Entering a new market can lead to a massive boost to sales, brand strength and long-term profits. But there’s more to a market entry strategy than great products or services. Understanding the local market – its distribution channels, culture, economic and social trends – through a market research-driven due diligence process is crucial. And sometimes the most valuable insight is the hidden reason why you shouldn’t proceed…

The art and science of market entry

Over the past 40 years globalization has redefined what it is to be an international brand. For decades, a handful of dominant players in markets such as food and drink (driven by marketing prowess) or automotive (reliant on economies of scale) had been able to enter new markets in ways that most businesses simply couldn’t imagine.

The rapid growth of global trade capacity, and particularly the ubiquity of the internet, has levelled the playing field. Today, a business in Bolton has myriad options for selling in Beijing; an Australian specialist retailer has lots of ways into the Austrian market.

But the process of choosing which markets to enter, how and why remains fraught with danger. The rewards of opening up a new market are potentially great. On the other hand, the cost can be significant, and the list of powerful global brands that have failed to successfully enter new markets is a long.

The factors to consider are varied: there are economic and social dimensions, competition from local companies, the quirks of regional distribution channels, cultural mismatches… and much more. That means undertaking a market-research-driven due diligence project before entering a new market is a must.

Why look elsewhere? The reasons for market entry

What motivates companies to investigate entering a new market? Every organization will have its own reasons. Exploring them in detail is a useful first step in defining the later market entry strategy.

Brand growth 

A huge proportion of value in modern enterprises is wrapped up in intangibles. That means increasing enterprise value requires diversification of the brand. Some very strong domestic brands can move into adjacent markets (Dyson, for example, can leverage its reputation for air-moving engineering from vacuums, to hand-dryers, to room fans and even hair straighteners). A select few can jump into non-adjacent categories (Virgin, for example). But opening up a whole new geographic market can establish a brand with many more consumers, boosting its value.

Saturation of existing markets

Once you have gained significant market share and consumer penetration domestically, it’s easy to see growth stall. Launching new products to address existing customers is costly and high risk. But taking proven products or services to a new market can create fresh upside for growing brands.

Optimizing overhead costs

As businesses grow, they build up overheads – around head office functions, for example. They also build up niche skills and experience – in fields such as logistics, legal or financial. These scale well: the more times you can put your experts to work in a new market, the more productive they are. And the more markets you have, the lower the amount each one pays to meet head office costs.

Strategic partnership

Globalization has meant businesses can easily work with partners in new markets – creating new opportunities for blended products and services. Local distributors, for example, might be pathfinders for a brand into a new market – demonstrating the potential for a more structured entry into that market.

There are plenty of other motivations, often overlapping. Knowing which is driving the decision to explore new markets will help frame the strategy for successfully entering one.

A phased approach to market entry

There are different phases to a market entry project. You need to size the opportunity to judge whether it’s worth entering a new market. There ought to be concept testing, especially for new categories or innovations in that market. Many clients focus on competitor analysis when they’re dealing with less well-known rivals.

Market entry has many dimensions – and no business is too big to skip them.

We work with a number of high-profile Japanese brands, global names that are already present in different countries in some form of another. But they still need to tailor particular products or brands to the local markets they’re looking to exploit; and understand the specific needs of consumers in those categories.

Market entry projects usually involve a series of questions, and typically each of these is a discrete engagement.

Key questions for any market entry project

  1. Which markets might we look at?
  2. What is the macro environment like in a market we want to enter?
  3. How does the competitive landscape affect its attractiveness?
  4. What is the best way to enter the market in practical terms?
  5. How do we adjust our product, service or messaging to optimize our offer there?

While market entry studies are a vital tool in successfully growing a brand somewhere new, sometimes their value comes from showing that entering a new market will not be successful. Around 50% of these projects results in a recommendation not to go ahead as planned. That finding can emerge at any one of the stages above. Far from being bad news, it’s often the most valuable insight a brand can get. Market entry can be costly and complex – not doing so when the conditions aren’t right can save massive amounts of money and time.

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The world is your oyster. But where’s the pearl?

A crucial first step in investigating markets for entry is to analyze why a brand, product or service is successful in its existing markets. How is it used? Who are the type of people that love it? What are those customers’ attitudes across different domains? What role does it play in their lives – and why?

The next step is to look for markets where groups like this already exist. A good starting point can be detailed desk research – using tools like the CIA World Factbook for demographic information, or understanding cultural similarities to your home market through cultural awareness studies like the Hofstede Insights Culture Compass. But ultimately, it’s approaches developed precisely for the brand or product that will reveal good matches. Narrowing down the high-probability markets is hugely valuable for brands that don’t have other clues to go on.

Sometimes brands do have a clear idea from the outset which markets they want to enter. We worked with a company producing ceramics which had a light-touch arrangement with an international distributor. They started to notice a significant uptick in orders from Korea – which was obviously a strong signal that entering that market could pay dividends.

But that also meant understanding why was key to a successful market entry. Closer research revealed that an increase in purchasing power among the country’s middle class had made the designs more attractive; plus online shopping had taken hold and made previously hard-to-get products more visible.

Target acquired. Now what? Next steps in a market entry project

Specific country research starts with fundamental market insight and competitor intelligence work. Initially, that’s secondary research, analyzing available insights for the particular category in question. After that, we might move on to interviewing people whose knowledge of the market will provide more nuanced insights.

Companies usually see this as their feasibility study, helping them understand who else is operating in their category, what regulations might be applicable, what the domestic distribution and supply chain infrastructure is like, and what investment they’re likely to need to make under different scenarios.

That industry analysis and expert insight helps generate a strategic overview of the market tailored to the client. Often that’s enough to substantiate the decision on whether and how to enter a market, especially if it’s a close match with the brand’s existing markets.

A good example is some work we did with an electronics brand looking to launch a new product in the US. The group already has a huge presence in America – but not for its new product, a battery system for domestic renewable electricity.

Our project involved interviewing a range of potential stakeholders – such as real estate developers, housing associations, planning authorities and environmental regulators – to get a holistic view of how that market might evolve. That enabled the client to take a realistic view of both the existing appetite for the product and current regulations; and how the landscape might change as they developed the product.

It’s not uncommon for a company to walk away at this point – there might be competitive, regulatory or infrastructure barriers that no mode of entry can overcome cost-effectively.

Frameworks to assess a new market

A structured framework can be valuable in assessing a new market. You might see great consumer interest – but if the regulatory stance is hostile, you have to think twice. One way of conducting a thorough overview of a market to pick up all those factors is to analyze the environment through different PESTLE lenses:

PESTLE

  • Political – how stable is the country? What’s the prevailing ideology? What biases – intervention in markets, say, or taxation – do politicians have?
  • Economic – how rich is the country? How is wealth distributed? What’s growth like, and where is it likely to continue?
  • Social – what’s the culture in the country? What are the typical social structures – family, work, community? What about religious norms? Education levels?
  • Technological – what’s the infrastructure like? How wired is the country? How lumpy is technology penetration? What about population ‘techiness’?
  • Legal – what rules are there about business ownership? How about liability laws? What recourse do overseas businesses have in the courts?
  • Environmental – how might the local climate affect the product or service? What about use of resources? Or end-of-life disposal of products?

Porter’s Five Forces

The next step is to get a grip on the competitive landscape, and that’s where tools such as Porter’s Five Forces come in. Michael Porter worked at Harvard University, and in 1979 he published a paper aiming to describe the ‘microenvironment’ for the attractiveness of any given industry – or, in this case, a new market.

There are three forces from ‘horizontal’ competition:

  • The threat of substitute products or services – what’s the alternative to your own offering that people might use? How are they achieving the same goals now, and what might shift their views?
  • The threat of established rivals – bearing in mind that in a new market for you, there will be lots of players who know how to operate there better than you do.
  • The threat of new entrantsbeing a new entrant to a market doesn’t mean others won’t follow, too. And if you’re establishing a new category in a market, that might tempt others in, or prompt local businesses to muscle in.

Two forces come from ‘vertical’ competition:

  • The bargaining power of suppliers – opening up a new market might help you gain economies of scale from higher sales volumes. But it also makes you more reliant on suppliers – especially around issues such as logistics.
  • The bargaining power of customers – understanding the broader competitive landscape will help you see what choices customers have; but, especially in the initial phases, they might need to be tempted to switch brands or try a new category.

Digging into the nuances

Those kinds of analytical tools mean companies can enter a new market with their eyes wide open. But they’ll still need to develop a sophisticated view of customers, competitors and regulations – the kind of insights that will tell them how they might enter a market, not just whether it’s a good idea.

That’s when they’ll commission more in depth market research and run projects like a market segmentation analysis to dig deeper into nuances they can exploit later to optimize their market entry.

At this point, they’ll be starting to research more detail on potential partners; exactly how they would use infrastructure to import, manufacture and distribute in that market; what specific customer niches exist; and even financial planning to take into account the kind of regulatory and cost-of-trade analysis they revealed in the feasibility study.

But above all they need to understand how their brand might be received. It’s not a given that you can simply transplant over your image or core messages.

Culture and behavior: getting the key variables right

Cultural fit is hugely important. In this phase of the project, we would drill down into the local factors that might help a brand; or create barriers for its acceptance. This is typically a traditional market research exercise, exploring the behavioral aspects of consumers in the new market.

For example, we worked with a Japanese food manufacturer looking to expand into new Asian markets. But in the Philippines, it quickly became clear that there was no appetite for the more subtle flavorings and preservatives in the Japanese product. It was the perfect case of a potentially costly market entry being avoided through strong research findings.

That’s a lesson Pret a Manger learned in Japan, where it opened 14 sandwich shops across greater Tokyo in 2003. Just 18 months later, the company withdrew after its local partner, McDonald’s Japan, pulled out citing heavy losses. Superficial research indicated that Japanese people would love the convenience and novelty of eating-on-the-go sandwiches. But once the novelty wore off, sales dipped quickly. That combination of financial and cultural barriers hadn’t been picked up.

Speaking the language

As well as deciding whether the consumer will use the product, it’s important to explore the way in which it’s marketed. This is particularly important for brand with an established global image – the logos, slogans and even color palettes that they’ve invested in heavily to define themselves – because those might have unexpected connotations in a new culture. Take, for example, the beauty treatment marketed in Japan as “for clear skin” – which translated elsewhere in Asia as “ghostliness”.

There have been plenty of cases of companies that didn’t do their market research with disastrous consequences:

  • Clairol’s ‘Mist Stick’ curling iron flopped in Germany: ‘Mist’ is slang for manure.
  • Coors’s slogan ‘Turn It Loose’ translated into Spanish is slang for diarrhoea.
  • KFC is known globally for being ‘finger-licking good’ – which translated as ‘eat your fingers off’ in China.
  • Also in China, ‘Pepsi Brings You Back to Life’ was interpreted as ‘Pepsi Brings You Back from the Grave.’

But rival Coca Cola entered the China market much more deftly. Initially, signs produced by local distributors for ‘ko-ka-ko-la’ (using symbols for the closest phonetic translation) were translated as ‘bite the wax tadpole’. But the company was developing its own local brand positioning, and settled on the symbols ‘K’o-K’ou-K’o-lê’ – which means ‘to allow the mouth to be able to rejoice,’ a far more apt trademark that it registered in 1928.

The money question – how to approach pricing

The other marketing fundamental that research can steer is pricing – a factor every market entry project needs to examine. Where is the competitive price point for consumers in the new market? What volumes and margins might you expect, based on the market opportunity? How does the new market stack up cost-wise – are you importing or manufacturing locally, for example – and what does that do to your opportunity to flex prices?

More broadly, the profitability of different business models often dictates whether and how to enter a new market at all. For some businesses there’s relatively little financial penalty to operating exclusively through local distributors. But at a certain point, issues such as volume of sales, cost of distribution, tariff levels, changes to local taxes and so on will shift the financial rationale. For example, we’ve already seen many UK businesses enter EU markets directly as a mean of offsetting post-Brexit tariffs, staffing, distribution and other costs.

The financial calculations can also dictate the viable means of getting into a market. At one level, that’s purely a ‘treasury’ consideration. How will profits be repatriated? What are the currency risks associated with the new market? How does banking and taxation work there? But how much you can control the brand locally – rather than relying on local agents – is also a factor. (We’ll look at the different modes for entering new markets in more detail in a separate guide.)

Know when to hold… and when to fold

All these factors are a reminder that even strong and established global brands don’t always have an easy time expanding into a new market. They might have some leverage with their global brand name. They have the resources to invest in market penetration. But to do so effectively – and without incurring higher opportunity costs elsewhere – they need data and insights to ensure their entry is tailored.

Even brands that take precautions to adapt to local culture can miss valuable clues as to their viability in a new market. Starbucks famously waited 47 years to open its first branch in Italy – wary of the very particular approach to coffee there. In 2018, its first shop opened in Milan. But the brand has struggled in the country. Limited research into new markets had affected the brand before, with its Australian business failing to meet the demands of local coffee-lovers; its Israeli operation closed in 2003 within two years of launch.

Granular, holistic research is the key

To gain the right insight to inform your market entry strategies, you’ll need to work with external agencies. For some very fast-growing and global brands, there might be a case for building an in-house team with the kind of expertise and experience needed to evaluate new markets in sequence. But when it comes to local research expertise and cultural understanding, the insights can often be two-dimensional.

McDonald’s Japan is a great example of using local insight to tailor what is, on the face of it, a universal brand. Every country has their tiny variations in the McDonald’s menu. But visitors to Tokyo will find radical departures such as Ebi Filet-o (a burger with breaded shrimp); Teriyaki McBurger; and even chocolate fries.

For many businesses – and business models – international expansion is likely to be a multi-year project with long pauses. That means bringing agencies to advise and evaluate each market entry is the only practical solution – especially if they bring specific knowledge on particular markets to bear.

At Kadence, with offices spanning Europe, the US and Asia Pacific, we are well positioned to support brands with market entry research. Find out more about our market entry services or get in touch to discuss a potential project.

How do you calculate your market size and the serviceable obtainable market??

This is a crucial part of any business plan, allowing you to gain a clear idea of how many customers you can potentially reach and how much revenue you can generate. This allows you to make more concrete plans and secure budget and buy-in from key stakeholders..

Top-down market sizing is one of the two main methods we can use to calculate the serviceable obtainable market.  In this article, we’ll take a look at what top-down market sizing involves, how you can use it in your own business, and the strengths and weaknesses of this approach.

What is top-down market sizing?

When we calculate our serviceable obtainable market, there are two main ways to approach the calculation: top-down and bottom-up.

  • Top-down market sizing starts by looking at the current market as a whole, taking a macro view of all the potential customers and revenue, and then narrowing it down to a section you can realistically target. This gives you your serviceable obtainable market, (SAM).
  • Bottom-up market sizing, on the other hand, is where you start with your own product and the basic units of your business and work out how you can scale them. Where can your products be sold, how much for, and how much of the current market could you command? You start small and build up to the result.

What is Serviceable Obtainable Market or SAM?

The SAM refers to the portion of the total addressable market (TAM) that a company or business can realistically target and serve. It represents the market segment that aligns with the company’s resources, capabilities, and competitive positioning. The SAM is determined by considering factors such as geographical scope, customer demographics, and market demand.

In the context of top-down market sizing, the SAM is the result of narrowing down the initial macro view of the market to a segment that the company can effectively target. It represents the potential customers and revenue that the company can realistically obtain within its market segment. The SAM is an essential metric in market research as it helps businesses understand the true size and growth potential of their target market.

What is Total Addressable Market or TAM?

The Total Addressable Market (TAM) represents the entire demand for a specific product or service within a particular market or industry. It is the maximum potential revenue that can be achieved if a company were to capture 100% market share, considering all potential customers and their willingness to purchase.

TAM provides an estimation of the market size and serves as a starting point for market analysis and business planning. It encompasses all potential buyers who have a need for the product or service, regardless of whether they are currently being served by existing competitors or are aware of the product’s existence.

Calculating TAM involves considering various factors such as market demographics, geographic scope, industry trends, and customer behavior. TAM helps businesses understand the market’s overall revenue potential and serves as a benchmark against which to evaluate their market share and growth opportunities.

It’s important to note that TAM represents the theoretical market size and may not be fully reachable or realistic for a company due to constraints such as competition, resources, and market saturation. Nevertheless, TAM serves as a valuable reference point for strategic decision-making, market segmentation, and assessing a company’s growth potential within a specific market.

How to use top-down market sizing

To use top-down market sizing accurately, you should aim to start with a macro view of your market and work towards a micro view.

The first step is to look at industry size estimates to find the largest possible market size for your product. Then, reduce it to a segment that you can realistically target, and then calculate how many potential customers are in that segment.

For example, if you’re selling a payment management system for hair salons in the US, you’d start by calculating the total number of hair salons in the US. Then, reduce that to a smaller segment — how many of those salons have enough customers to justify a payment system? Finally, find out which ones you have already sold to, or which ones are already serviced by competitors and unlikely to buy from you, and so on, to find your serviceable obtainable market.

Here are some tips to do this process as effectively as possible:

  • Use reliable data sources. Some of the data that can help you calculate your market size is available for free or at low cost and can be obtained from analysts like Gartner and the Bureau of Labor Statistics. This can be supported by primary research to give you a rich picture of the market. Spend some time analyzing multiple, reliable sources to come up with an  estimate..
  • Be consistent and clear in your approach. Make sure your calculations are well-documented and rely on the same data.
  • Ask lots of questions throughout the process. Who are our customers? Where are they located? Is the market growing? Aim to get as full and accurate a picture of your market as possible.
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What factors to consider when using market sizing

When deciding which approach to use for market sizing, it’s essential to consider various factors that align with your business, product, and market dynamics. Here are some considerations to help you choose the most suitable approach:

  1. Market maturity: If you are entering an established and well-researched market with ample data available, a top-down approach might be more appropriate. The existing market data can provide a solid foundation for estimating market size and potential customers.
  2. Product uniqueness and disruption: If your product or service is innovative, disruptive, or targets a niche market, a bottom-up approach can be advantageous. This approach allows you to analyze specific customer segments, understand their unique needs, and project adoption rates more accurately.
  3. Available data and resources: Consider the availability and reliability of data sources. Top-down market sizing heavily relies on existing market research and industry reports. If comprehensive data is readily available, a top-down approach can provide a quick estimate. On the other hand, if you have access to internal data, customer insights, or primary research capabilities, a bottom-up approach using your own data can yield more accurate results.
  4. Granularity and specificity: Depending on your business objectives, you may need a more detailed understanding of your target market. In such cases, a bottom-up approach allows for a more granular analysis, enabling you to assess market segments, customer behaviors, and potential adoption rates on a more specific level.
  5. Time and resource constraints: Consider the time and resources you have available for market sizing. Top-down approaches are generally faster, as they rely on existing data and industry research. Bottom-up approaches require more in-depth analysis and data collection, which may be time-consuming. Evaluate the trade-offs between accuracy and the resources you can allocate to the market sizing process.

Ultimately, the choice between top-down and bottom-up approaches depends on your business context, market characteristics, and the level of precision required for decision-making. In some cases, using a combination of both approaches can provide a more comprehensive view of the market size and potential opportunities.

Remember, market sizing is an iterative process, and as your business evolves and gathers more data, you can refine and update your estimates using the most suitable approach for each stage of growth.

The top-down and bottom-up approaches — which one is best?

So, which approach is better? The reality is that each method has its pros and cons. What works extremely well for one business might not work well for yours, and vice versa. Let’s take a look at the advantages and drawbacks of each method.

Top-down market sizing: the pros

  • It tends to be faster than a bottom-up approach..  The process of gathering existing data to estimate your market size isn’t enormously time-consuming, making it .  the best option to get a quick estimate of the serviceable obtainable market, which you can supplement with primary data at a later date to reach a more accurate forecast. .
  • It tends to work well for big, established markets, where there is already plenty of data and existing analysis

Top-down market sizing: the cons

  • It doesn’t work as well for new, smaller markets and disruptive products. If there’s a good chance your product could have a disruptive effect on its market, this could significantly affect serviceable obtainable market and render your top-down analysis largely meaningless.
  • The initial research relies on general information collected by others, so the data isn’t specific to your business and situation. It’s a good general guide, but does need to be supported by primary research that’s specific to your particular market for greater accuracy. 

Bottom-up market sizing: the pros

  • It’s tailored to your specific circumstances and uses your own data 
  • It’s especially useful for new markets and markets where your product is likely to make a big, disruptive impact
  • It tends to result in better forecasting and more accurate data on amore granular level, helping you better understand how your individual projects will make an impact

Bottom-up market sizing: the cons

  • It can take longer and require more resources than a top-down approach, as a bottom-down approach requires much more in-depth analysis of your own business.
  • It has a tendency to assume there will be more customers than there actually will. This is important to look out for.
  • Any errors you make early on at the micro-level become compounded as you work up to the macro-level. It’s important to ensure you’re doing everything the right way, or these mistakes and misunderstandings will carry through your entire analysis.

Examples of Top-down and Bottom-up Market Sizing

To provide a clearer understanding of top-down and bottom-up market sizing, let’s explore some real-world scenarios:

  1. Top-down market sizing example: Imagine you are launching a new line of organic skincare products. To calculate your serviceable obtainable market (SAM) using a top-down approach, you would start with a macro view of the market and narrow it down. Here’s a step-by-step breakdown:
  • Step 1: Begin with industry size estimates: Research industry reports and studies to determine the total skin care market size.
  • Step 2: Identify your target segment: Narrow down the market to a specific segment that aligns with your organic skincare products, such as “organic skincare for sensitive skin.”
  • Step 3: Calculate potential customers: Determine the number of potential customers within your target segment. For instance, you might find that there are 5 million people in your target market based on demographics and consumer behavior analysis.
  • Step 4: Refine the SAM further: Consider factors like geographical location, purchasing power, and competition to determine the portion of the target market that you can realistically capture.

By following this top-down approach, you can estimate the SAM for your organic skincare products and make informed decisions about market entry and potential revenue.

  1. Bottom-up market sizing example: Let’s say you’re a software startup developing a productivity app for freelancers. To perform bottom-up market sizing, you would start with your own product and gradually build up:
  • Step 1: Identify your target audience: Determine the specific segment of freelancers you are targeting, such as graphic designers or copywriters.
  • Step 2: Determine the basic units: Calculate the number of potential customers within your target segment, considering factors like industry reports, freelance platforms, and online communities.
  • Step 3: Assess market penetration: Estimate what percentage of the target market you can realistically capture based on your value proposition, pricing, and competition.
  • Step 4: Calculate revenue potential: Multiply the estimated number of customers by the average revenue per customer to determine your potential revenue within the target market.

By employing a bottom-up approach, you can analyze the granular details of your specific market segment and tailor your strategy accordingly. This approach allows you to make projections based on your own data and assumptions.

These examples showcase how top-down and bottom-up market sizing approaches can be applied in different scenarios. Remember, the choice of approach depends on factors such as market maturity, product uniqueness, available data, and the goals of your business.

Ultimately, it can be useful to use both models in your market sizing. If they both roughly agree, then you can probably assume you have a fairly accurate estimate of your market size. The approach you opt for will also depend to some extent on the type of business you’re building and the product you’re selling.

Regardless of which approach you go with, it’s important to do it right. At Kadence, we have many years of experience helping businesses with their market research, and in sizing the market and we can help you do the same. To find out more, get in touch.

Since the onset of the pandemic we’ve been working with Bloomberg to understand the priorities, actions and attitudes of business decision makers across APAC. Take a look at the infographic for the key insights from our latest wave including:

  • 69% of companies foresee adopting a hybrid model post-pandemic with a mix of in-office and work-from-home
  • Yet of the surveyed companies only 4% will no longer keep a physical office
  • The pandemic has placed greater attention on sustainability with 67% believing that COVID-19 has increased the importance of green / environment protection
Infographic explaining the shift in business decision makers' priorities

Marketing textbooks are filled with examples of products or services that flopped when they hit the market.

Take Juicero, for instance. Investors pumped a staggering $120 million into a Wi-Fi-connected juice maker that nobody indicated they wanted or needed. Unsurprisingly, it was scrapped within two years.

Or consider ESPN’s mobile phone service, priced at $400 and lacking handset choice for the target audience. The service was swiftly shut down, and ESPN opted to provide content to Verizon instead.

And who could forget New Coke? Launched in 1985, it remains a major marketing misstep. After only a few weeks, Coca-Cola abandoned the product and reverted to its old formula.

Even some of the world’s most innovative companies have failed to foresee the impact of new launches on their target market. Google, for example, arguably launched its wearable Google Glass concept too soon. Its high price did not help, and it failed to connect with consumers.

Fortunately, there is a way to avoid such failures. By conducting product concept testing before a product launch, businesses can develop their ideas in a safe and controlled space with the target audience.

What is Concept Testing?

Concept testing involves presenting potential product concepts or ideas to a target audience and collecting feedback to assess market potential. The concept can be a new set of product ideas, a redesign, or a rebrand.

Testing methods can be online, such as quantitative surveys or online communities focused on qualitative insights, or face-to-face, such as focus groups or in-depth interviews.

The Role of UX Designers

UX designers play a crucial role in concept testing by employing user-centered design principles. They create interactive prototypes that simulate the user experience, allowing participants to engage with and provide feedback on proposed concepts. UX designers ensure that concepts are intuitive, usable, and aligned with the target audience’s needs. They facilitate user testing sessions, observe interactions, and gather valuable insights to refine the concepts.

The Importance of Concept Testing

Here are the five key reasons why concept testing is so important:

1. Concept Testing Helps Filter Ideas

Concept testing helps you move beyond blue-sky thinking and determine which ideas will be a hit. It provides data that can bring the whole team on board by providing consensus on which projects to develop and which to shelve.

Great concept testing unites teams behind ideas with real potential, eliminating the need for office politics or frustrating ‘design by committee.’ With concept testing, you hear directly from consumers about what will work and what won’t.

Using a range of qualitative and quantitative techniques, you can understand the consumer view of different concepts and explore whether the types of products or services you want to develop will resonate. Employing a range of testing tools enables you to identify the product concepts with the highest appeal and understand how these can be refined. This allows you to move to the next stage of development with confidence.

It’s no overstatement to say that a well-designed, concept-testing survey or a skillfully moderated online community can pave the way to success. But any survey template or discussion guide needs to be designed to ensure that the overall package, as well as individual features or attributes, are each assessed and fed back on.

This is something that needs to happen in the early stages of decision-making, too. It cannot be left too late as concept testing aims to help you iterate your ideas and tweak them ahead of launch so that they are primed for success.

2. Concept Testing Prevents Bad Decision-Making

Testing concepts in detail before launch may seem like it delays your go-to-market strategy, but it saves significant time and financial losses in the long run. Failed products or services are costly, but concept testing helps you avoid bad ideas and uncover those with untapped potential.

Concept testing helps you find the strongest option to take forward or improve underperforming concepts, ensuring your plans have a solid chance of success. In this way, concept testing can help you avoid an embarrassing failure and take your product development processes from good to great, thanks to that all-important feedback from those who matter – your customers.

3. Concept Testing Identifies Key Elements

Even if you gauge that your product ideas will fly, there are additional considerations, such as positioning, packaging, branding, and pricing. Concept testing optimizes your innovation, reducing the risk of project failure and limiting excessive costs.

Concept testing is crucial for product developers to determine the innovation’s chance of success. It can shed light on blind spots, inefficiencies, misinterpretations, or problems that can lead to failure. Using concept testing methods like surveys as well as qualitative research via a focus group, in-depth interview, or online community can all help to tease out your target audience’s wants or needs.

4. Concept Testing Fixes Problems Early

The sooner concept testing is undertaken, the more flexibility you have to optimize your initial idea. Concept testing helps you understand what elements don’t work, allowing you to refine ideas swiftly based on consumer feedback.

Through concept testing, you can understand what elements don’t fly with customers so you can ditch underperforming elements to save costs or iteratively improve concepts so that they better meet consumer needs. With an online community, for instance, it’s possible to develop concepts based on consumer feedback and then upload them for further feedback, in this way allowing you to refine ideas swiftly.

5. Concept Testing Ensures Market Fit

Concept testing puts the consumer voice at the heart of product development, ensuring new products resonate with customers and increase business performance. It helps you identify pain points or delights relating to new ideas, establish how your product fits into the lives of your target audience, and determine which concepts they would be willing to pay for.

Good concept testing means getting under the skin of your customer and letting their feelings and needs guide you toward the solutions with the most potential. By putting consumers central to product development, you can develop products and services that outperform the competition.

Conclusion

Concept testing is a crucial step in the product development process, providing valuable insights and feedback from the target audience. It helps businesses refine their concepts, build better products, and increase their chances of market success. By partnering with skilled market researchers, you can gain the insights needed to focus efforts in product development and outperform the competition.

Concept testing is a critical market research method that allows businesses to gather feedback and validate their ideas before investing significant resources into product development. It involves presenting potential product concepts or ideas to a target audience and collecting their feedback to assess market potential and make informed decisions.

By conducting concept testing, businesses can identify and address potential issues or shortcomings in their product concepts early on. This process helps refine and optimize the product’s features, design, and overall value proposition. It enables brands to gather valuable insights into consumer preferences, needs, and expectations, allowing them to align their product development efforts with market demand.

The feedback gathered during concept testing provides actionable data for designers and product teams to improve their concepts iteratively. By incorporating user insights, businesses can make informed decisions about product features, functionality, usability, and overall user experience. This iterative approach ensures that the final product aligns with user needs, expectations, and preferences, increasing the likelihood of market success.

Moreover, concept testing helps in minimizing the risks associated with product development. By validating concepts early on, businesses can avoid costly mistakes and reduce the probability of launching a product that fails to resonate with the target market. It allows companies to make data-driven decisions, optimize resources, and ultimately build better products that are more likely to succeed in the marketplace.

Concept testing plays a pivotal role in the product development process by providing valuable insights and feedback from the target audience. By leveraging this feedback, businesses can refine their concepts, build better products, and increase their chances of delivering solutions that meet customer needs and expectations. This iterative and user-centered approach enhances the overall product quality and increases the likelihood of market acceptance and success.

Product development need never be a risk. If you’d like our support with a concept testing project, please get in touch or request a proposal.

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We’ve been working with Bloomberg to understand the priorities, actions and attitudes of business decision makers across APAC as the pandemic progresses. In the second of five waves, we explore attitudes towards travel, media consumption patterns and brands.

Take a look at the infographic for the key insights including:

  • 7 in 10 decision makers say their companies are restricting travel, up by 18% from the last wave in May
  • In 1 in 4 organizations, employees are given the flexibility to work from home.
  • 57% are looking for brands that are customer-focused and are flexible enough to accommodate their rapidly changing needs

We partnered with our friends at Measure Protocol to take part in a first-of-its-kind trial to harness blockchain for market research. Watch the video to discover what we learnt about the potential for this new technology.

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Conjoint analysis is often lauded as an extremely effective way to gain detailed insights and conduct market research, but how does it work?

Essentially, conjoint analysis is a method of measuring the value that customers place on different features of an existing or new product. It typically works via a survey, which looks something like this:

Participants are shown a combination of features (called attributes) for a product. If the product is a smartphone, for example, they might be shown the price, memory size, screen resolution, and camera quality. They’re then asked to compare different attributes. For example, what would they choose between a $150 phone and a $250 phone? Do they prefer 32GB of memory or 64GB? There are several ways to structure this, as we’ll find out. After the answers have been collected, we analyze the results to inform the right marketing decisions.

Conjoint analysis is a powerful market research method used to analyze and understand customer preferences. It is particularly valuable in assessing product attributes and their impact on consumer decision-making. In this blog post, we’ll delve deeper into the different types of conjoint analysis and the various benefits it can deliver.

Why Do Conjoint Analysis?

By examining various factors such as product features, price, brand, and packaging, conjoint analysis provides insights into how different attributes influence the target audience’s choices. This market research method proves especially beneficial in different stages of the product life cycle, from initial business analysis and product design to the product launch and beyond.

Conjoint analysis aids great product managers, designers, and project managers in making informed decisions by identifying the optimal combination of features and attributes that resonate with the target audience. It leverages research techniques like mail surveys, personal interviews, focus groups, and telephone surveys conducted by skilled survey researchers to gather data on consumer preferences and opinions. This valuable information helps development teams refine and optimize the final product, ensuring it meets customer needs and expectations.

Additionally, conjoint analysis provides insights into the competitiveness of existing products and aids in strategic planning for future product enhancements or new offerings.

Reasons to Conduct Conjoint Analysis

There are several reasons to conduct a conjoint analysis, including:

  • To measure and understand customer preferences for certain product features.
  • To assess or predict how well a new product will do if brought to market.
  • To gain an understanding of how changes in price affect demand.
  • To predict future trends, for example, around the adoption of certain features.

How to Conduct Conjoint Analysis

Choose the Right Survey Type

The first stage is to decide on the correct survey type. There are several ways to do a conjoint analysis — here are the main methods:

  1. Ratings-based conjoint analysis: This is where participants give each attribute a rating, for example, on a scale of 1-100.
  2. Ranking-based conjoint analysis: This is where participants rank the attributes in order from best to worst. There is also a best vs. worst analysis, where participants simply pick their favorite and least favorite attributes from the selection.
  3. Choice-based conjoint analysis (CBC): This is the most commonly used model and the one this guide will focus on. It presents combinations of attributes to participants and asks them to choose which they prefer.

One of the most powerful advantages of choice-based conjoint analysis is that it can allow you to use modeling to predict how customers will feel about combinations they didn’t even assess. In other words, it is an extremely efficient way of predicting responses to features without having to spend a huge amount of time testing each combination.

Identify the Relevant Attributes (Features)

Next, it’s time to decide which product attributes you want to have your respondents compare and assess. The key is not to use too many. We typically avoid using more than 5 or 6 attributes, e.g., for a car: color, engine size. We do this to reduce respondents’ cognitive load to ensure they engage with the choices presented to them.

For each attribute, you need to add levels. For example, if your participants are assessing a smartphone, one attribute might be ‘price,’ and the levels might be $200, $350, and $700.

The levels will usually reflect the different tiers of the product you’re considering selling. For the smartphone, you might be releasing a basic model, a higher-end model, and a deluxe model. The levels for attributes such as price, camera size, and memory will align with those tiers.

Levels should be chosen based on factors like:

  • How interesting and valuable they are for management — will they inform useful decisions?
  • How well they avoid bias?
  • How realistic they are.

In the CBC method, there are two commonly used models for making choices:

  • Single choice with none: This requires the participant to make one choice out of the selection. There is also the possibility to select none of the options.
  • Single choice: This is the same as above, but there is no ‘none’ option — the participant has to pick one.

Design the Questionnaire

Screener Questions

Most surveys start with some screener questions. These are general questions around demographics like the respondent’s age, job title, or purchase habits. The goal is to filter out those who won’t be a good fit for the survey based on the people you’re trying to target.

Introduce and Explain

It’s important to take some time at the beginning of the survey and in your questions to clearly explain what the respondents need to do to answer the questions. Surveys should be as clear and easy to follow as possible.

Create the Right Questions

The questions you choose and how you structure them will make or break your survey. Here are some guidelines to follow:

  • Questions should follow one another logically and be grouped together intuitively. It’s best not to confuse your participants by ordering your questions in a confusing way.
  • People often give more accurate and useful answers when you use situational questions. For example, instead of asking, “Which phone would you buy?” ask something like, “Thinking back to the last time you purchased a phone — if you had the following options instead, which would you have picked?”
  • Finish with some demographic questions so that you can further understand your customer base and analyze the results by demographic to understand any meaningful differences.

Analyze and Take Action

Once the survey has been written, scripted, sent out, and completed by your target group, it’s time to analyze the results and take action on them. This is perhaps the most important part of the process, as it’s where your research can really make a tangible impact.

There are several ways to analyze your results based on how you designed the survey. The most important thing is to collect and analyze your data in a way that makes it easy to draw useful conclusions and share them.

This will allow you to gain real value from the survey and present those findings to others in the company. This:

  • Helps justify your decisions and actions.
  • Informs future plans and inspires new features.
  • Identifies areas that need to change or improve.

At Kadence, it’s our job to ensure you create and conduct the most effective surveys and market research possible, giving your brand the edge. To find out more about how we can help with conjoint analysis and more, get in touch to request a proposal.

Conclusion

Conjoint analysis is a valuable tool in understanding consumer preferences and making informed product development decisions. By carefully designing and executing your surveys, you can gain insights that drive strategic planning and optimize your products to meet market demands. Whether you’re evaluating new product features, pricing strategies, or competitive positioning, conjoint analysis can provide the detailed insights needed to succeed in today’s competitive market landscape.

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Segmentations can be powerful tools for a business. But how do you get them right? Lizzy Pottinger explains 5 principles of a successful segmentation.

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At Kadence, our global footprint and cultural diversity mean we often celebrate significant cultural festivities. This year, we celebrated Chinese New Year by sharing our New Year’s resolutions with one another – celebrating everyone’s positivity for the year ahead.  

Chinese New Year is the equivalent of Christmas in the West, the 15 day long holiday opens up a wealth of opportunities for brands. According to China’s Ministry of Commerce, Chinese consumers spent $149 billion across the holiday in 2019. This is the time of the year when spending and travelling peak on a phenomenal scale. This blog post explores the trends around spending and travelling, and what this means for brands.

GIVING MONEY & GIFTING IS BIG BUSINESS

We know from our extensive work in China that gifting is a big part of the country’s culture – the extent of this was brought to life on a project where we interviewed High Net Worth Individuals (HNWIs) in China who buy luxury mobile phones as presents for business partners.

At Chinese New Year, gift-giving turns into cash-giving. Money is traditionally given in red envelopes to friends and relatives as a gesture of good fortune. Over the past few years, the Chinese are sending red envelopes as digital cash gifts via China’s top messaging app, WeChat. The app has 400 million users, evolving from a basic chat app like WhatsApp into a platform that includes e-commerce, taxi-hailing, payments and more.

Traditionally, one would only give red envelopes in person, but technology has made it possible to send money to just about anybody. Last year, over 14 billion ‘red envelopes’ were shared between WeChat users on New Year’s Eve alone. The chart below from Statistica shows the dramatic increase in exchanging digital red envelopes on WeChat over the past few years.

WHAT DOES THIS MEAN FOR BRANDS?

If consumers are sending money digitally on WeChat, could gifts be sent digitally too? Starbucks China has since tapped into this behavior, where one can buy a friend a coffee which can be redeemed at any Starbucks store. WeChat’s existing infrastructure and vast user base offer a platform for brands to extend their offering from in-store and online to social media. Who wouldn’t want a McDonald’s or even a luxury candle from a friend 750 miles away?

BIGGEST ANNUAL MIGRATION OF HUMANS

Chinese New Year is the biggest annual human migration in the world, with 2.5 billion trips made each festive period. This includes workers seeking employment in large affluent cities or university students returning to their rural hometowns to visit relatives.

We have seen this first hand from conducting a study with Didi (a Chinese Uber equivalent) drivers for a major fuel and energy provider. Didi drivers save up holidays and money to travel home in order to spend quality time with their families, after a year’s hard work.

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WHAT DOES THIS MEAN FOR BRANDS?

The vast distance and traveler volume associated with this phenomenon present some interesting opportunities for brands, and not just in the state-funded transportation industry.

The average individual journey taken at Chinese New Year is 255 miles, which makes us wonder how consumers spend all that time? Can entertainment or gaming brands tap into this ‘lost time’? What are the implications of all this screen time for advertisers, for example, adverts on China’s biggest streaming platform Tencent Video. 

Or how can convenience food, snack, or drink brands capture share of wallet on these long journeys? Perhaps a new variant of existing products to fuel on-the-go consumption would fill the gap?

A WORLD OF OPPORTUNITIES

One of the most interesting aspects of conducting research in China is bringing the cultural nuances to life for our clients. We like to immerse ourselves in the world of the end consumers by being there in person. Whether it’s discussing career goals with accountants or exploring the luxury needs of HNWIs – we believe conducting the qualitative explorations ourselves yields the greatest insight.

We’ve had some wonderful opportunities to solve and advise global clients on business issues, from tackling regional differences to evaluating potential Chinese brands as a joint-venture partner. This market continues to surprise us on a daily basis. There is so much we are yet to explore as global brands tap into the world’s fasting growing economy.

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About Amy

Amy has worked at Kadence for over five years having previously worked in Millward Brown Taiwan. Born and raised in Taiwan, Amy is bilingual in Mandarin and English. Amy sits in our London office, often travelling to China to explore the market on the ground.

Her language and insight skills make her the perfect candidate to broach the gap between UK clients and Chinese consumers (or vice versa). Effortlessly interpreting Chinese consumer voices and turning them into to actionable insights for UK clients.