaviour is often seen when a consumer is highly involved in the buying process but takes longer than usual because they do not want to regret the decision. This happens when multiple brands are very similar, and choosing one is tricky.

3. Variety-seeking behaviour

This behaviour is exhibited by consumers who opt for a different brand, even if they were happy with their previous purchases because they value variety. 

4. Habitual buying behaviour

Consumers that purchase the same brand because of habit rather than brand loyalty are in this category. 

A grasp of the type of consumers your brand attracts will allow you to segment your market based on consumer characteristics.  

Marketers also need to understand buying roles and who is the decision maker regarding their specific product. In a family, for instance, the parents make major buying decisions; however, in some cases, young children are highly influential in the decision. In fact, unlike in the past, the younger cohorts, Generation Alpha (those born after 2010) and Gen Zs (those born between 1995-2010), make many important buying decisions regarding what they wear, eat, or travel. 

There are six major buying roles brands need to take into consideration:

  1. Influencer(s): Several people may be involved in the purchase decision in many cases, but they may not all be consumers. Influencers are those who can exert influence in the final decision. These could be bloggers in today’s world or friends and family whose advice commands weightage in the purchase decision. 
  2. Gatekeepers are usually family members who control the information flow regarding a product within a household. 
  3. Initiator: This is the person who first initiates the purchase idea. 
  4. Decider: This person has the final say in the purchase decision and decides whether or not to buy the product. He also may determine how and where to buy it. 
  5. Buyer: This is the person who ends up buying the product.
  6. User: This is the person who consumes or uses the product purchased. 

Consumer behaviour helps with market segmentation, as it goes beyond the essential demographic elements like age, gender, and location to explore the behaviour patterns customers exhibit when interacting with a particular product, brand, or website. This concept is instrumental in e-commerce and online shopping environments. 

Here’s how e-commerce brands use consumer behaviour to segment customers and users based on their level of engagement with the website, app, or product page. 

They segment or group their customers by their attitude toward their brand, level of brand recognition, usage, frequency and timing of purchase, and purchasing patterns or tendencies, like special occasion buying behaviour. 

This allows them to tailor their marketing messages and create compelling campaigns to achieve their goals. 

By utilising behavioural segmentation, brands can get a complete picture of their customers and filter them by the highest levels of engagement. For instance, brands can track those who regularly open their emails or visit their product pages. Marketers can also target ads with the most appealing messaging to customers based on their needs. For instance, an online shoe store can show those interested in athletic wear more running shoes and sneaker ads, and at the same time, serve ads with formal shoes for those interested in evening shoes. 

Another significant shift in consumer behaviour is related to a demand for personalised and customised products, especially amongst the younger cohort of Gen Zs. Using behavioural segmentation, brands can provide more refined personalised experiences to win business. Brands can gain deep insights into their consumers’ needs, wants, desires, challenges, preferences, and concerns to gain a competitive advantage. Upselling and showing complementary products and replenishment reminders based on customer history and interests can reduce cart abandonment and boost brand loyalty. 

The use of behaviour segmentation beyond the purchase also helps provide a high level of customer service to cement the relationship with the customer, leading to higher retention rates, more repeat business, referrals, and brand loyalty. 

Using behavioural segmentation, brands can unearth invaluable data and insights that may otherwise never have been discovered.

Understanding consumer behaviour comprehensively helps brands improve performance across channels to diversify their marketing efforts. Brands can use these insights to adjust brand messaging, packaging, design, features, pricing, and more to stay ahead of the competition and boost brand equity. 

Kadence International helps leading brands make game-changing decisions. If you are looking for a research partner to help better understand your customers, we would love to help. Simply fill out our Request for a Proposal here.

Just like reaching an unknown destination without a map is difficult, so is building a business strategy without competitive intelligence. 

Competitive intelligence helps brands shape their product development, distribution channels, pricing, messaging, positioning, brand promotions, and features. It allows brands to identify their challenges and opportunities in the market in relation to their competition, so they can see what their competitors are doing and differentiate themselves from them. 

What is competitive intelligence (CI)?

Competitive intelligence refers to any intentional research where brands collect, analyse, and utilise data and information gathered on their competitors, customers, and other external factors, potentially providing brands with a competitive advantage.

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When brands ethically and legally collect competitive intelligence, it can help boost the organisation’s decision-making capabilities. The goal of any competitive intelligence study is to create a business plan and strategy so organisations can make well-informed decisions based on market considerations.

Competitive intelligence goes beyond knowing the competition; the process is designed to take a deep dive to unravel the finer points of the competitor’s target markets and business strategy. 

Competitive intelligence plays a vital role in all major departments of an organisation and can take on a different meaning for each department or function. For instance, for a product development team, competitive intelligence may mean new features being added to products. For a sales executive, it may be helpful to know how to create a winning proposal. For leadership, it may be understanding the competitor’s marketing strategies so they can craft a plan to gain more foothold in the market.

Competitive Intelligence studies and exercises can be tactical (shorter-term) or strategic (longer-term). The goal of tactical competitive intelligence studies, for instance, can be to obtain insights into increasing revenues or gaining market share. At the same time, strategic or longer-term reporting focuses on significant risks, threats, and opportunities, present or emerging. 

A competitive intelligence study typically includes a wealth of information and insights from various sources, like government records, online mentions, social media, trade shows and journals, customer data and interviews, and traditional news media, to name a few. These sources are easily accessible and form the starting point for the studies. More in-depth information from distributors, suppliers, competitors, and customers is needed to make truly informed decisions. 

What are the key benefits of competitive intelligence?

There is no substitute for Competitive intelligence research when it is undertaken with care and diligence. It is a powerful tool for brands to gain market share, boost revenue, and continue to build the right products at competitive prices.

Here are some key benefits of using competitive intelligence for brands:

#1. Ability to predict patterns and emerging trends

As brands excavate an enormous amount of data and insights related to their competitor’s activities, they begin to identify and foresee emerging trends in the industry. This allows brands to gain deep foresight to make informed decisions and strategic business plans. 

#2. Aids in brand positioning

As brands gather insights and data about the competitive landscape, they also gain clarity on their activities and messaging. It helps them understand what works and doesn’t and cement their marketing. 

#3. Helps make more informed decisions.

When brands unearth information, they gain critical insights into how the customers feel about their brand and the competing brands. This gives brands a better view of their customers’ wants and how their competitors are meeting the needs of the target markets. 

#4. Boosts returns and profits

When you have a good understanding of the strategies and tactics employed by your competition and how they are performing, you will be better able to invest in areas that bring the highest returns, reducing risks and boosting profits.

Going back to the definition of Competitive Intelligence, we can see three necessary steps: “collect, analyse, and use competitor and market information to make informed decisions.”

Collecting data

There are many ways of unearthing relevant competitor data legally and ethically. Searching for information online may seem rudimentary, but it can provide invaluable information about the competitors and their activities. This information is readily available and accessible on the internet and is considered low-hanging fruit. With a few simple web searches, you can find great information on what the competitor is doing and what it has done in the past. You can also learn about product features, pricing, innovations, leadership, and important news and announcements relevant to your competition. There are tools that provide insight into the competitor’s search engine optimisation activities and their online advertising efforts. 

From here, brands often go deeper and beyond the internet to analyse target markets and customer segments. Brands use quantitative and qualitative market research to gain more market insight. 

Brands use data to analyse their competition beyond the simple search process. This entails going through endless data and making sense of it all can become cumbersome. This is where data mining comes into play. Besides gathering data from third-party sources, brands also gather human intelligence by interviewing relevant people, including customers and past suppliers. This is a time-consuming process and must be undertaken by experts in market research to ensure it is done ethically and legally.  

Analyzing data

Analysis of data is a crucial step in the competitive intelligence process. Once brands collect data, it needs to be analysed carefully to provide actionable insights. This allows brands to understand the patterns and separate them from the outliers. 

The analysis aims to uncover strengths, weaknesses, opportunities, and threats as they relate to the competitive landscape. Therefore, collecting and analyzing information from disparate sources is essential in verifying their authenticity and validity. This helps us move away from making assumptions and gaining real insights from more accurate pieces of data. 

Crafting a strategy 

Once a brand has enough verified data and information on its competitors and strategies, it can utilise it to differentiate itself and make informed decisions regarding product, price, messaging, and other essential aspects. It allows brands to weigh the competitor’s strengths, weaknesses, and opportunities in relation to their own to gain a competitive advantage.

For instance, pricing is an important area for differentiation but can only be done right if everything is studied and taken into account to find the right price that is profitable and aligns with the customer’s perceived value of a brand or product offering. Therefore, a successful price is not about pricing your product at the same or lower price than your competitor but positioning your brand as the choice that provides the greatest value. And to make that happen, you need to know the price of competing products and their perceived value in the buyer’s mind. This calls for a thorough study and analysis of the competing products, markets, and consumers. 

Today, e-commerce companies use sophisticated software for competitive pricing due to the market’s highly competitive and dynamic nature. Read more on how e-commerce brands utilise price monitoring software technology to track competitor pricing here.

To get the complete picture, brands may conduct competitive intelligence surveys. They can define their target audience and use various demographic and psychographic questions to identify consumer behaviour. These also include questions about competing products and services. You may also use ranking and rating type questions and identify any unmet needs or gaps in the marketplace or use open-ended questions to get a more in-depth view of the consumer’s mind. Brand recall and recognition surveys are also helpful in gaining consumer perception of various brands. For instance, a sparkling water brand may ask: “When you think of bottled sparkling water, what brand comes to mind first?” This can help brands discover how frequently their brand is mentioned compared to competing brands in the category.

When armed with the powerful insights gained through competitive intelligence, brands can be more strategic in all aspects of business, from product development to pricing and distribution. By differentiating themselves from competitors, they can gain valuable market share, grow brand value, and brand equity, and boost their return on investment (ROI).

India is a diverse country having 29 States and seven Union Territories covering more than 600 districts, roughly 8,000 towns, and more than 0.6 million villages. The villages are spread over 3.2 million square kilometres supporting 65% of India’s total population. There is vast heterogeneity in population characteristics due to socio-cultural factors, caste-based divisions, and religious and linguistic diversity. 

Specifically, in the Indian context, ensuring data capturing, and research methodologies are amenable to different languages, literacy levels, and differentiated access/familiarity with the internet is critical. 

For the above reasons, research and data collection become a challenging task and calls for a robust and representative methodology to mirror India’s diversity.

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Key Challenges in Research & Data Collection

Given India’s cultural and geographical diversity, some of the critical challenges for marketers and researchers in designing a survey for rural India are listed below:

1.   Reach: As per Census 2011, nearly 58 percent of India’s rural population resides in 115,080 villages having a population of 2000+. This effectively means that roughly 80% of the total villages in India are small or very small in size, inhabiting less than 2000 people. Looking at tapping rural markets, last mile connectivity with end consumers is a big challenge for FMCG players. Similarly, reaching the vast network of 33 million retail outlets in rural India is a challenge for companies, given the high distribution cost. Therefore, focused, and targeted reach is a priority in accessing rural markets. The survey design needs to factor in this critical consideration when designing the scope of research and sampling methodology.  

2.   Commercial Viability: It is estimated that 85,000 large villages in India account for 40% of the total population and 60 percent of the total consumption of FMCG categories. The skewness in demographic profile and purchasing power further limits the scope to cover the whole of Rural India for reasons of commercial viability. 

3.   High degree of heterogeneity: “A one size fits all approach” does not work well when designing a survey or methodology for rural India. For example, poor and backward States like Bihar, Uttar Pradesh, West Bengal, and Madhya Pradesh have more than 75-80% of their total population living in rural areas, whereas urbanized States like Tamil Nadu, Maharashtra, and Telangana and more equitable in terms of distribution. Therefore, each State has its unique demographic and socio-cultural profile, which must be kept in mind while designing the sampling methodology in any primary research survey. 

4. Gender Inclusivity: Females are vital consumers and influencers of product categories in Rural India, but men are likely to be key purchasers. Therefore, “whom to interview” becomes a pivotal question to answer while designing a survey. 

5.   Linguistic Diversity: India has 22 official languages besides numerous local languages, dialects, and colloquial words. Therefore, linguistic compatibility becomes essential for survey administration in Rural India. 

 Methodologies for Rural Research 

Some factors merit consideration while designing a methodology representative of the diversity of Rural India and are listed below:

  1. Regional Representation
  2. Adequacy of Sample Size
  3. Defining “Rural” and therefore a selection of villages 
  4. Other Imperatives

1.   Regional Representation 

In a vast and diverse country like India, robustly researching rural consumers requires reflecting heterogeneity and ensuring representativeness. For example, people in the North have attitudes and behaviours that are distinctly different from the population in the South. Similarly, other regions also have socio-cultural nuances that often colour their opinions and attitudes, especially on sensitive issues. 

Therefore, selecting Socio-Cultural Regions or SCR-s is often the starting point to decoding rural consumer behaviour. The regions make it easier to contextualize people and their behaviour for prevalent agrarian practices, social and cultural nuances, and crop-season-driven income and consumption patterns. 

2.   Adequacy of Sample 

The population spread for different States in India varies a lot. For example, the most populous State, Uttar Pradesh, accounts for almost 15% of India’s population. On the other hand, the tiny State of Goa accounts for less than 0.5% of India’s population. Therefore, in a pan-India or multi-State survey, stratification of a sample by State becomes essential. Generally, States are categorized into different population bands such as high population states, medium population states, and low population states. The sample is then fixed for each band in terms of their population size to ensure adequate representativeness. 

The sample size would also depend on other factors such as the granularity of data required within a State, and heterogeneity of population characteristics within a State et al.  

3.   Defining Rural 

The Census of India defines a rural village as a settlement that has the following three characteristics:

  • A population of fewer than 5,000 people
  • <75 percent of the male population employed in non-agricultural activities and 
  • Population density of fewer than 400 people per square kilometre

However, for commercial purposes, this vast and huge area coverage is logistically challenging to cover for any marketing company. Therefore, for practicality and feasibility, different definitions of rural are followed. For most companies, the “hub and spoke model” defines rural coverage as mapped to their distribution channels. They consider villages in the immediate vicinity or within a defined radius of the feeder towns. Last mile connectivity is a challenge for most companies in Rural India. Covering interior or remote parts of rural is not considered to be a viable option. Villages at the periphery of small towns/feeder towns that can be accessed easily become the “immediate” potential for targeting Rural India. This is also called the “Ringing Method” of village selection. 

The above has a profound implication for researchers in terms of designing a suitable methodology and, more importantly, for deciding on an appropriate sampling methodology for the research.  

4.   Other Imperatives: There are a few other imperatives that one must be cognizant of while designing rural research methodologies: 

o  Permissions: Before any fieldwork in villages starts, it is crucial to approach the village head called the “Sarpanch” to apprise them of the survey and its objectives and take approval to conduct fieldwork. This is a formal authorization from the village head that they have been informed about the study and grant their formal permission. 

o   Village Map: You are required to draw a rough map of the village before the start of fieldwork to understand the village’s layout and the critical physical structures —like the hospital, school, panchayat office, temple, or any other place of worship. The team supervisor generally does this exercise with the help of a local person from the village, such as the sarpanch/ schoolteacher or any other elderly person. As the rural dwellings/ households in a village are not structured or follow a pattern (unlike the urban dwellings), the maps also help sample and select clusters/households in that village. 

o   Use of colloquial terms: Given the linguistic diversity of Indian States, specific phrases or words have colloquial interpretations. Therefore, for ease of understanding and comprehension of questions by the respondents, it is generally recommended that local phraseology is inserted into the instrument basis inputs from an informed local person such as the schoolteacher. 

With the focus of multinational companies and marketers now shifting to rural consumers, rural market research in India will likely increase spending in the near future. It augurs well for market research companies to actualize this opportunity to sharpen their research methodologies with rural consumers in mind. At the same time, researchers should be mindful of some of the challenges of rural research, such as low literacy levels, low tech savviness, poor connectivity, and a heterogeneous population, while designing research methodologies for this group. 

Kadence International helps leading brands make game-changing decisions. If you are looking for a research partner to help better understand your customers, we would love to help. Simply fill out our Request for a Proposal here.

From one of the world’s poorest and most isolated nations, Vietnam has emerged as a force to reckon with for international investors. Now a middle-income country with a young population, Vietnam provides a wealth of opportunities for brands entering the country.

Owing to a rising middle class and a boost in manufacturing and exports, an increasing number of brands are eager to make an entry into Vietnam. 

It was announced yesterday that Apple is in the process of relocating Apple Watch and Mac production to Vietnam as part of a broader push to diversify its supply chain.

In recent years, Vietnam has shown immense resilience. At the peak of the pandemic in 2020,  when most other countries were derailed economically, Vietnam was one of the few countries to post GDP growth. In 2021, the country had a rough year, but the economy is expected to rebound to 5.5 percent in 2022.

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The government provides various incentives to attract international companies looking to establish local production and distribution of their products. 

This rapid growth and a consumer-driven modern lifestyle have set the stage for foreign investment. There have been shifts in consumer spending and behaviours, and an understanding of these changes and the cultural nuances of the local population are critical to successful market entry in Vietnam. 

So how can international investors and brands tap into this lucrative market?

Brands can conduct thorough market research to understand the market, culture, consumer behaviour, and economic and socio-political conditions to map out a successful market entry roadmap and strategy. 

Setting up and registering a company in Vietnam.

Setting up a company in Vietnam is a straightforward process, but knowing the options available and the specific guidelines and rules for foreign organizations is critical to success. The two most common forms of foreign-owned companies or legal entities are a Limited Liability Company (LLC) and a Join-stock Company (JSC).

Vietnam is easy to enter and carry out business in as it also offers 100 percent ownership of a company in most industries. Industries that have restrictions on foreign ownership require companies to enter into a joint venture with a local Vietnamese company.

As long as the business covers the expenses and can sustain itself, there are no minimum capital requirements for investing in most businesses and industries. All companies in Vietnam need a physical office address and at least one resident director with a local residential address. 

In some cases, you don’t need to set up a company in Vietnam as there are alternative ways, such as having a representative office or having an employer of record —a third-party service provider that recruits and manages employees on behalf of your company. 

Vietnam’s stable political climate and socio-economic conditions

A country’s political climate is an important consideration when weighing the opportunities and challenges of entering an international market. 

Vietnam is a unitary single-party state, which means there is only one political party; and the formation of other political parties is forbidden. This makes the political environment stable. 

Political stability is one of the most critical considerations in entering a new market. Protests and civil unrest are rare, with occasional demonstrations.

On the 2022 economic freedom index, with a financial freedom score is 60, and out of 39 countries, Vietnam is ranked 18th in the Asia Pacific region.

Hiring in Vietnam

Another important aspect of setting up a company in an international market is understanding the labour market —its laws, guidelines, and policies. 

Vietnam provides a labour force at a relatively lower cost. The Mekong Region, which includes Laos, Thailand, Myanmar, Cambodia, and some Chinese provinces provides, puts foreign brands in front of a vast, affluent population. 

Organizations that ensure equity and fair compensation and benefits attract high-quality talent. Brands should understand legal compliance and H.R. policies and even partner with local H.R. consultants to handle hiring, payroll, and other such functions. 

The role of Foreign Direct Investment in the growth of Vietnam

Foreign direct investment has played a pivotal role in transforming Vietnam from one of the poorest countries in East Asia to one of the fastest growing with a rising middle class. Vietnam’s massive untapped potential, a relatively cheap workforce, and abundant natural resources draw foreign investors to the country. 

The government’s strategy is to attract high-tech companies to the country, with a focus on four primary sectors, namely, manufacturing, agriculture, travel, and services. 

Furthermore, the government’s efforts to boost trade and investment through free-trade agreements make Vietnam an attractive market for foreign investors. 

Challenges and competition from other ASEAN countries

Second, only to Singapore, Vietnam was the most attractive destination for foreign investors among ASEAN nations in 2016 —a significant uptick in its rankings in World Bank’s 2018 “Ease of Doing Business” report from 82 to 68 out of 190 from just one year ago. 

Vietnam lags behind Singapore in most aspects, reflecting the need for more progress to become the region’s most attractive foreign investment destination. 

Some other risks associated with doing business in Vietnam include a weak banking sector and the boom in private sector investments.

The economy is poised to grow at a faster pace next year. According to a World Bank economic update from August 2022, Vietnam’s economic recovery sped up over the last six months. The strong rebound in services and manufacturing is driving this growth. GDP growth is forecast to surge from an estimated 2.6 percent in 2021 to 7.5 percent in 2022, which is even better news for International brands that have an eye on the ASEAN market. 

With a GDP of $5.15 trillion, Japan is well-positioned for international expansion and offers substantial business opportunities for brands in various industries. 

The country has dramatically bounced back from the disruption caused by the 2011 natural disasters, like the earthquake and the Tsunami.

Japanese motor vehicles and electronics are prevalent globally. It is also among the world’s largest producers of steel. 

The country is among the world’s largest exporters of motor vehicles and electronic equipment. The service sector makes up the highest percentage of the economy in terms of gross domestic product and employment.

Major Industries in Japan

Japan’s five largest companies by market capitalization are Toyota, Sony, Keyence, Recruit Holdings, and SoftBank Group. Sony’s portfolio includes a distinctly non-Japanese Hollywood movie and music business originally acquired through a merger and acquisition over 30 years ago. SoftBank, in recent years, has morphed into a massive tech fund run by foreign fund managers invested almost entirely in non-Japanese startups. Recruit’s new CEO spent ten years acquiring and growing recruitment businesses in the U.S. before his promotion earlier in 2022.

Japan is focused on manufacturing precision and technology products such as hybrid vehicles, robotics, and optical instruments.

Other industries prominent in Japan are agriculture, fishing, and tourism. 

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What makes Japan an excellent choice for international expansion

Large World economy

The third-largest economy in the world, after the United States and China, and the fourth largest importer of U.S. products, Japan is open for international business. It is also one of the world’s most literate and technically advanced nations.

Robust Consumer Economy

Japan has a robust consumer economy with a per capita income of $42,197 and is a haven for brands that want to expand internationally. Japan’s massive consumer economy, in which consumers with considerable purchasing power seek high-quality and innovative goods and services. 

Protections and Compliance

An essential member of the international trade system, Japan complies with the law, and its efforts to maintain the rule of law is one of the pillars of its foreign policy. It also provides intellectual property protection and rights. 

Easy and inexpensive to set up an office 

According to the World Bank’s “Ease of Doing Business” report, it takes about 11 days to incorporate. It costs 0.7 percent or JPY 60,000, (approximately USD 470 million), whichever is higher, and registration and seal fees. For companies that want to set up a branch office, the costs are low and procedures simple. Co-working spaces are also an option in bigger cities. 

Rapidly Aging Population

Japan is ageing fast. One in three people is estimated to be 65 years and older by 2036, conferring the title of the world’s leading “super-aged society.”



While the nation’s rapidly ageing and declining population pose risks of an economic crisis, it also presents massive opportunities. As a result of the declining population, individual income has risen, surpassing U.S. citizens.

Fewer people in Japan mean larger living spaces, more arable land capital, more disposable income, and higher quality of living. This fuels the growth in several industries, such as pharmaceuticals, healthcare, franchising, and real estate, to name a few.

Seniors in Japan are financially secure and healthy overall and big consumers of various products and services. 

Innovation and Research 

Japan reigns supreme in research as a nation with a large senior population. It has a goldmine of data on ageing, medical data, and medical assessments—these datasets are beneficial for local governments worldwide. The nation ushers innovation and technological advancement in many sectors. 

Just as countries can look up to Japan to help their ageing population and fill technological gaps, foreign brands can view this as a great time to expand and invest in such fields.

Significant obstacles to consider before entering the Japanese market

Entering the Japanese market is lucrative and full of opportunities, but it is not without many obstacles and challenges. It is noteworthy here that Japan is one of the few Asian countries that never had a western country rule over them, and this is because of Japanese are strong-willed and are rooted in tradition. 

Although tariffs are generally low, Japan has other barriers to entering the market that may hinder foreign products’ importation into the country. 

It is essential to factor in some of the most significant obstacles before entering the Japanese market. These hurdles can be measured against the brand and company goals to make the right decision and market entry plan. 

  1. Japan’s size makes it essential for brands to invest substantially, increasing risks.
  2. Japan is a highly competitive market, and domestic brands have a strong presence. Therefore, it is not easy to compete with local Japanese companies. However, thorough market research before creating the market entry plan can help brands overcome the challenge of competing with local companies.
  3. Japanese are discerning and look for value for money and high quality when making purchase decisions. Additionally, the Japanese culture and tastes are very different from the Western world. Therefore, brands have to redesign and redevelop their products and services to tailor them to local tastes and preferences in most cases. Market research and product testing methodologies can help brands create and tweak products to fit the Japanese lifestyle and culture.
  4. Japan has very little foreign investment for an advanced nation, keeping the Japanese business sector isolated. As a result, only about 3-5 percent of Japanese speak good English, which can be a barrier for some countries.
  5. Japan has a strong network of regulations, permissions, and extensive procedures as a bureaucratic country. These strict regulations keep new entrants from competing with established industries. However, these regulations are being slowly relaxed.
  6. Management and H.R. policies are very different in Japan, and organizations entering the country must consider and adapt to the management style in Japan, because failing to do so, is a recipe for disaster. 

Marketing to the Japanese consumer

Japan is a unique market, and it is crucial to understand the cultural nuances and the Japanese consumer. You cannot become a Japanese marketing expert overnight, and it is helpful to hire local advertising agencies when marketing in Japan. 

For the same reason as above, it is critical to regionalise everything. Labels on products and marketing and sales materials, digital campaigns, and the website need to be in the Japanese language.

The Pepsiman commercial is an excellent example of regionalizing a brand. When Pepsi’s Japan branch decided to create something regional for Japan, they contacted Travis Charest to create a superhero mascot to promote Pepsi. This faceless superhero managed to get a cult following in the country. They developed an action game for the Playstation and created several successful commercials using Pepsiman. 

Nike’s attempt to extend its marketing message to include social activism in Japan was met with criticism. Nike Japan released a video depicting the struggles of women athletes in Japan that faced bullying and racism, topics that are not openly discussed in the country.

Martin Roll, a business and brand adviser, says that Japanese consumers are not as vocal and will not express dissent unless they feel brands cross a red line. Therefore, it is important to have a deep understanding of the culture, the sentiment of the people, the root of homogeneity in Japan (post-Hiroshima Nagasaki, there was a focus on a homogeneous society), and how to carefully tread the delicate line. 

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XkFaQuhHOtw

As in any other new country, it is also essential to have a local marketing plan and calendar.

Distribution and Sales Channels in Japan

The choice of distribution channels depends upon the product. Due to space limitations, small retail stores often stock limited inventory, and wholesalers deliver smaller amounts more frequently. 

Culturally, the Japanese prefer face-to-face interactions and place a high value on building and maintaining business relationships. This distribution system is costly and increases the price of goods. The growth of big box stores and e-commerce is challenging this status quo. 

In 2021, approximately 2.25 million vending machines in Japan were beverage vending machines, selling drinks like cooled beverages or coffee. 

The primary distribution and logistics points are found in the major port cities, like Tokyo, Yokohama, Kobe, Osaka, and Fukuoka.    

Market entry strategy for Japan

Brands need to develop and maintain strong relationships with local partners to gain a foothold and succeed in the Japanese market. The local partner can act as an agent, representative, or distributor and manage a branch office or subsidiary in Japan. 

Since the business culture is unique in Japan, visiting the country several times before entering the market is good. This can help familiarise the organization with the culture and business climate. 

Japan has a stable economy and is a dream destination for foreign investment. The key to successful business entry in Japan is doing the leg work using market research to understand the culture, localise the product and messaging, and find the right partner to expand the given brand in this unique marketplace full of opportunities.

Emerging technological advancements are transforming market research forever. As many consumers move online, the way brands identify and understand consumer needs is being reimagined.

Many technology trends disrupt the market research industry —from data collection and new product launches to tracking brand performance. This blog post will focus on the breakthroughs in technology impacting brand tracking and product performance tracking.

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Brand and performance tracking refers to the process of continually measuring brand health over a period within the target audience. It allows brands to measure the performance of a product in relation to its competition. After a new product is launched, market research helps brands gauge performance to stay competitive. 

With consumers increasingly moving online, brands can tap into new, vast, and reliable consumer behaviour data in real-time. This has also made Direct to Consumer marketing much more common. Brands like Happy Human (Singapore), Dime Beauty (U.S.A.), Joi (Malaysia), Sleepy Owl (India), Recess (Philipines), Adopt a Cow (China), and Knot (Japan) have eliminated the middleman to create, develop, sell, and distribute their products directly to the end-user. The absence of middlemen and brick-and-mortar stores allows them to maintain quality and reduce prices. But this is not all. These brands also have the added advantage of measuring performance directly without employing market research across several retail outlets. They can discover brand sentiment directly, making them more agile, nimble, and competitive. 

While there is still a place for traditional research methodologies, technologies like machine learning, Artificial Intelligence, Virtual Reality, and chatbots continue to reinvent the market research industry. 

Let’s look at the primary technologies in brand tracking and competition analysis that are changing the face of market research. 

E-commerce brands utilise price monitoring software technology to track competitor pricing.

In the fiercely competitive E-commerce world, the key to outperforming the competition is tracking and monitoring the price competing brands charge for similar products and services. Brands need to keep a keen eye on their competitor’s pricing strategy and price changes over several products to stay competitive, and that’s not an easy task even for larger companies. 

This is where e-commerce price monitoring technology comes into play. 

Ecommerce price monitoring software allows brands to track their competitor’s price changes and dynamically adjust their pricing. 

By employing this type of software, brands can stay abreast with competitor pricing and adjust pricing based on demand, competition, and inventory levels. 

Many such tools are available in the market, including Minderest, Price2Spy, and Prisync, with sophisticated matching technology and high levels of accuracy. 

Market research utilises machine learning and A.I. for brand and performance tracking to revamp advertising and messaging. 

While some grey areas are associated with A.I. in other fields, the market research industry has embraced this technology.

One of the things brands need to track constantly is how their messaging is resonating with the target audience and how the market perceives their brand. This is because a brand is not just the logo and tagline. It is a sum of all parts and is an overall feeling that tells a narrative and evokes sentiment and emotion in the audience. 

Technology helps brands better understand brand performance and perception to inform better decision-making. It allows brands to measure and bridge the gaps between their intent and how the audiences interpret and perceive their message.

The use of A.I. in brand tracking has allowed market researchers to analyze qualitative surveys at a fraction of the time taken by manual data collection methods. Furthermore, this enables them to ask more open-ended and follow-up questions, find the right panellists faster, eliminate bias, write reports quickly, and significantly improve the quality of their surveys and reports. 

In today’s dynamic digital marketplaces, A.I. is powering brand tracking to gauge the changing consumer perceptions. 

Sentiment analysis is a sub-category of A.I. and N.L.P., which automatically uncovers feelings, emotions, and sentiments behind plain blocks of text. It is extensively used in brand tracking because it is efficient, reliable, and accurate. 

Over 45 percent of the world is on social media. There are about 500 million tweets per day, and about 1.96 billion people worldwide use Facebook every day. Consumers constantly call out brands on these social media platforms and review sites. It would be overwhelming and near impossible to collect data manually. Brands can effectively gauge overall brand sentiment across platforms and channels online using automated tools. 

For instance, when the popular ride-sharing service, UBER, launched a new version of its app, it used social media monitoring and text analytics to measure user sentiment about the new version of the app. Eye-tracking technology works similarly and can track users’ engagement scores and emotions on a website. 

There are several brand tracking tools available for brands. Candymaker Mars used one such tool that combines the standard digital video metrics, like view-through rates and skip rates, with facial expression tracking of the viewers while watching the ad using an A.I. algorithm.

While the tool measures digital behaviours, it puts enormous weight on gauging emotion and sentiment. This technology is essential to track brand performance in a world plagued with minuscule attention spans. It allows brands to obtain a complete picture of consumer perception. 

Many technologies use participants’ webcams to track their facial and emotional responses while viewing ads, providing invaluable data used to inform sales forecasts. 

Chatbots are aggregating vast amounts of consumer data.

The usage of chatbots as a communication channel between brands and consumers has increased by 92 percent since 2019. 

As many consumers shop online, they engage with chatbots, making them the fastest-growing brand communication channel.  

A survey found that up to 80 percent of users answered questions, three times higher than responses from email surveys. 

Brands like IKEA are using chatbots to gather valuable consumer feedback. Companies use Whatsapp and Facebook messenger to measure consumer sentiment and feedback efficiently. 

The use of brand tracking cannot be overemphasised. It allows brands to understand how their current audience perceives the brand. It can also lead brands to uncover until now undiscovered target audiences. 

With brand tracking software, brands can see the true impact of their campaigns. Brand tracking holds the key to insights any brand needs to thrive. Using the right tools and technology, brands can obtain actionable information about the brand perception among the target audience and how it scores against the competition.

A brand is one of the most valuable assets of an organization. It is, therefore, critical to continually measure satisfaction, awareness, and perception. Incorporating brand tracking into their marketing strategy can help brands understand their target audiences and consumer needs and make more profitable marketing decisions. Technology has made it easier to uncover massive data sets to monitor a brand effectively and accurately. By combining this technology with digital metrics, brands can increase their competitive advantage.

Market size is a metric that gets discussed a lot in the business world, but what is market size, and what does it actually mean?

There are many misconceptions about the real meaning of the term, which can result in people making the wrong decisions or failing to make the most of their strategy.

If you can accurately determine your market size, this gives you a significant advantage from day one. It allows you to secure better investments, make clear-headed plans, and avoid getting sucked into a strategy with no future.

In this article, we’ll break down the basics of market size and show you how to determine yours and differentiate it from other concepts.

What is market size?

Market size refers to the total number of potential buyers for your product. Alexa defines market size as “the number of individuals in a certain market segment who are potential buyers.”

More technically, it’s the total number of potential customers or sales in a given period (usually a year) or the total potential revenues you can reach in that time.

Why is market size important?

There are many reasons why you should be interested in your market size and how to determine it accurately. Here are some of the main reasons:

Gaining investment. 

Market size indicates the potential for any new business, product, or service. If you can show that you have a good chance of making money — and how much — it’ll be much easier to secure investment.

Develop a solid marketing and business strategy. 

Knowing who your market is, how big they are, and how much money they represent gives you a strong foundation for building a strategy and setting clear future goals.

Determine budget and hiring plans. 

Knowing your potential trajectory for growth helps you budget more accurately and hire the right team for the task ahead.

Budget better.

Use your R&D budget wisely by better understanding who your customers are, what they want, and how you can deliver it.

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How to determine market size

How do you actually figure out your market size? There are several ways to go about this:

  • Identify the target market for your product or service.
  • Carry out market research to assess the level of interest in what you’re offering — will people buy it?
  • Gather data on the number of potential customers and transactions per year. There are many secondary resources you can consult to help you do this.
  • Assess the total revenue generated in that segment of the economy in a given year.

Is your market size too small?

So — you’ve calculated your market size, but what does that number mean? How do you know if your business is worth pursuing?

The answer depends on the market and the size of your business, but there are some good general guidelines. Usually, $100 million is on the lower end, and if your market size is smaller than this, it may prove difficult to convince stakeholders or investors to get on board.

What is the serviceable obtainable market?

Determining your total market size is only the beginning, and this information alone is only worth a little.

You’ll only be able to reach some potential customers. No business has the marketing tools, scale, and budget to capture the attention of every person in their market. And that’s without even mentioning competitors. You’ll never corner an entire market, and the most you can hope for is usually a small slice. According to Tx Zhuo of Karlin Ventures, “If it’s 1 to 5 percent of the pie, you have a realistic plan.”

This is where we can turn to a useful metric called serviceable obtainable market (SOM). SOM refers to the potential customers (and potential revenue) you can realistically hope to reach with your marketing tools and budget.

So how can you calculate your SOM?

How to calculate the serviceable obtainable market

There are several ways to calculate your SOM. According to Jared Sleeper, an investor in early-stage companies, you can take three main approaches.

#1. Top-down. This approach relies on analysts’ predictions, forecasts, and assumptions about your market. It’s often based on conjecture and estimates to some extent. Consider statements like: “The wireless headset market is forecast to reach $2.5 billion by 2023”. It’s suitable for a general overview of the situation, but it’s a little vague and can be challenging to understand what proportion of the market you can realistically corner. 

#2. Bottom-up. This involves starting with your price and how many units you can realistically expect to sell. 

How many customers can you reach + how much is each sale = your SOM. 

It’s more tailored to your specific situation instead of a broad assessment of the whole market, so it’s a more reliable way to work out your SOM.

#3. Value theory. This final strategy is less precise, but it still has some usefulness. It involves considering the value your product or service adds compared to alternatives and estimating how much customers would be prepared to pay for that extra value.

Sleeper recommends options 2 and 3 since they consider the specifics of your business and how you would interact with the market, as opposed to a general prediction. 

It may make sense to use a blend of all three approaches to gain the fullest picture of your SOM and provide as much insight as possible to your stakeholders or investors.

Calculating market size is an important step on the road to building a successful business or launching a new product or service. However, it’s only one step. The metric on its own isn’t worth a whole lot unless you can also show how much of that market you can reach and compete for.


Market research is a crucial part of determining your market size, SOM, and laying the foundations for a successful business. To find out how Kadence can help you with this, take a look at our market sizing services or get in touch with us today.

It makes sense to open up new markets for a successful product or service. But how do you know whether it’s worth the investment? What makes for a potential buyer in your home territory might not apply in a new location where the total addressable market could be much smaller or many times the size. Enter the market researchers. We explain how to calculate market potential.

Estimating sales can be a chore even when you have historical and well-honed market instincts to work with. But in a new market this is even harder. There’s no historical data to review and it’s challenging to estimate the kinds of expenses and risks that might crop up.

An inability to judge sales makes the decision of whether to enter a new market much harder. Without a decent estimate – of both sales and likely profits – it’s almost impossible to decide on how you might enter and what kind of investment to make there.

What’s the market really worth?

The starting point is to get a handle on the existing market for your brand or product in the new territory. A basic market analysis is a great starting point. Typically it breaks down into:

  • Market sizing (current and future)
  • Market trends
  • Market growth rate
  • Market profitability
  • Industry cost structure
  • Distribution channels
  • Key success factors

But within each category, there’s lots to research. A more superficial look at the data can be helpful for a ‘first cut’ look at which new markets you might want to enter. But a deeper dive into the numbers will be essential if you’re going to properly evaluate the strategy for what looks like a high-probability candidate.

That more sophisticated analysis could take the form of a total addressable market (TAM) analysis. This looks at both the TAM itself, as well as serviceable available market (SAM). This is the portion of TAM that your company’s products or services play inside; and serviceable obtainable market (SOM), the percentage of SAM which your might realistically reach.

Best guesses?

But getting to SOM for a brand new market isn’t a simple calculation. It’s not exactly easy in markets where you’re a known quantity and understand the competitive environment, either! For businesses in mature categories and with previous experience of being a new entrant to markets, it’s possible to make educated guesses. This can be refined with local research on factors that might shape consumer behaviour.

In some industries that data might be possible to obtain – from industry associations, for example, or government agencies. In others – and particularly in product segments that a relatively underdeveloped in the market you plan to enter – sales figures might be harder to come by.

Then there’s the difficulty of calculating market share. You will know what it might cost in contracts, infrastructure and marketing to build share in existing markets. But the assumptions may be way off-base for a brand new market.

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Talk to people

At this point there are two avenues:

Research sales results that have been achieved by other companies like yours. They don’t even need to be in precisely the same line of business. The lessons of other companies looking to sell into the new markets can reveal both the optimum routes in, the barriers to adoption and the appetite for new brands.

That might even mean contacting other businesses to ask their experience of making the adaptation to the new market – as well as learning about potentially important busy and slow seasons, noteworthy business practices and quirks of the system that might not have a direct bearing on the size of the opportunity, but will allow you to adjust your assumptions.

Talking to local partners, however, is probably the best way of calibrating your expectations. Even if you plan to enter a market by establishing a local entity and investing in your own facilities and marketing, you’ll still be working with many different counterparties. This can span everything from local professional services firms such as lawyers and accountants, to warehousing, distribution or media buying agencies.

They ought to be able to offer anecdotal evidence at the very least; at best, they’ll have insights into the size of the market and chances of capturing that crucial market share. And if the route to market entry is contracting with a local distributor, licensees or franchisees, their sense of the opportunity could be invaluable.

But above all, rigorous quantitative and qualitative market research will reveal a great deal about attitudes and appetites for your brand or product. The more you can contextualise the hard data on existing spend and potential market growth with consumer insight, the more realistic your evaluation will be.

Focusing on behaviour

One other way to address uncertainties about how a new market might embrace a product or service is to think not about that category, or even look at domestic rivals’ sales and strengths. It’s to create a strategy based on consumer behaviours.

If you can analyse why your brand, product or service is successful in its existing markets and break down the results into some key motivators or even behavioural traits of your consumers, it might be possible to assess where those traits are visible in a new market before you enter. In what situations is your product used? What type of people love it? What are those customers’ attitudes across different domains? What role does it play in their lives – and why?

That will require some pretty deep insight into the market you want to enter. Clearly it’s a more useful investment to make if there are other positive signals to encourage you in – fundamentals such as infrastructure, spending power or pre-existing local interest in your brand or product.

How good is your cost analysis?

Knowing your potential sales, market share and growth are all important. But the scale of the opportunity isn’t just sales – it’s profit. And even seasoned businesspeople can misstep when it comes to keeping costs under control in their market entry strategy. Here’s a brief list of costs that won’t affect domestic-only businesses:

  • Shipping costs – which can also fluctuate wildly, as we’re finding out during the COVID-19 pandemic. Consider, also, capacity. Shipping out of markets with a high balance of trade deficit (Europe, US, UK) to major exporters (China, for example) is much easier than going the other way.
  • Legal expenses – from registering a business in a new location, sorting out licensing, contracts, the right insurance cover… and complying with local regulations on everything from product labelling to anti-bribery laws.
  • Foreign taxes – and other local accounting quirks, which might be different depending on your headquarters domicile and the mode of entry into the market.
  • Translation services – for everything from contracts and technical specs, to instruction manuals and marketing.
  • Recruitment and HR – even a light-touch market entry will benefit from putting some employees into the new market to oversee set-up and manage local relationships.
  • Travel expenses – for the above, but also for ongoing check-ins with local teams or business partners.

What do you know about rivals?

Some lucky businesses will find an overseas market where there are few local rivals, legal and business structures that allow them to port across their defensive attributes from existing markets and a ready but as-yet-untapped consumer base. But those will be rare. So to properly understand the market potential, you’ll need competitor analysis. Our typical approach to this considers:

  • Who are your rivals in that market? Not just currently selling what you want to sell, but addressing your potential customers, too.
  • What is their range of products? How easily might they change?
  • How do they pitch their consumers? What messages are they using? Which channels?
  • What is their competitive advantage? What’s their cost base like? What could you replicate – and where can you out-compete them?
  • What’s their market share? How fragmented in the competition? What opportunities does that present either in terms of the industry cost-base or even acquiring smaller rivals?
  • What is their company structure? If they outsource (for supply or support) or license (to address the market), could those be vulnerabilities increasing your potential strength?

In summary

A lack of prior experience and knowledge can make it challenging for companies to assess the potential of new markets. We help lots of business overcome this – not just through the use of primary and secondary market research, but also by having people on the ground in many countries and regions to add specific local knowledge.

This creates a much more rounded view of the market potential – and the optimum ways to tap into it – than simply applying a cookie-cutter approach to market entry. The key steps:

  • Understand the demographic and economic drivers that underpin the total market for your products or services.
  • Think laterally about the broader factors – such as the types of consumer and cultural attitudes – that dictate market size.
  • Analyse existing market activity to deduce a TAM, SOM and SAM.
  • Conduct consumer research to evaluate your specific opportunity in the market.
  • Competitor intelligence will help you test assumptions about potential market share gains.
  • Rigorous local insights into costs and risks will reveal the profit potential – the ultimate rationale for market entry

Find out more about our market entry services, read our expert guide to market entry or get in touch with us to discuss a project with our team.

How do you calculate your market size and the serviceable obtainable market??

Understanding your market is a crucial part of any business plan, allowing you to know how many customers you can reach and how much revenue you can generate. This will enable you to make more concrete plans and secure a budget and buy-in from key stakeholders.

Top-down market sizing is one of the two main methods we can use to calculate the serviceable obtainable market. In this article, we’ll look at what top-down market sizing involves, how you can use it in your business, and the strengths and weaknesses of this approach.

What is top-down market sizing?

When we calculate our serviceable obtainable market, there are two main ways to approach the calculation: top-down and bottom-up.

  • Top-down market sizing starts by looking at the current market as a whole, taking a macro view of all the potential customers and revenue. This is called total addressable market, or TAM. TAM is the entire market opportunity if no competition exists. Serviceable Available Market or SAM represents the portion of the TAM that a company’s products and services can serve. Lastly, the serviceable obtainable market, sometimes called share of market or SOM, is the piece of the SAM that can be realistically captured and served by your brand or product.
  • Bottom-up market sizing, on the other hand, is where you start with your product and the basic units of your business and work out how to scale them. Where can your products be sold, how much for, and how much of the current market could you command? You start small and build up to the result.

How to use top-down market sizing

To use top-down market sizing accurately, you should start with a macro view of your market and work towards a micro perspective.

The first step is to look at industry size estimates to find your product’s largest possible market size. Then, reduce it to a segment you can realistically target and calculate how many potential customers are in that segment.

For example, if you’re selling a payment management system for hair salons in the US, you’d start by calculating the total number of hair salons in the US. Then, reduce that to a smaller segment. You might remove salons with insufficient customers to justify a payment system. Finally, find out which salons you have already sold to or are already serviced by your competitors and are unlikely to buy from you, and so on, to narrow the total market and find your serviceable obtainable market.

Here are some tips for doing this process as effectively as possible:

  • Use reliable data sources. Some of the data that can help you calculate your market size is available for free or at low cost and can be obtained from analysts like Gartner and the Bureau of Labor Statistics. This can be supported by primary research to give you a rich picture of the market. Spend time analyzing multiple reliable sources to come up with an estimate.
  • Be consistent and clear in your approach. Make sure your calculations are well-documented and rely on the same data.
  • Ask lots of questions throughout the process. Who are our customers? Where are they located? Is the market growing? Aim to get as complete and accurate a picture of your market as possible.
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The top-down and bottom-up approaches — which one is best?

So, which approach is better? The reality is that each method has its pros and cons. What works exceptionally well for one business might not work well for yours, and vice versa. Let’s take a look at the advantages and drawbacks of each method.

Top-down market sizing: the pros

  • It tends to be faster than a bottom-up approach. Gathering existing data to estimate your market size is relatively simple, making it the best option to get a quick estimate of the serviceable obtainable market, which you can supplement with primary data later to reach a more accurate forecast. 
  • It works well for big, established markets with plenty of data and existing analysis.

Top-down market sizing: the cons

  • It doesn’t work well for new, smaller markets and disruptive products. If there’s a chance your product could have a disruptive effect on its market, this could significantly affect the serviceable obtainable market and render your top-down analysis largely meaningless.
  • The initial research relies on general information collected by others, so the data is vague to your business and situation. It’s a good general guide but needs to be supported by primary research specific to your particular market for greater accuracy. 

Bottom-up market sizing: the pros

  • It’s tailored to your specific circumstances and uses your data 
  • It’s beneficial for new markets and markets where your product will likely make a significant, disruptive impact.
  • It results in better forecasting and more accurate data on a more granular level, helping you better understand how your individual projects will make an impact.

Bottom-up market sizing: the cons

  • It can take longer and require more resources than a top-down approach, as a bottom-down approach requires much more in-depth analysis of your business.
  • It tends to assume there will be more customers than there actually will. This is important to look out for.
  • Any errors you make early on at the micro-level become compounded as you work up to the macro level. It’s vital to ensure you’re doing everything correctly, or these mistakes and misunderstandings will carry through your entire analysis.

Ultimately, using both models in your market sizing can be useful. If they both agree, you can assume you have a reasonably accurate market size estimate. The approach you opt for will also depend on the type of business you’re building and the product you’re selling.

Regardless of your approach, it’s important to do it right. At Kadence, we have many years of experience helping businesses with their market research and in sizing the market, and we can help you do the same. To find out more, get in touch.