Food prices in Japan have surged since 2022, shifting consumer habits in ways that brands cannot afford to ignore. A nationwide study by our sister company, CMG Inc., reveals the extent of this shift, showing how inflation influences where, what, and how often people buy groceries.

Japanese consumers have long prioritized quality and brand loyalty, often paying a premium for fresh, locally sourced ingredients. However, inflation is shifting these behaviors. Our study shows that more shoppers seek discounts, adjust grocery lists, and change stores to cope with rising costs.

Our study of Japanese consumers aged 20 to 69 found that 90% feel the strain of rising food costs, with 70% experiencing it intensely. Prices for essential staples like rice, leafy greens, and eggs have surged, pushing shoppers toward lower-cost alternatives, bulk buying, and store-switching strategies.

Households are adjusting by choosing cheaper alternatives, relying on discounts, and carefully planning purchases to minimize costs. The findings reveal how inflation shapes the Japanese food market today and how brands must adapt to meet shifting consumer priorities.

Japanese consumers feel the weight of rising food prices

how-Japanese-consumers-feel-about-food-inflation

Inflation is hitting middle-aged consumers the hardest. Women and those aged 40 to 60 report the most strain as they juggle rising grocery bills alongside housing, childcare, and utility costs.

Rice tops the list, with three-quarters of respondents saying its cost has risen. Leafy vegetables, eggs, and fruits are among the most frequently cited items experiencing price hikes. The rising costs of these essentials are pushing consumers to reconsider their grocery lists, with many shifting to more affordable alternatives or cutting back on certain items altogether.

Consumer sentiment suggests inflation is not just a financial strain but an ongoing source of anxiety. Many households are adjusting broader spending patterns, cutting back on dining out and non-essential purchases as they prioritize their grocery budgets. This heightened sense of caution underscores the urgency for brands to meet evolving needs with adaptable solutions.

Implications for Brands

As inflation shapes consumer habits, brands operating in the food industry must rethink their strategies. Price sensitivity is now a dominant force in purchasing decisions, making affordability and value essential selling points. Companies that rely on staple food products may need to introduce smaller pack sizes, bulk discounts, or subscription-based models to maintain customer loyalty.

This shift presents an opportunity for brands that offer alternatives to high-cost staples. The surge in demand for lower-cost items like bean sprouts and tofu suggests that consumers are willing to make substitutions. Positioning these products as smart, affordable choices through targeted marketing and in-store promotions could help brands capture market share.

Retailers and food manufacturers must also recognize that Japanese consumers actively seek ways to save. Loyalty programs, digital coupons, and promotional bundles could play a more significant role in purchasing decisions as shoppers become more selective about where they spend their money. Companies that can balance pricing strategies with perceived value will be best positioned to navigate the evolving food market in Japan.

How Consumers Are Changing Their Shopping Habits

changing-grocery-shopping-habits-in-Japan

As prices climb, Japanese consumers are becoming more strategic. Nearly 30% are actively hunting for clearance deals, while an equal share is switching supermarkets in search of lower prices. Discount chains and bulk retailers see increased foot traffic as shoppers shift from premium stores to budget-friendly alternatives.

Beyond price-driven decisions, shoppers are becoming more disciplined in their purchasing habits. Many are researching deals in advance, planning their shopping lists, and buying only what is necessary. This shift suggests that impulse buying is declining, making it harder for brands to capture spontaneous purchases. Instead, consumers approach grocery shopping with a calculated mindset, weighing every purchase against cost and necessity.

Digital engagement is also playing an increasing role in consumer decisions. More shoppers use online price comparison tools, retailer apps, and e-commerce platforms to track discounts and find the best deals. Brands that integrate their promotions seamlessly into these digital channels will have a greater chance of influencing purchase decisions early on.

However, in-store promotions and point-based rewards in Japan remain highly influential, offering brands an alternative way to engage cost-conscious consumers. Brands that integrate their promotions seamlessly into digital and physical retail channels will have a greater chance of influencing purchase decisions before consumers even enter a store.

Implications for Brands

With price-conscious behavior shaping the market, brands must adapt their pricing and promotional strategies. Offering flexible discounts and personalized promotions could help retain customers who might otherwise trade down to lower-cost alternatives. Brands traditionally relying on premium positioning may need to consider budget-friendly variations or value packs to stay competitive.

A prime example of a brand adapting to shifting consumer behavior is Nissin Foods, the maker of Cup Noodles. The company has introduced new flavors and healthier options for health-conscious consumers while maintaining affordability. Its focus on sustainability through eco-friendly packaging and responsible sourcing has also helped sustain consumer loyalty despite economic challenges.

Retailers also need to rethink in-store and digital promotions. Placing high-demand items in visible areas, bundling products at competitive prices, and integrating discount offers into mobile shopping apps can help maintain customer engagement. As shoppers become more deliberate, brands must ensure they are part of the decision-making process before consumers reach the checkout counter.

What are people buying less and more often?

top-10-foods-with-price-increases-in-Japan

Rice, snacks, and cabbage are the top three foods that people buy less of due to price increases.

Rising prices are forcing consumers to rethink where they shop and what they buy. The survey reveals a clear pattern – high-cost staples are being purchased less frequently, while affordable alternatives are gaining traction. Since 2021, Japan has experienced a significant surge in rice prices. In 2023, the average selling price for a 60-kilogram bag of rice was approximately ¥15,310 (about $139 USD). By January 2025, this price escalated to ¥25,927, a 69% increase from the previous year. This equates to roughly $171 USD.

Additionally, the retail price for a 5-kilogram bag of rice rose from ¥2,023 (approximately $13 USD) in 2024 to ¥3,688 (about $24 USD) in early 2025. This sharp rise is attributed to extreme weather conditions, increased demand from tourism, and distribution challenges. Snacks and cabbage follow closely, signaling a shift away from discretionary and fresh produce items that have become more expensive.

At the same time, lower-cost and versatile food items are seeing an uptick in sales. Bean sprouts and tofu, known for their affordability and adaptability in Japanese cuisine, are among the top foods people buy more often. Bread, another relatively inexpensive staple, has also gained popularity. The trend suggests consumers prioritize foods that offer more servings, opting for ingredients that stretch further and provide better value.

Implications for Brands

Understanding these shifts is critical for food manufacturers and retailers. Brands in high-cost categories need to rethink how they position their products. Offering smaller portion sizes, value packs, or price promotions could help retain consumers considering cutting back. For brands selling products that are growing in demand, this is a moment to strengthen their market position. Highlighting the versatility, nutritional benefits, and affordability of products like tofu and bean sprouts can reinforce their appeal in price-sensitive times.

Retailers should also adapt by ensuring budget-friendly items are well-stocked and prominently displayed. Promotional strategies should focus on cost-effective meal solutions, helping consumers maximize their grocery budgets. As inflation influences purchasing decisions, brands that align their offerings with consumer priorities will be best positioned to maintain loyalty and sales.

How Japan’s food inflation compares to the West

Rice isn’t just a staple in Japan—it’s a cultural cornerstone and an economic indicator. Unlike many Western nations where grains are heavily imported, Japan produces most of its rice domestically, meaning price fluctuations reflect deeper economic shifts. This inflation trend mirrors similar surges in other staple foods worldwide, such as wheat in the U.S. and soybeans in China.

Food prices are rising worldwide, but the impact varies from country to country. While Japan is seeing sharp increases in staples like rice, vegetables, and eggs, the US and the UK markets are grappling with their inflation-driven shifts in consumer behavior. In Western markets, dairy products, meat, and processed foods have been among the most affected categories, driving consumers toward discount grocery chains, bulk buying, and private-label alternatives.

In the US, shoppers increasingly turn to wholesale retailers and discount supermarkets to cut costs. Many are switching from brand-name products to store-brand alternatives, with major retailers reporting a surge in private-label sales. Coupon usage once thought to be in decline, has made a strong comeback, mainly through digital platforms and loyalty apps. In the UK, where food inflation and the cost of living have been a persistent challenge, many households are scaling back on meat purchases and opting for frozen or tinned foods as a cost-saving measure.

Despite regional differences, the global trend is clear – consumers are becoming more intentional about how and where they spend their grocery budgets. The shift toward discount-driven shopping, meal planning, and strategic purchasing decisions redefines how food brands and retailers operate across markets.

While Japan sees a shift toward staples like tofu and bean sprouts, the US and UK consumer shifts lean toward private labels and bulk buying, highlighting different approaches to cost savings.

Implications for Brands

Brands must recognize that price sensitivity is no longer confined to specific regions. Inflation-driven purchasing habits are reshaping consumer expectations on a global scale. Affordability and value have become key decision-making factors, making it essential for brands to rethink their pricing and promotional strategies.

Companies that traditionally cater to premium or discretionary food categories may need to introduce flexible pricing structures, offering economy-sized packaging or subscription models to retain budget-conscious shoppers. Meanwhile, brands positioned in lower-cost categories have a unique opportunity to strengthen their appeal, emphasizing the affordability and versatility of their products.

Japan’s beef bowl industry thrives despite multiple price hikes due to rising costs. Zensho Holdings, the parent company of Sukiya, a Japanese restaurant chain that serves gyudon (beef bowls), curry, and other dishes, has reported strong profit growth and increased customer numbers, highlighting how strategic pricing and strong brand equity can sustain demand even in inflationary times. This resilience reflects Japan’s unique consumer behavior, where quality and convenience often precede purely cost-cutting measures.

Retailers, particularly those in markets where discount shopping is on the rise, should focus on making savings more accessible. Digital loyalty programs, targeted promotions, and clear communication around price advantages will be critical in maintaining consumer trust and engagement in a price-sensitive environment.

guide-to-gen-z

How brands can adapt to a cost-conscious market

Food inflation is not just reshaping consumer habits but redefining how brands must approach pricing, marketing, and product development. As shoppers prioritize affordability and shift toward lower-cost alternatives, companies must take a proactive approach to remain relevant in a rapidly changing market.

One of the most immediate strategies for brands is pricing flexibility. Offering a range of product sizes at different price points can help cater to varying consumer budgets. Smaller packaging options can attract shoppers looking to control their spending, while bulk discounts can appeal to those who prefer to stock up when prices are favorable. Subscription models that provide cost savings over time may also help retain customer loyalty, particularly for staple goods.

Product positioning is equally important. Brands that once relied on premium pricing must now justify their value through differentiation. Messaging focusing on nutritional benefits, sustainability, or versatility can encourage consumers to keep buying products even if prices increase. For brands in high-growth categories like tofu and bean sprouts, reinforcing affordability and multiple-use meal applications can strengthen market share.

Retailers have a crucial role to play in guiding purchasing decisions. Strategic in-store placements, meal-planning promotions, and digital tools that showcase the best value options can help shoppers navigate rising prices. Supermarkets that integrate personalized discounts, loyalty rewards, and digital coupons into their customer experience will be better positioned to retain price-sensitive consumers.

The brands that succeed in an inflationary market will listen to consumers, adapt to shifting priorities, and offer tangible value beyond price alone. As economic conditions continue to shape spending behavior, remaining flexible and responsive will define long-term brand resilience.

Turning Challenges Into Opportunities

Rising food prices are forcing consumers to rethink their purchasing decisions, but they are also creating new opportunities for brands willing to adapt. The shift toward cost-conscious shopping is not a temporary adjustment; it reflects a more profound change in consumer behavior likely to persist even if inflation stabilizes. Brands that recognize these shifts and respond strategically will retain their customer base and strengthen their market position in the long run.

Innovation will be key for companies in high-cost categories. Reformulating products to be cost-effective without compromising quality, offering flexible portion sizes, and introducing alternative ingredients can help brands navigate price sensitivity. For companies in growing categories, reinforcing the value of their products through effective messaging and promotions will be essential to sustaining momentum.

Digital engagement is also becoming more critical. Consumers increasingly rely on price-comparison tools, e-commerce discounts, and loyalty programs to make informed purchasing decisions. Brands that invest in personalized marketing, mobile-based promotions, and transparent pricing strategies will be better positioned to build long-term trust with their audience.

Food inflation is reshaping the competitive landscape, but it must not be a setback. Companies that approach this challenge with flexibility, creativity, and consumer-first thinking can turn market uncertainty into a moment of strategic growth.

Stay ahead

Get regular insights

Keep up to date with the latest insights from our research as well as all our company news in our free monthly newsletter.

For years, brands have poured billions into social media, banking on its power to capture consumer attention. But many users are logging off, exhausted by algorithm-driven content, relentless ads, and digital fatigue. The rise of the social media detox movement presents an inconvenient truth for marketers: the platforms once considered indispensable may now push consumers away.

This shift isn’t anecdotal. Market research indicates a clear trend – users, especially Gen Z and millennials, are actively reducing screen time, muting notifications, and deactivating accounts in pursuit of mental clarity and reclaimed time. What was once an occasional break from digital noise is evolving into a broader consumer reset on social media engagement.

For brands, this poses a fundamental question: If audiences are stepping away from social platforms, how do businesses maintain visibility, connection, and influence?

The answer lies not in resisting the trend but in understanding the new rules of engagement. 

Why are Consumers Logging Off?

Social media has dominated brand-consumer interactions for over a decade, but a growing segment of users is actively stepping back. The social media detox movement is no longer a fringe trend – it’s a behavioral shift with real marketing implications. Consumers, especially younger demographics, make intentional choices to reduce screen time, limit influencer engagement, and seek more authentic interactions.

The Numbers Behind the Shift

The ‘why’ behind the great digital detox.

the-why-behind-social-detox

Digital detoxing isn’t just about reducing screen time; it’s rejecting the attention economy. Research indicates consumers are logging off due to:

  • Mental wellness concerns: Young users cite anxiety, comparison culture, and doomscrolling as reasons to disengage.
  • Algorithm fatigue: The push toward AI-driven content curation has left users feeling manipulated rather than engaged.
  • Skepticism of influencer culture: With trust in influencers eroding, consumers are shifting toward community-based recommendations over celebrity endorsements.
  • Privacy concerns: Users are more aware of data collection practices and choose to interact in closed, private digital spaces.

While some consumers return to social media after temporary detox periods, others are making long-term behavioral changes, limiting their reliance on platforms indefinitely. Brands must prepare for a future where digital engagement is increasingly fragmented, requiring a more adaptable marketing strategy.

What the Social Media Detox Trend Means for Brand Marketing Strategies

Consumers aren’t just scrolling less – they’re re-evaluating their digital habits. Brands must rethink their engagement models if social media detoxing becomes a long-term shift rather than a temporary trend.

How do brands remain relevant when audiences deliberately tune out? 

For years, brands have built marketing strategies around the assumption that social media is the primary touchpoint for consumer engagement. But with growing numbers of users stepping away, relying solely on platforms like Instagram, TikTok, and Facebook is becoming a risky proposition. The shift toward social media detoxing isn’t just about personal well-being—it’s altering how consumers interact with brands, discover products, and build trust.

The most immediate challenge is declining engagement. If consumers are reducing screen time, brands face shrinking opportunities to reach them through traditional social ads and influencer partnerships. This is particularly concerning for brands targeting Gen Z and Millennials, leading the movement toward digital detoxing. Ad fatigue is also accelerating the problem as consumers grow increasingly resistant to sponsored content and algorithm-driven recommendations.

Another major concern is the vulnerability of relying on rented platforms. With social media engagement declining, brands that have built their digital presence entirely on these platforms are now at the mercy of shifting algorithms and user behaviors. The lack of control over audience reach makes brands susceptible to sudden drops in visibility, forcing them to rethink their approach to audience building.

This shift is also reshaping digital advertising ROI. Brands that once saw high conversion rates from social media campaigns may now struggle as users actively disengage. 

Customer acquisition costs (CAC) are rising as social media platforms become less effective at driving conversions. With ad engagement rates declining, brands are shifting investments toward alternative channels such as Google Ads, podcast sponsorships, and streaming service placements. Understanding where audiences are migrating is essential for maximizing marketing ROI. Marketers must evaluate whether continued investment in these channels delivers sustainable returns or if it’s time to diversify into owned media and alternative digital touchpoints.

Social media detoxing is not a sign that digital marketing is failing but indicates that consumer preferences are evolving. Brands that recognize this shift early can adapt their strategies to maintain engagement without being overly dependent on social media platforms. 

How Brands Can Stay Relevant in an Era of Digital Detox 

As consumers disengage from social media, brands must rethink their marketing approach. The solution isn’t to fight the trend – it’s to adapt by diversifying digital touchpoints, strengthening direct customer relationships, and creating value beyond algorithm-driven platforms.

First-party data is becoming a brand’s most valuable asset.

Zero-party data strategies: collecting voluntarily shared consumer insights through interactive content, preference centers, and surveys.

AI-driven CRM systems: leveraging predictive analytics to anticipate customer behaviors and engagement patterns.

Direct-to-consumer models: building deeper relationships via email marketing, loyalty programs, and exclusive brand communities.

With social media engagement fluctuating, brands can no longer rely on third-party platforms to maintain customer relationships. Investing in email marketing, loyalty programs, and brand-owned communities ensures a more direct and sustainable connection with consumers. Email, in particular, is experiencing a resurgence, with open rates outperforming social media engagement rates. Brands focusing on personalized, high-value content in inboxes can build deeper relationships without competing against ever-changing social algorithms.

Brands must also embrace alternative digital spaces. 

Community-driven platforms such as Discord, Substack, and brand-owned apps offer a way to engage audiences without relying on social feeds. These platforms foster deeper loyalty by creating spaces where consumers opt in for value-driven interactions rather than being bombarded by passive content. SMS marketing is another underutilized tool, boasting high open rates while offering a direct, personal channel for communication. However, brands must strategically use it, ensuring messages provide real value rather than feeling intrusive.

Offline engagement is also gaining importance once again. 

The return of experiential marketing, pop-up activations, and real-world brand interactions allows brands to reach audiences in meaningful ways beyond digital screens. With consumers craving authenticity, brands that create real-world experiences, whether through in-person events or retail activations, can strengthen connections in ways social media alone cannot achieve.

Influencer marketing is evolving as well. 

The traditional influencer model, which relied on celebrity endorsements and massive follower counts, is losing effectiveness as trust in influencers declines. Consumers are now looking for recommendations from micro-communities and real-life social circles. Brands that pivot toward peer-driven advocacy – leveraging customer testimonials, employee ambassadors, and brand superfans – will have a stronger foundation for long-term engagement.

The era of passive social media consumption is fading, and brands that rely solely on scrolling behavior will struggle. The shift toward meaningful, value-driven engagement requires a new playbook, one that prioritizes direct relationships, diversified digital ecosystems, and real-world touchpoints. The next section explores how market research can help brands navigate this transition and predict future consumer behaviors.

The Role of Market Research in Navigating the Detox Trend

Guesswork is not an option for brands adjusting to the social media detox movement. Understanding evolving consumer behavior requires a data-driven approach, and market research plays a critical role in helping brands anticipate shifts, measure engagement beyond social media, and refine their strategies accordingly.

Predictive analytics is key to staying ahead of consumer behavior trends. Instead of relying on retrospective engagement metrics from social platforms, brands should leverage AI-driven modeling to forecast how audiences will likely interact with digital content. Behavioral data analysis can identify early signals of declining engagement, helping brands pivot before they see a drop in visibility or conversion rates.

Consumer sentiment tracking is another essential tool. While traditional social listening tools focus on platform-based conversations, the social media detox movement means brands must expand their reach to alternative data sources. This includes direct surveys, focus groups, in-app engagement metrics, and customer service interactions. Understanding why consumers are disengaging from social platforms and what alternatives they prefer allows brands to adapt without losing their audience.

Longitudinal studies provide deeper insights into whether digital detoxing is a passing trend or a lasting behavioral shift. Brands should not only measure current engagement levels but track behavioral changes over time. Are consumers leaving platforms temporarily before re-engaging, or are they permanently reducing their social media presence? Are younger audiences more likely to embrace alternative digital experiences? These insights help brands build long-term strategies instead of reacting to short-term fluctuations.

Beyond digital, ethnographic research can uncover how consumer behaviors are evolving offline. Observational studies and in-depth interviews can provide a clearer picture of how consumers interact with brands in physical spaces, whether through in-store experiences, brand-hosted events, or offline word-of-mouth. This shift is crucial as brands look to re-engage audiences in ways that don’t rely on algorithm-driven visibility.

Relying solely on past engagement patterns is no longer sufficient. Market research offers brands a proactive approach to understanding shifting consumer behaviors, enabling them to adapt with precision rather than assumption. 

Examples of Brands Successfully Adapting to the Social Media Detox Trend

Some brands are already ahead of the curve, recognizing that relying solely on social media is no longer a sustainable marketing strategy. By diversifying their approach, prioritizing first-party data, and investing in alternative engagement channels, these companies are maintaining strong consumer relationships despite the rise of digital detoxing.

One example is Lush, the UK-based cosmetics brand that made headlines by stepping away from social media altogether. Frustrated with algorithm-driven limitations and the growing toxicity of digital spaces, Lush removed itself from major platforms like Facebook, Instagram, and TikTok. Instead, the brand doubled down on email marketing, in-store experiences, and community-driven engagement. The result? A more direct, controlled communication strategy that allowed them to maintain brand loyalty while reinforcing their ethical values.

Image Credit: Lush 

Another company adapting to the decline of social engagement is Patagonia. The outdoor apparel giant has long embraced an anti-advertising stance, prioritizing storytelling over traditional digital campaigns. While many brands compete for social media attention with aggressive paid promotions, Patagonia invests in long-form content, sustainability reports, and documentary-style storytelling. The company builds a stronger emotional connection with its audience without relying on social media algorithms by publishing in-depth research and hosting real-world environmental initiatives.

Luxury brands are also rethinking their digital presence. Bottega Veneta, for example, strategically decided to delete its social media accounts in favor of an exclusive digital magazine and VIP community model. By creating a more controlled, high-value content ecosystem, the brand shifted attention away from mass-market social media feeds and toward more personalized, premium engagement.

Image Credit: The Impression

Even FMCG brands are adjusting. Oatly, known for its plant-based milk alternatives, has embraced offline marketing activations and guerrilla-style advertising to maintain visibility without overly relying on digital engagement. From eye-catching billboards to in-person brand experiences, Oatly’s approach shows awareness can be built in ways that don’t require consumers to be constantly online.

These brands demonstrate a fundamental shift – brands that successfully navigate the social media detox movement build direct, value-driven consumer relationships. The key takeaway? Brands must stop treating social media as the default marketing channel and start viewing it as just one of a broader, more resilient engagement strategy.

The Next Phase of Digital Detoxing

The rise of social media detoxing isn’t a fleeting trend; it’s a symptom of a larger shift in how consumers engage with digital platforms. While some users may eventually return, their behavior will not be the same. The next phase of digital engagement will be defined by intentionality, privacy, and deeper value exchanges, forcing brands to rethink their long-term marketing strategies.

Social media platforms themselves are already adapting to this detox trend. Features like Instagram’s Quiet Mode and TikTok’s time management reminders signal that even tech giants recognize the risks of overexposure. Platforms will likely continue evolving, offering more user control over content consumption. However, these changes won’t necessarily benefit brands – if anything, they may further limit ad exposure and organic reach as users prioritize personal well-being over passive engagement.

Social media detoxing is not a rejection of digital engagement – it’s a demand for better digital experiences. Consumers are no longer willing to engage with brands passively; they expect intentionality, privacy, and authentic connections. For brands, the question is no longer whether they can survive without social media as their primary channel. The real question is whether they can afford to depend on it at all.

Stay ahead

Get regular insights

Keep up to date with the latest insights from our research as well as all our company news in our free monthly newsletter.

The fastest-growing consumer in the toy industry is not a kid. A new generation of adults is rewriting the rules of play, driving billions in annual sales and reshaping how toy brands approach product development and marketing. These buyers, known as kidults, are fueling growth as they seek nostalgia, collectibles, and high-end toys once marketed exclusively to children. Their spending habits have become a defining force in the industry, outpacing traditional toy buyers and reshaping market strategies.

According to NPD Group data, these consumers now account for one-fourth of all toy sales annually, generating around $9 billion in revenue. Their presence in the market is not new, but spending has accelerated since the pandemic, leading to year-over-year gains despite challenging economic conditions. At a time when overall toy sales volume has dipped, higher prices and strong demand from kidults have offset losses and kept the industry growing.

Brands that once targeted parents shopping for kids are now catering directly to an audience willing to spend more for limited-edition action figures, premium Lego sets, and collectibles tied to their beloved franchises. The shift is not a passing trend; it is a transformation in consumer behavior that companies can no longer ignore.

Who are Kidults and Why are they Buying Toys and Games?

Play is no longer just for children. Adulthood has been redefined by a generation that sees nostalgia as a lifestyle rather than a fleeting indulgence. Millennials and Gen Z, raised in an era of immersive entertainment and franchise-driven storytelling, embrace toys as symbols of identity and self-expression.

Kidults are particularly drawn to cartoons, superheroes, and collectibles that remind them of their childhood. They buy merchandise such as action figures, Lego sets, and dolls that might typically be meant for kids. In response, toy makers have created entire product lines tailored for these buyers, recognizing that demand for nostalgic and high-quality collectibles continues to surge.

Social media has amplified this shift, turning fandoms into global communities where collectibles are status symbols. Limited-edition releases, high-end figures, and retro-inspired toys are not just purchases – they are cultural markers. What was once considered a niche hobby has become mainstream, with brands tapping into a lucrative market that values authenticity, nostalgia, and exclusivity.

Beyond nostalgia, psychological factors like stress relief, escapism, and personal identity also drive this trend. Many adult toy buyers see these purchases as a way to disconnect from daily pressures, embrace childhood joy, and express individuality. 

For many kidults, these purchases provide a sense of relaxation and familiarity, helping them cope with daily stress and responsibilities. The ritual of collecting, displaying, and engaging with nostalgic brands creates a sense of stability in an unpredictable world.

Case Study: Funko’s Collector Market Success


Image Credit: The Gamer

Funko, best known for its Pop! Vinyl figures, has built an empire catering to adult toy collectors. The brand strategically partnered with major franchises like Marvel, Star Wars, and Harry Potter, offering limited-edition releases and convention-exclusive drops that create demand through scarcity.

Focusing on pop culture nostalgia and tapping into fan-driven communities, Funko has positioned itself as a powerhouse in the collector market. The brand’s direct-to-consumer strategy and exclusive collaborations with major retailers have made it a staple for kidults looking to expand their curated collections.

Toy Companies Are Rewriting Their Playbook for Kidults

The world’s biggest brands are no longer designed solely for children. Lego, Mattel, and Hasbro have pivoted to meet the demands of adults in the toy market, launching premium product lines tied to pop culture, gaming, and blockbuster franchises. High-end collectibles, intricate building sets, and nostalgia-driven reboots now dominate shelves, targeting consumers willing to pay a premium for quality and exclusivity.

Lego’s detailed Star Wars and architecture sets, Mattel’s collector-edition Barbie dolls, and Hasbro’s Black Series action figures are just a few examples of how the industry has evolved. Limited-edition drops and direct-to-consumer sales have become critical strategies, leveraging scarcity and brand loyalty to drive demand.

At a time when traditional toy sales have slowed, kidults have emerged as the industry’s biggest growth driver. While board games, puzzles, and playsets saw a pandemic-fueled boom, the first nine months of 2022 recorded a 3% drop in sales volume. Higher prices helped offset this decline, boosting overall sales revenue by 3%. Kidults, who tend to spend more per purchase, have maintained industry momentum.

For toy companies, catering to adults is no longer an experiment; it is a core business strategy.

Kidults Around the World

Kidults-around-the world

Case Study: Lego’s Strategic Pivot to Capturing the Kidult Market

Image Credit: Lego

Lego, known for its interlocking brick sets, has skillfully targeted the growing kidult demographic. Recognizing the growing demand among adults for complex and nostalgic play experiences, Lego expanded its product line to include intricate sets that appeal to mature consumers.

In 2024, Lego reported a 6% increase in sales, largely attributed to the popularity of its Botanics flower sets, specifically designed for older consumers. These sets offer a blend of creativity and relaxation, resonating with adults seeking mindful activities. Lego’s collaborations with popular franchises have bolstered its appeal to the kidult market. Lego taps into the nostalgia and fandoms that drive adult toy purchasing decisions by producing detailed models tied to beloved series.

Lego’s success with the kidult segment shows the value of catering to adult consumers’ desires for nostalgic and hands-on experiences.

What Toys are Kidults Buying?

Kidults are not just a niche segment – they are the backbone of the toy industry’s growth. While they make up only a quarter of total toy buyers, they account for 60% of dollar growth, according to NPD’s Checkout data. Their willingness to pay for premium products has created a revenue stream that far outpaces spending by parents buying for children.

Unlike cost-conscious parents who seek budget-friendly options, kidults gravitate toward collectibles, high-quality models, and limited-edition releases with higher price points. Their spending is not dictated by seasonality in the same way as traditional toy buyers. While holiday shopping remains a peak sales period, this audience purchases year-round, making them a more predictable and stable consumer base.

This shift has allowed toy companies to move beyond the cyclical boom-and-bust nature of holiday-driven sales. Even as inventory challenges and inflation pressure retailers, demand from kidults has remained strong. As a result, brands are increasingly designing marketing campaigns and product launches with this audience in mind, ensuring their place as a long-term driver of industry revenue.

Marketing Strategies For Toy Brands Targeting Kidults

Toy brands no longer rely on traditional retail displays or children’s TV ads to drive sales. Instead, they target kids where they are most engaged – on social media, in collector communities, and through direct-to-consumer platforms. Digital-first campaigns, influencer collaborations, and nostalgia-driven storytelling have become essential tools for capturing this audience.

Limited-edition drops and exclusive collaborations create a sense of urgency and exclusivity that resonates with collectors. Brands like Lego and Mattel have successfully leveraged pre-orders and premium-tier product launches to tap into this demand. Hasbro’s Black Series and Mattel’s Hot Wheels Red Line Club offer high-end collectibles directly to fans, bypassing mass-market retail channels and reinforcing brand loyalty.

Community engagement is also key. Toy companies invest in fan-driven events, interactive content, and product tie-ins with entertainment franchises to keep their audiences invested. This approach has expanded beyond the toy aisle – adult-focused toy marketing now includes lifestyle branding, apparel collaborations, and interactive experiences designed to deepen brand attachment.

The brands that understand how to market to kidults are not just selling toys – they are selling identity, nostalgia, and belonging.

Case Study: Pop Mart’s Success with Labubu Collectibles

Image Credit: Los Angeles Times

Pop Mart, a Chinese toy company, has achieved remarkable success by targeting the adult market with its Labubu collectible figures. Created by Hong Kong artist Kasing Lung, Labubu features distinctive rabbit-like ears and spiky teeth, appealing primarily to adults seeking nostalgic and comforting collectibles. Priced between $15 and $85, these figurines often sell out within minutes of restocking, leading fans to rely on group chats for updates and endure long lines. Celebrity endorsements, particularly from Lisa of Blackpink, have further boosted Labubu’s popularity. Collectors view these toys not just as playthings but as art pieces that add personality to their homes. Despite the prevalence of knockoffs, demand for Labubu continues to grow, with Pop Mart expanding its presence in the U.S. and reporting strong sales figures. This trend reflects a broader rise in kidult-targeted emotional comfort toys. 

The Future of the Toy Industry Belongs to Adults

Kidults are not just spending – they are shaping the industry’s future. The brands that continue to evolve embracing technology, sustainability, and personalization, will lead the next evolution of the toy market. Augmented reality experiences, app-connected toys, and AI-powered collectibles are emerging as the next “it” toys, blending nostalgia with modern tech. Eco-conscious buyers also influence brands to redesign packaging, adopt sustainable materials, and explore digital collectibles.

The next step for brands is clear: those who embrace innovation while preserving nostalgia will remain at the forefront of this booming market.

For your research needs, trust insights that drive real impact. Whether you’re exploring consumer trends, market opportunities, or brand strategies, our expertise ensures you stay ahead. Get in touch to unlock data-driven success for your brand.

Stay ahead

Get regular insights

Keep up to date with the latest insights from our research as well as all our company news in our free monthly newsletter.

A decade ago, purpose-driven marketing set brands apart by championing social and environmental causes. Today, it’s an expectation, not a differentiator. As scrutiny from consumers, watchdogs, and regulators intensifies, the stakes have never been higher. Public trust in corporate promises has plummeted, with over 60% of consumers skeptical of sustainability and social impact claims. Meanwhile, global regulations are tightening, imposing hefty penalties for vague or unverified ESG statements. The pressure is mounting, and the cracks are beginning to show.

For brands, the challenge is clear: evolve or risk being called out, canceled, or left behind.

How Evolving Expectations Are Redefining Purpose-Driven Marketing

Consumer Skepticism at an All-Time High

Consumers are increasingly critical of brands’ ESG claims. High-profile incidents have intensified this skepticism. 

A 2023 survey revealed that 57% of Canadian consumers are skeptical of most corporate green claims.

Regulatory Crackdowns Are Raising the Stakes for Brands

Regulatory bodies are tightening their oversight of corporate ESG claims in response to growing consumer distrust. The European Union’s Corporate Sustainability Reporting Directive (CSRD), enacted in 2023, requires companies with over 250 employees to disclose comprehensive ESG metrics backed by concrete evidence.

Failure to comply carries significant repercussions. In 2024, the UK’s Advertising Standards Authority banned several advertisements for misleading environmental claims, signaling a zero-tolerance approach to greenwashing. Similarly, the Australian Competition and Consumer Commission has initiated investigations into companies exaggerating sustainability claims, with potential fines reaching millions of dollars.

Technology as a Transparency Tool

To meet heightened scrutiny, brands are turning to technology for greater transparency. Blockchain is being utilized to trace product origins and verify sustainability claims. Platforms like Provenance enable companies to offer consumers verifiable supply chain information, fostering trust.

Artificial Intelligence (AI) is also playing a pivotal role. By analyzing vast data sets in real-time, AI can help brands monitor compliance with ESG standards, identify potential risks, and ensure sustainability initiatives are not merely performative but result in measurable outcomes.

Why Some Purpose-Driven Efforts Fail

Superficial Storytelling Backfires

In early 2025, Procter & Gamble faced a lawsuit over misleading environmental claims for its Charmin toilet paper. The lawsuit alleged greenwashing, arguing that the company’s sustainability promises lacked meaningful environmental benefits.

The case highlights the dangers of superficial ESG storytelling. Unsupported environmental claims not only mislead consumers, but also expose brands to legal and reputational risks.

Misalignment Between ESG Claims and Practices

In August 2024, LVMH’s Dior came under scrutiny for failing to meet supply chain disclosure requirements under the UK’s Modern Slavery Act. The brand’s website had outdated anti-slavery statements, casting doubt on the authenticity of its ESG commitments.

Discrepancies between ESG commitments and actual practices erode trust and invite regulatory scrutiny. Brands must ensure their operational realities align with public commitments to maintain credibility.

Case Study: H&M – A Cautionary Tale in Purpose-Driven Marketing

Image Credit: Just Style

Background

H&M launched its “Conscious Collection” to position itself as a leader in sustainable fashion. It pledged to achieve 100% sustainable or recycled materials by 2030 and introduced sustainability scores for its products, aiming to empower consumers to make informed choices.

The Issue

In 2022, H&M faced a class-action lawsuit in New York, accusing the brand of greenwashing. Investigations revealed that some sustainability scores were misleading and that the company’s fast-fashion business model contradicted its environmental claims. Critics argued that while H&M promoted sustainability, its overproduction and waste practices remained unaddressed.

The Outcome

The lawsuit dealt a significant blow to H&M’s reputation, highlighting the dangers of overpromising and failing to align purpose with core business operations. The incident symbolized how greenwashing can backfire, amplifying consumer skepticism and regulatory scrutiny.

Lessons Learned

  1. Avoid Superficial Messaging: Sustainability efforts must be deeply integrated into business operations.
  2. Ensure Transparency: Verifiable and accurate data builds trust and credibility.
  3. Address Systemic Issues: Tackle industry-wide challenges, such as overproduction, to align messaging with meaningful action.

Overpromising and Underperforming

In 2024, luxury fashion brands, including Gucci and Bottega Veneta, came under fire for scaling back their ambitious sustainability targets. Many revised their goals to align with the Paris Agreement’s 2050 net-zero target, highlighting the challenges of meeting earlier, more ambitious deadlines.

Overpromising ESG commitments without clear, actionable plans erodes public distrust and harms brand reputation. Companies must set realistic goals and communicate their progress to avoid perceptions of insincerity.

Building Credibility Through Authenticity

  • Align Actions with Words: Ensure that marketing messages accurately reflect the company’s actual practices. Misrepresentations can lead to legal repercussions and loss of consumer trust.
  • Maintain Transparency: Regularly update stakeholders on ESG initiatives and progress. Transparency fosters trust and demonstrates a genuine commitment to stated goals.
  • Set Achievable Goals: Establish realistic ESG targets with clear roadmaps for achievement. Overambitious promises without concrete plans can backfire, leading to incredulity.
global-dining-trends

Purpose-Driven Marketing Strategies Shaping the Future

Measuring Impact Over Messaging

Consumers and stakeholders demand tangible evidence of a company’s environmental and social commitments. Unilever exemplifies this by integrating comprehensive sustainability disclosures into its Annual Report. Included in the report are detailed insights into its progress on sustainability metrics, reinforcing the brand’s commitment to transparency and accountability.

Similarly, Danone has embraced the B Corp certification, reflecting its dedication to meeting rigorous social and environmental performance standards, accountability, and transparency. 

The Rise of Regenerative Business Models

Leading brands are shifting from traditional sustainability to regenerative practices that restore and enhance ecosystems. Patagonia, for instance, leads the way in regenerative organic agriculture, enhancing soil health, animal welfare, and social equity.

Driving Change Through Collaboration

Tackling complex global challenges demands collective action. The Ellen MacArthur Foundation’s New Plastics Economy initiative exemplifies how collaboration can drive systemic change. This initiative unites businesses, governments, and organizations worldwide behind a common vision of a circular economy for plastics, aiming to eliminate waste and pollution through innovative design and reuse strategies.

Image Credit: Ellen MacArthur Foundation – Circular economy butterfly diagram 

By leveraging shared knowledge and resources, the New Plastics Economy initiative effectively combats plastic pollution through cross-sector partnerships. These efforts prove that systemic change is possible when stakeholders unite around a common goal.

Engaging Communities for Meaningful Impact

Companies are recognizing the power of working alongside local communities to develop solutions to social and environmental challenges. Engaging stakeholders at the grassroots level allows brands to create initiatives with lasting impact.

Harnessing Technology to Build Trust and Transparency

Technology is transforming corporate transparency. Blockchain, for instance, helps trace product origins and verify sustainability claims, offering consumers clear insights into supply chains. This integration fosters trust and drives accountability in purpose-driven marketing.

The Future of Purpose-Driven Marketing 

Authenticity as the Cornerstone

The evolution of purpose-driven marketing underscores a simple but critical truth: authenticity is non-negotiable. Consumers today expect more than buzzwords and polished campaigns; they want tangible proof of meaningful impact.

From Optics to Impact

Brands that will succeed in this new era focus on measurable outcomes rather than superficial messaging. Companies like Patagonia, Unilever, and Danone set the standard by embedding purpose into their operations, using technology for transparency, and co-creating with communities to drive meaningful change. Their efforts demonstrate that purpose-driven marketing isn’t just about addressing consumer demands – it’s about redefining what it means to do business responsibly.

For brands navigating this new landscape, the way forward is clear:

  • Embed Purpose into Core Operations: Purpose must extend beyond marketing and permeate every aspect of the business, from supply chain management to product development.
  • Invest in Transparency and Accountability: Leveraging technologies like blockchain and AI can help validate ESG claims and foster consumer trust.
  • Focus on Long-Term Value Creation: Sustainability should shift from a compliance-driven effort to a strategy for competitive advantage and systemic change.

Brands today face a pivotal choice: adapt to meet rising expectations or risk obsolescence. In a landscape where authenticity, transparency, and impact are paramount, the most successful brands will embed purpose into their core operations, treating it as a long-term business strategy rather than a passing trend.

Stay ahead

Get regular insights

Keep up to date with the latest insights from our research as well as all our company news in our free monthly newsletter.

Loyalty isn’t what it used to be. A recent study by Deloitte found that 50% of consumers are now enrolled in paid loyalty programs, an increase from 32% just two years ago. Yet, this surge in participation hasn’t translated into higher engagement or spending, signaling a massive shift in what customers value.

Points, discounts, and transactional perks that once kept consumers coming back now feel like a bygone era. As personalization and shared values dominate purchasing decisions, brands tied to outdated loyalty models risk losing not just customers but relevance.

As brands contend with these changing expectations, the question isn’t whether loyalty programs need to evolve but how they can meet the emotional and experiential demands of modern consumers.

The Erosion of Traditional Loyalty Programs

Transactional loyalty programs, once the cornerstone of customer retention, are showing cracks. While these systems thrived in a simpler era of consumer expectations, their appeal is fading in a market driven by emotional resonance and personal connections. The decline of transactional rewards underscores a pressing need for brands to rethink loyalty.

Stagnation in Innovation
The structure of many loyalty programs has remained stagnant for decades. The typical points-for-purchases model fails to differentiate one brand from another. 

For consumers juggling multiple loyalty memberships, the experience often feels like an impersonal numbers game rather than a rewarding relationship. A McKinsey report shows that 44% of consumers don’t redeem loyalty points because they find the process too cumbersome or irrelevant.

Shifting Consumer Priorities
Today’s consumers are not just looking for monetary incentives; they want brands to recognize their individuality. Customers are drawn to brands that align with their values, from sustainability to inclusivity. Gen Z, in particular, is leading the charge. According to a recent study, 61% of Gen Z shoppers prefer brands with a clear social impact, suggesting that loyalty is increasingly tied to shared purpose rather than transactional perks.

Generational Divide
Generational shifts are further fueling the erosion of traditional loyalty. While baby boomers may still find comfort in classic points-based programs, millennials and Gen Z prioritize experiences and emotional connections. Younger consumers are more likely to engage with brands that offer exclusive events, behind-the-scenes content, or community-driven initiatives, leaving traditional loyalty programs struggling to maintain relevance.

Emotional and Experiential Loyalty is the New Standard

As traditional loyalty programs falter, brands pivoting to emotional and experiential loyalty are gaining a competitive edge. These strategies go beyond monetary transactions, fostering deeper connections that align with consumers’ evolving expectations. 

Building Emotional Connections
The power of storytelling and purpose-driven branding lies at the heart of emotional loyalty. Customers are likelier to stay loyal to brands that resonate with their identity and values. Take Patagonia, for example. The brand has cultivated an intensely loyal community by weaving sustainability into its narrative and actively engaging in environmental activism. Patagonia’s “Worn Wear” initiative, which encourages customers to repair and reuse their products, reinforces its mission and fosters long-term brand loyalty. Customers don’t just buy Patagonia products; they buy into a shared mission to protect the planet.

Experiential Over Transactional
Experiences are now the currency of modern loyalty. Instead of accumulating points, consumers value access to exclusive events, personalized services, and tailored perks. Starbucks Rewards is an example. The program integrates app-based customization, offering members early access to seasonal drinks and personalized offers based on past purchases. Starbucks also encourages engagement with gamified features, like bonus star challenges, which make customers feel rewarded beyond the purchase. The result? A program that doesn’t just incentivize transactions but builds an emotional connection with coffee enthusiasts.

Community-Driven Loyalty
Consumers crave a sense of belonging. Brands that create spaces for physical or virtual connections see stronger loyalty. Nike’s membership program taps into this by offering exclusive content, fitness challenges, and a sense of camaraderie among its members. This strategy integrates seamlessly with Nike’s ethos of empowerment, turning its customers into a global community of brand advocates. The program’s success lies in its ability to go beyond selling products and cultivate an active lifestyle.

The Future of Loyalty Programs

As consumer expectations continue to evolve, the future of loyalty programs lies in their ability to adapt to emotional, experiential, and technological trends. Brands that harness data, personalization, and purpose-driven strategies will shape the next era of customer loyalty.

Data-Driven Personalization
Advances in technology, particularly in artificial intelligence and machine learning, enable brands to tailor loyalty programs to individual preferences. By analyzing purchase history, browsing behavior, and even social media interactions, brands can offer hyper-personalized rewards that feel meaningful. Sephora’s Beauty Insider program exemplifies this approach, providing product recommendations, birthday gifts, and tiered perks based on members’ spending habits. Personalized experiences ensure customers feel seen and valued, fostering deeper loyalty.

The Role of Content
Content has emerged as a powerful loyalty driver, allowing brands to engage customers beyond transactions. From exclusive tutorials to behind-the-scenes stories, content creates touchpoints that keep customers emotionally invested. Peloton’s immersive fitness content, delivered through its subscription model, has cultivated an intensely loyal user base. By integrating valuable, on-demand content with its product, Peloton transforms loyalty into a holistic experience.

Sustainability and Social Impact
Modern consumers increasingly expect brands to align with their values, particularly around sustainability and social impact. Loyalty programs can serve as platforms to amplify these efforts. For instance, IKEA’s “Buy Back” program rewards customers for returning old furniture, promoting sustainability while building loyalty. Such initiatives demonstrate that loyalty programs can do more than retain customers—they can become a core part of a brand’s identity.

The future of loyalty programs will hinge on their ability to go beyond rewards and embrace strategies that resonate on a deeper, more meaningful level. In the next section, we’ll explore actionable steps brands can take to modernize their approach to loyalty.

Actionable Steps Brands Can Take to Modernize their Approach to Loyalty

  • Harness Advanced Personalization Through AI
    Invest in machine learning algorithms to deliver predictive, data-driven personalization. Tailor loyalty programs based on real-time customer behaviors, purchase patterns, and even predictive analytics to anticipate needs before they arise. This positions your brand as proactive rather than reactive in meeting customer expectations.
  • Integrate Experiential Touchpoints
    Design loyalty initiatives that go beyond conventional transactions to include immersive experiences. Examples include exclusive previews, behind-the-scenes brand tours, or curated virtual events. These experiences should reflect the brand’s unique value proposition, reinforcing its identity while cultivating emotional resonance.
  • Build Ecosystems, Not Just Programs
    Transform loyalty programs into ecosystems that foster sustained engagement. For example, create an interconnected platform where customers can access rewards, content, and community engagement tools seamlessly. Think beyond “earning points” to a holistic network that rewards every meaningful interaction.
  • Embed Purpose into Program Design
    Purpose-driven loyalty goes beyond a campaign; it should be foundational to your program. Structure rewards around actions that reflect shared values, such as incentivizing sustainable practices or creating donation-matching opportunities tied to customer milestones.
  • Streamline User Experience with Technology
    Adopt cutting-edge digital interfaces, such as conversational AI or biometric authentication, to make rewards programs intuitive and frictionless. Prioritize mobile-first designs and integrate loyalty seamlessly into existing customer touchpoints, such as apps or e-commerce platforms.
  • Emphasize Long-Term Value Creation
    Shift focus from short-term customer retention metrics to lifetime value (CLV). Use advanced analytics to identify high-value segments and create bespoke loyalty tiers or benefits that deepen engagement over time.
  • Continuously Monitor and Evolve
    Leverage sophisticated customer feedback mechanisms, such as sentiment analysis and real-time surveys, to ensure loyalty programs remain relevant. Use iterative design principles to adapt rapidly, ensuring your program evolves alongside shifting market dynamics and consumer preferences.

The Future Demands Connection, Not Transactions

The decline of transactional loyalty programs reflects a broader shift in consumer culture -one that prizes connection over convenience and values over volume. In a saturated marketplace, where every brand promises perks, the ones that endure offer more: a sense of belonging, a shared purpose, and experiences that resonate beyond the checkout line.

This isn’t just a trend; it’s a reckoning. The loyalty of the future won’t be won with points and discounts. It will be earned through trust, empathy, and authenticity. The brands that understand this are already reshaping the rules, proving that, in the end, loyalty isn’t a program. It’s a relationship.

Stay ahead

Get regular insights

Keep up to date with the latest insights from our research as well as all our company news in our free monthly newsletter.

In a world bombarded by ads shouting for our attention, quiet brands are winning hearts. Amid the constant din of bright banners, autoplay videos, and relentless notifications, consumers seek a reprieve: brands that speak softly yet resonate deeply.

A noisy world allows brands the opportunity to offer audiences a little quiet. This shift isn’t accidental. Market research reveals a growing disinterest in loud, aggressive marketing. Instead, minimalist, understated branding that respects consumer intelligence is carving out a niche. These brands aren’t chasing attention; they’re earning it.

As the noise around us intensifies, subtlety has emerged as the ultimate competitive advantage. Many brands leveraging quiet strategies are finding a louder voice to cut through the clutter, resonate deeply, and make a lasting impact.

The Problem with Noise

Modern advertising has become a relentless barrage of messages vying for consumer attention. From intrusive pop-ups to influencers flooding social media feeds, the competition for visibility has reached deafening levels. Yet, this cacophony often has the opposite effect: consumers are tuning out.

The rise of ad blockers highlights growing frustration with intrusive marketing. A 2023 eMarketer study shows that nearly one-third of internet users worldwide use ad blockers at least sometimes when online. Consumers report feeling overwhelmed by irrelevant or disruptive advertising. Moreover, loud, over-the-top campaigns are increasingly perceived as insincere, pushing audiences away rather than drawing them in.

This overstimulation has created a craving for simplicity. Today’s audiences gravitate toward brands that offer clarity, authenticity, and a sense of calm. For brands, this presents an opportunity to differentiate by doing the opposite—embracing subtlety and earning attention through meaningful engagement.

What Makes Quiet Brands Stand Out

Quiet branding isn’t just about soft colors or minimalist design; it’s a philosophy rooted in intentionality. Subtle marketing focuses on authenticity, value, and connection. At its core, quiet branding involves several key elements:

Build a Cohesive Experience

Quiet brands ensure every touchpoint feels consistent and intentional. Whether it’s the packaging, website design, or physical presence, the brand creates a thoughtful and unified environment.

Example: Aarke, a premium home carbonation brand, delivers a seamless customer experience through sleek product design and eco-conscious packaging. Every interaction—from its retail displays to its social media presence reinforces its commitment to sustainability and understated elegance.

Image Aarke

Infuse Humanity into the Brand

Human-centered branding focuses on personal stories and authentic connections. By showcasing the people behind the brand or emphasizing the lifestyle it supports, quiet brands become relatable and meaningful.

Example: East Fork Pottery, a North Carolina-based ceramics company, highlights the artisans who craft its products. Through storytelling on social media and its blog, East Fork builds emotional connections that celebrate the human element of its creations.

Image Credit: The Bitter Southerner

Appeal to the Senses

Creating a calming brand presence requires engaging all five senses. Quiet brands often evoke emotions through textures, visuals, and sounds, leaving a lasting impression without overtly selling.

Example: Le Labo, the niche fragrance house, emphasizes sensory storytelling. Customers can watch perfumes being hand-blended in-store, while its minimalist, apothecary-style packaging and subtle branding focus on the sensory experience of discovering a scent.

Image Credit: Bal Harbour Shops

Understated Design

Minimalist aesthetics allow the product to shine without unnecessary embellishment. This restraint exudes sophistication and ensures clarity in a visually cluttered world.

Example: Hiut Denim, a UK-based denim brand, keeps its designs simple yet impactful, focusing on the quality of its jeans. Its branding avoids flashy campaigns, letting its craftsmanship take center stage.

Image Credit: The Storytelling Business

Authentic Messaging

Quiet brands communicate with clarity and honesty, avoiding hyperbolic claims. This approach builds trust and credibility.

Example: Basecamp, a project management software company, avoids buzzwords and flashy promises. Its marketing focuses on practical benefits, resonating with audiences seeking straightforward solutions.

Image Credit: Basecamp

Focus on Product Quality

Letting the product’s excellence speak for itself is a hallmark of quiet branding. By emphasizing craftsmanship, brands can build loyalty without excessive promotion.

Example: Cuyana, a sustainable fashion brand, highlights its “fewer, better things” philosophy. Its focus on timeless, high-quality pieces appeals to consumers who value substance over spectacle.

Image Credit: Condé Nast Traveler

The Role of Stealth in Quiet Branding

While quiet branding thrives on transparency and authenticity, stealth marketing offers a complementary strategy that creates intrigue. Stealth marketing involves embedding a brand into cultural or social narratives in a way that feels organic and non-intrusive. This approach ensures that messaging feels natural and non-disruptive.

Engage Through Narrative Integration

Stealth marketing often relies on subtle placements and authentic integrations to connect with audiences. For example, products may appear in films, TV shows, or social media posts without overtly calling attention to themselves.

Example: Casper, the mattress company, launched “Van Winkle’s,” a content platform discussing sleep-related topics. Without overtly promoting its products, Casper positioned itself as a thought leader in the sleep space, creating organic interest.

Foster Organic Buzz

Stealth marketing excels at sparking conversation without traditional ads. By creating memorable moments, brands earn consumer attention naturally.

Example: Red Bull integrated itself into extreme sports through events like cliff diving and air races. These activities aligned with its adventurous brand image, generating buzz without directly promoting the product.

Case Study: UGG Since 1974: Quiet Branding in the Face of Trademark Battles

Few products are as culturally ingrained in Australia as ugg boots, a term synonymous with sheepskin footwear since the 1930s. Popularized by surfers in the 1960s for their warmth and practicality, “ugg” became the generic term for this iconic style. By the time UGG Since 1974 entered the market, the name had already been widely accepted as shorthand for sheepskin boots.

However, a complicated trademark history disrupted this seemingly simple story. In the United States, the rights to the “UGG” trademark were sold by a distributor unrelated to UGG Since 1974. The trademark eventually landed in the hands of Deckers Outdoor Corporation, which owns exclusive rights to “UGG” in over 130 countries. This created a legal minefield for Australian producers like UGG Since 1974, who found themselves restricted from using their own name outside of Australia and New Zealand.

Faced with this challenge, UGG Since 1974 is rebranding internationally as “Since 74.” While this move will allow the company to operate in compliance with trademark laws, it also raises questions about whether a focus on product quality and understated branding can triumph over the global name recognition of Deckers’ UGG brand.

“We are the original, and we will still be the original no matter what our label says on the back of our boots,” CEO Todd Watts said, signaling their commitment to authenticity. For UGG Since 1974, the rebrand is not just about compliance but an opportunity to highlight what sets them apart: handcrafted, high-quality sheepskin boots made on the Gold Coast.

Quiet Branding vs. Global Recognition

Unlike Deckers’ UGG, which emphasizes glossy advertising campaigns and celebrity endorsements, UGG Since 1974 has leaned into subtle branding. Their minimalist design, focus on transparency, and craftsmanship aim to resonate with consumers seeking authenticity over spectacle.

The difference extends to the products themselves. Deckers’ UGG boots are mass-produced, focusing on global scalability, whereas UGG Since 1974 prides itself on artisanal quality and customization. Market research suggests consumers increasingly value brands prioritizing craftsmanship and sustainability, key pillars of UGG Since 1974’s quiet branding approach.

Will Quiet Branding Win for UGGs

The question is whether consumers will embrace “Since 74” as the same authentic product they’ve known under the original name. While UGG Since 1974 faces the challenge of rebuilding brand recognition outside Australia, its emphasis on quality and heritage could turn this rebrand into an advantage.

The rebranding effort is currently underway, but its success will depend on whether the subtle strategy can withstand Deckers’ global marketing dominance. UGG Since 1974 has been betting that quiet authenticity will resonate louder than any trademarked name.

Challenges and Considerations of Quiet Branding 

While quiet and stealth branding offer significant benefits, they are not without risks. Brands adopting these strategies must navigate potential pitfalls to succeed:

1. Risks of Being Too Quiet

Some brands may fail to gain sufficient visibility in their striving for subtlety. Without enough presence, even the most well-crafted products or messages risk being overlooked in a competitive market.

2. Balancing Subtlety with Visibility

The challenge lies in creating quiet yet impactful campaigns. Finding the balance between subtle branding and maintaining relevance requires thoughtful execution and strategic placement.

3. Ensuring Authenticity

Quiet and stealth approaches demand authenticity. Any hint of insincerity or performative actions can backfire, eroding trust rather than building it. Brands must align their actions and messaging with their values to maintain credibility.

The Future of Quiet Branding

Quiet branding is poised for growth, driven by technological advancements and shifting cultural trends:

  • Predictions Based on Current Trends

The demand for authenticity and transparency shows no signs of waning. Brands that prioritize meaningful connections over flashy campaigns will continue to thrive. As consumers increasingly seek calm amid chaos, quiet branding will become an integral part of marketing strategies.

  • Advances in Data and Personalization

The rise of AI and data-driven insights will enable brands to further refine their quiet branding strategies. By leveraging predictive analytics and personalization, brands can craft subtle yet highly targeted campaigns that resonate deeply with individual preferences. Personalized experiences, delivered with care and subtlety, will define the future of quiet marketing.

  • Why Quiet Brands Will Continue to Thrive

Quiet branding and stealth marketing demonstrate that less can indeed be more. Quiet brands offer something rare and valuable: a sense of calm, trust, and authenticity. By aligning with consumer values and leveraging advanced tools to create meaningful experiences, these brands are uniquely positioned to succeed in the long term. This isn’t just a trend; it’s a response to a changing world where quality and connection matter more than ever.

Quiet branding and stealth marketing offer a refreshing antidote. These strategies prioritize authenticity, trust, and meaningful connections, cutting through the clutter. As the demand for transparency and personalization grows, brands that embrace subtlety are not just surviving; they’re shaping the future of marketing.

Stay ahead

Get regular insights

Keep up to date with the latest insights from our research as well as all our company news in our free monthly newsletter.

The second-hand goods market in Japan has seen extraordinary growth over the past decade, more than doubling in value since 2010. This surge reflects a shift in consumer behavior toward more sustainable and economical choices, driven by the rising popularity of second-hand goods platforms and a cultural focus on quality and reuse.

Our sister company, Cross Marketing Inc., recently conducted a study exploring the purchase behaviors, benefits, and concerns of Japanese consumers regarding second-hand goods. This research highlights key trends shaping the second-hand market and provides valuable insights for brands looking to tap into this growing sector.

Understanding Japan’s Second-Hand Ecosystem

The second-hand market in Japan has evolved into a dynamic and thriving sector driven by affordability, sustainability, and a cultural appreciation for quality. According to our latest study, books and manga are the top choices for second-hand purchases, with almost half of respondents identifying these as their top choices. Games, CDs, and DVDs follow closely at 38%, and cars, bikes, and bicycles at 27%. 

Top-Categories-for Second-Hand-or-Reused-Goods-Purchases

Japan’s focus on meticulous product preservation and high-quality standards plays a crucial role in the popularity of reused goods. Unlike in some Western markets, where thrift shopping often involves bargain hunting, Japanese consumers seek items that retain their original value, emphasizing condition and authenticity.

Generational differences further highlight the diverse appeal of second-hand goods. Younger consumers in their 20s favor clothing and accessories, reflecting a growing trend toward sustainable fashion. Meanwhile, respondents in their 30s preferred entertainment products like games and DVDs, often driven by nostalgia or affordability. 

Second-Hand-Goods-Purchase-Trends-by-Age-Group-in-Japan

These preferences underline a broader cultural shift toward sustainable consumption, with second-hand shopping becoming a practical and socially conscious choice. As Japan’s second-hand market grows, brands have a unique opportunity to align with these values while addressing consumer concerns about product authenticity and condition. 

Benefits-of-Buying-Second-Hand-or-Reused-Goods-Japan

Comparing Japan’s Second-Hand Market to the US and UK

While Japan’s second-hand market is rooted in quality and sustainability, its Western counterparts offer a contrasting yet complementary picture, particularly in the US and UK. In the US, thrift shopping has long been associated with affordability and individuality, with platforms like Goodwill and Poshmark. Meanwhile, the UK has seen a rise in sustainability-focused resale platforms such as Depop and Vinted, driven by a younger audience concerned about environmental impact.

Key Differences in Consumer Behavior

  • In Japan, second-hand goods are often valued for their pristine condition and longevity, reflecting a cultural emphasis on care and maintenance. By contrast, in the US, the “thrill of the hunt” for unique or vintage finds plays a larger role in consumer motivation.
  • Western markets, particularly in the UK, see a stronger emphasis on sustainability as a driver for second-hand purchases, aligning with broader environmental movements.

Retail Strategies Across Markets

  • In the US and UK, the second-hand ecosystem thrives on a mix of traditional thrift stores and digital marketplaces. The convenience of online platforms has expanded their reach significantly, mirroring Japan’s growing reliance on e-commerce for second-hand goods.
  • Japanese brands can integrate Western best practices, such as authenticity certifications and user-friendly online interfaces, to address domestic consumer concerns about quality and transparency.

Lessons for Global Brands

Understanding cultural nuances is key for brands operating across these regions. Western markets offer insights into leveraging sustainability and community-driven marketing, while Japan provides lessons in quality assurance and brand trust. Together, these approaches highlight the global potential of the second-hand market, which continues to grow as consumers increasingly prioritize affordability and environmental impact.

Japanese-consumer-concerns-about-second-hand-goods-market

Opportunities and Challenges for Brands in the Second-Hand Market

The second-hand market in Japan presents a unique opportunity for brands to tap into shifting consumer behaviors and the growing demand for sustainable solutions. However, with these opportunities come challenges that require strategic navigation.

Opportunities for Brands

  1. Incorporating Resale Initiatives:
    Brands can embrace resale programs to strengthen their sustainability credentials. Companies like Patagonia and Uniqlo have successfully introduced programs for reselling used items, building trust and fostering customer loyalty.
  2. Meeting Demand for Affordability and Quality:
    By offering second-hand options at competitive prices, brands can attract cost-conscious consumers while maintaining quality assurance, a key expectation in Japan.
  3. Leveraging Digital Platforms:
    As e-commerce dominates second-hand transactions, brands can partner with online platforms or build resale marketplaces, offering enhanced transparency, authenticity guarantees, and user-friendly experiences.
Japanese-attitudes-toward-second-hand-goods

Challenges for Brands

  1. Addressing Consumer Concerns:
    Trust remains a significant hurdle, with concerns about product condition, authenticity, and hygiene topping the list. To alleviate these fears, brands must invest in clear product descriptions, certifications, and return policies.
  2. Balancing Resale and New Product Sales:
    Expanding resale operations without cannibalizing new product sales requires careful pricing strategies and consumer education about the benefits of new and used offerings.
  3. Navigating Cultural Nuances:
    Focusing on pristine condition and authenticity in Japan is critical, whereas Western consumers may be more accepting of minor imperfections. Tailoring marketing strategies to these expectations is essential for success.

Case Study: Mercari – Transforming Japan’s Second-Hand Marketplace

Image Credit: Forward2Me

Background

Established in 2013, Mercari has rapidly become Japan’s leading community-powered marketplace. It enables individuals to buy and sell various items directly from their smartphones. The platform boasts over 23 million monthly active users (MAUs) in Japan.

Approach

Mercari’s success can be attributed to several strategic initiatives:

  1. User-Friendly Platform
    Mercari’s intuitive interface simplifies buying and selling, making it accessible to a broad demographic. Users can list items by simply uploading photos and adding descriptions, while buyers can easily search and filter listings to find desired products.
  2. Trust and Safety Measures
    Mercari has implemented an escrow-based payment system to foster trust among users. This system ensures funds are securely held until the buyer confirms receipt of the item in satisfactory condition. This approach minimizes the risk of fraud and enhances user confidence in transactions.
  3. Promotion of the Circular Economy
    Mercari’s mission emphasizes creating value in a global marketplace where anyone can buy and sell, promoting the reuse of goods and contributing to environmental sustainability. Mercari supports the reduction of waste and efficiently uses resources.

Results

Mercari’s innovative approach has solidified its position as Japan’s largest C2C marketplace. The platform’s extensive user base and diverse listings have made it a go-to destination for consumers seeking common and unique items. Mercari’s efforts have also contributed to normalizing second-hand shopping in Japan, aligning with global trends toward sustainable consumption.

Takeaway for Brands

Mercari’s model demonstrates the potential of combining user-centric design with robust safety features to build a thriving online marketplace. Brands looking to enter or expand within the second-hand market can draw valuable insights from Mercari’s strategies, particularly in fostering trust, promoting sustainability, and leveraging technology to enhance user experience.

Patagonia’s Worn Wear program is another example of how brands can integrate sustainability and second-hand initiatives into their core operations, enhancing their environmental impact and consumer loyalty.

Strategic Insights: Leveraging the Second-Hand Trend for Brand Success

As the second-hand market expands in Japan, brands have a significant opportunity to align with shifting consumer values while addressing key challenges. Below are actionable strategies for brands to capitalize on this growing trend.

1. Build Trust Through Transparency

Consumer trust is paramount in the second-hand ecosystem, especially in Japan, where authenticity and quality are critical. Brands can:

  • Implement product certifications to verify authenticity.
  • Provide detailed product descriptions and high-resolution images for online listings.
  • Offer buyer protection programs, including inspection guarantees and hassle-free return policies.

2. Embrace Digital Innovation

E-commerce drives the second-hand revolution, and brands must prioritize digital platforms to stay competitive. Strategies include:

  • Creating dedicated second-hand sections on official websites.
  • Partnering with popular resale platforms like Mercari or Rakuma to reach existing audiences.
  • Leveraging AI and data analytics to personalize recommendations and identify resale demand trends.

3. Integrate Sustainability Into Marketing

Highlighting the environmental benefits of second-hand shopping can resonate with eco-conscious consumers. Brands should:

  • Promote circular economy initiatives, such as buy-back or trade-in programs.
  • Use storytelling to emphasize the sustainability impact of choosing reused goods over new items.
  • Collaborate with sustainability influencers to amplify their message.

4. Balance Resale with New Product Strategies

Second-hand sales should complement, not cannibalize, new product sales. Brands can achieve this by:

  • Pricing second-hand goods strategically to differentiate them from new products.
  • Using resale platforms to attract new customers who may transition to buying new items.
  • Introducing exclusive collections or limited-edition items for resale to maintain product desirability.

5. Draw Inspiration from Global Markets

Western markets like the US and UK offer valuable lessons on branding and consumer engagement in the second-hand space:

  • Adopt the community-driven marketing tactics popular on platforms like Depop.
  • Explore partnerships with thrift-focused organizations to enhance brand visibility and credibility.

The Second-Hand Market as a Long-Term Strategy for Brands

The rise of Japan’s second-hand market signals more than just a shift in consumer preferences – it reflects a broader evolution in how value, sustainability, and quality are perceived. From books and clothing to cars and collectibles, Japanese consumers are embracing reused goods for their affordability, unique appeal, and contribution to a circular economy.

This presents a compelling opportunity for brands to innovate and connect with consumers on deeper levels. Companies can build trust by addressing key concerns like product authenticity, quality, and transparency while carving a niche in this growing sector. Initiatives like resale platforms, trade-in programs, and partnerships with second-hand marketplaces are no longer optional – they are critical strategies for staying relevant.

The success of platforms like Mercari demonstrates the immense potential of this market, while global examples from Western markets show the scalability of second-hand strategies. As the reuse economy grows, brands that adapt quickly and strategically will thrive and lead toward a more sustainable and consumer-centric future.

The second-hand market is here to stay. For brands ready to align with this transformative trend, the time to act is now.

Contact us today for in-depth insights and strategic recommendations tailored to your brand’s needs. Let’s explore how your business can tap into Japan’s second-hand market and drive sustainable growth.

Stay ahead

Get regular insights

Keep up to date with the latest insights from our research as well as all our company news in our free monthly newsletter.

A pair of limited-edition sneakers sells out in seconds. A countdown timer warns shoppers to buy now—or miss out. An influencer teases an exclusive event, restricted to a select few. Despite a surplus of consumer choices, brands are making products deliberately harder to buy.

Scarcity, urgency, and FOMO—the fear of missing out—have become core strategies in modern marketing, shaping how consumers shop and perceive value. What once seemed like organic demand is now carefully engineered. From luxury brands restricting supply to streaming services pulling content after 24 hours, the result is the same: consumers feel pressured to act before it’s too late.

How did brands turn psychology into a marketing machine? And when does persuasion cross into manipulation? As companies refine these tactics, the ethics of influence are becoming harder to ignore.

Why Consumers React to Scarcity, Urgency, and FOMO

Consumers like to believe they make rational decisions, weighing options and choosing what best fits their needs. The reality? Decisions are often driven by instinct. Scarcity, urgency, and fear exploit cognitive biases, triggering impulse rather than logic.

Scarcity: The Fear of Limited Supply
Nothing fuels demand like the illusion of rarity. When something is harder to get, it feels more valuable. Behavioral economist Richard Thaler’s research supports this: scarcity drives desire. Luxury brands have perfected the game. Hermès doesn’t limit Birkin bag production due to material shortages—it’s a strategy to keep the bags exclusive. Tech companies use the same approach. PlayStation 5’s perpetual “out of stock” status during launch wasn’t just supply chain issues—it kept consumers hooked, waiting for their moment to buy.

Urgency: The Pressure of Time
Hesitation feels like a loss when the clock is ticking. The Zeigarnik Effect, a psychological tendency to remember unfinished tasks, drives consumers to complete a purchase before the window closes. E-commerce platforms have perfected this trigger. Amazon’s “Lightning Deals” refresh hourly, urging shoppers to act fast. Travel sites flash “Only 2 rooms left!” warnings to heighten anxiety. The result? Split-second decisions with little time for second thoughts.

FOMO: The Power of Social Influence
Social media has turned FOMO into a marketing force. Seeing friends attend exclusive events or snag limited drops triggers an urgency no ad campaign can match. Snapchat and Instagram Stories disappear after 24 hours, making users compulsively check-in. Brands engineer this further with invitation-only product launches – think Clubhouse’s early-access model or Supreme’s drop culture. The goal isn’t just to sell; it’s to make consumers feel they’re part of something others can’t have.

Brands That Have Mastered Psychological Triggers

Some brands don’t just use scarcity, urgency, and FOMO; they’ve built their entire business models around them. They’ve turned these psychological levers into powerful revenue drivers by engineering desire and controlling access.

Hermès: The Art of Scarcity
No waiting lists. No online checkout. No guarantee of purchase even if you can afford it. The Hermès Birkin bag isn’t just a handbag; it’s a masterclass in controlled scarcity. By severely limiting production and requiring buyers to develop relationships with sales associates, Hermès ensures demand always outstrips supply. The result? A resale market where Birkins appreciate like investments, sometimes selling for double their retail price. In an industry where most items eventually go on sale, Hermès has made being unable to buy its product the ultimate status symbol.

Amazon: Urgency at Scale
E-commerce thrives on speed, and Amazon has utilized urgency better than anyone. Limited-time “Lightning Deals,” countdown timers, and messages like “Only 3 left in stock!” nudge consumers toward checkout. Prime Day, the company’s annual shopping event, is a prime example of when millions of deals disappear within hours, pushing shoppers to act fast. Amazon sells the anxiety of missing out on a bargain.

Supreme: FOMO in Its Purest Form
Supreme’s business model is built on hype. The streetwear brand’s infamous “drops” happen weekly, with products selling out in minutes, sometimes seconds. By keeping supply deliberately low and collaborating with high-profile brands, Supreme fuels a cycle of exclusivity and demand. Fans don’t just buy Supreme; they line up for hours to compete for the chance. With a resale market where items often fetch triple their original price, the brand has turned FOMO into a profitable ecosystem of scarcity-driven desire.

Social Commerce Meets FOMO with TikTok Shop:
TikTok has taken FOMO-driven shopping to a new level. By integrating e-commerce directly into its platform, the app encourages impulse purchases through time-sensitive deals and influencer-driven recommendations. “Only available for the next 24 hours” captions, live shopping events, and viral trends create a sense of now-or-never urgency. The difference? Consumers aren’t just buying from brands – they’re buying because their favorite creators make them feel like they’ll miss out if they don’t.

These brands are selling access, exclusivity, and the psychological rush of securing something before it’s gone. However, as consumers become more aware of these tactics, brands must ask themselves: how long before urgency turns into exhaustion?

Where Do Brands Draw the Line?

Scarcity, urgency, and FOMO are undeniably effective, but when does persuasion cross into manipulation? As brands push these psychological triggers harder, consumers are starting to push back.

Artificial Scarcity – Manufacturing Hype or Deception?
Not all scarcity is real. Some brands intentionally create stock shortages to generate buzz, only to quietly restock later. Luxury brands have long used this tactic, but now, even fast-fashion and tech companies are adopting it. Many product releases “sell out” in minutes, only reappearing later on resale platforms at inflated prices. The illusion of exclusivity works, but at what cost? Consumers are growing wary of brands that manufacture demand rather than earn it.

Urgency Fatigue – When Consumers Stop Caring
Constant countdown timers, flashing “limited stock” warnings, and one-day-only deals can lose their impact when overused. Studies show that consumers who repeatedly encounter false urgency eventually stop responding. Travel booking sites have faced regulatory scrutiny for exaggerating scarcity and listing “only one room left” when more are available. When urgency becomes routine rather than real, brands risk credibility.

FOMO Burnout – The Mental Toll on Consumers
Social media-driven FOMO isn’t just a marketing tool; it’s an emotional trigger. The pressure to stay ahead, secure the latest drop, or participate in an exclusive event can lead to anxiety and compulsive spending. A survey by Credit Karma found that nearly 40% of millennials have gone into debt because of FOMO-fueled purchases. Brands that lean too heavily on this strategy risk alienating consumers who feel manipulated rather than empowered.

Regulation and Consumer Backlash
Regulators are beginning to crack down. The UK’s Competition and Markets Authority (CMA) has fined companies for misleading urgency tactics. In the U.S., the Federal Trade Commission (FTC) has warned brands against deceptive scarcity claims. Consumers, too, are becoming more vocal, calling out brands for fake limited editions and “forever sales.”

Scarcity, urgency, and FOMO can drive engagement, but brands that misuse these tactics risk long-term damage. Once lost, trust is difficult to regain. The challenge now is clear: how can brands create real value?

How Brands Can Apply Psychological Triggers Effectively

Scarcity, urgency, and FOMO aren’t inherently unethical when used correctly, they can enhance customer experience, create meaningful engagement, and drive sales without alienating consumers. The key is authenticity. Brands that use these psychological triggers responsibly build stronger relationships with their audience, while those that rely on deception risk losing credibility.

Authentic Scarcity – When Limited Means Limited
Consumers can spot artificial scarcity. If a product is marketed as exclusive but keeps reappearing, trust erodes. Instead, brands should create real constraints, whether through limited production runs, seasonal availability, or exclusive collaborations. Hermès maintains exclusivity by restricting supply, while high-end automotive brands use limited releases to sustain long-term desirability.

Strategic Urgency – Pressure Without Manipulation
Urgency works best when it feels natural, not forced. Time-sensitive promotions should be genuine, like early-bird event pricing, flash sales with clear expiration dates, or rewards for loyal customers who act quickly. Travel companies, after facing scrutiny for misleading urgency tactics, are shifting toward more transparent messaging, highlighting real-time booking trends rather than fabricating scarcity.

FOMO-Driven Engagement – Creating Experiences, Not Just Sales
FOMO doesn’t have to be about fear; it can be about excitement and belonging. Brands that foster community-driven experiences see long-term success. Exclusive memberships, VIP access, and interactive product launches tap into the power of FOMO while providing real value. For instance, TikTok’s live shopping feature blends urgency with entertainment, encouraging consumers to engage rather than feel pressured.

The Long Game – Balancing Demand with Trust
Short-term sales tactics can generate immediate results, but brands that rely too heavily on them risk fatigue. The most successful companies use scarcity, urgency, and FOMO sparingly, ensuring that when they do, it feels special. Transparency is key. If consumers understand why a product is limited, why a sale is ending, or why an offer is exclusive, they’re more likely to trust the brand and return for future purchases.

Scarcity, urgency, and FOMO are some of the most powerful marketing tools, but their real strength lies in their use. Brands that use them responsibly will not only drive conversions but also build lasting loyalty in a market where trust is harder to earn than ever.

keeping-up-with-Gen-z

The Future of Scarcity, Urgency, and FOMO in Marketing

As consumers grow savvier, brands must rethink how they use psychological triggers. The old playbook – endless countdown timers, fake exclusivity, and misleading urgency – no longer works. Trust is becoming the new currency, and brands that misuse these tactics risk long-term damage.

AI-Driven Personalization – The Next Evolution of Urgency
Instead of blasting the same urgency messages to everyone, brands now leverage AI to make scarcity and FOMO feel personal. E-commerce platforms analyze browsing habits and purchase history to create dynamic, hyper-targeted urgency. Rather than generic “Only 3 left in stock!” alerts, AI can now tell a shopper, “This item has been viewed 200 times in the past hour by customers in your city.” This shift makes urgency more relevant and harder to ignore.

Web3 and Digital Scarcity – The New Luxury?
Blockchain is reshaping the concept of exclusivity. NFTs, tokenized memberships, and limited digital assets are turning scarcity into a verified, traceable feature rather than a marketing gimmick. In fashion and entertainment, brands are experimenting with “phygital” drops, where limited-edition physical products are tied to digital ownership, making them impossible to replicate or mass-produce. The result? Scarcity that is verifiable, not just implied.

The Consumer Backlash: Brands Walking a Fine Line
Consumers are pushing back against overused urgency tactics. The rise of anti-FOMO movements, such as the slow fashion trend, conscious consumerism, and “buy less, buy better” messaging, signals a shift away from impulse-driven spending. Brands that continue to rely on aggressive scarcity marketing without delivering real value could find themselves losing consumer trust.

The Shift Toward Ethical Marketing
Regulations will only get stricter, and consumer expectations will only rise. The future belongs to brands that create demand without deception – companies that balance excitement with authenticity. Whether through genuine exclusivity, AI-powered personalization, or blockchain-backed scarcity, the next wave of marketing won’t be about forcing consumers to act. It will be about making them want to.

Urgency still matters with fleeting attention spans. But in the future, the most successful brands will not just create FOMO – they’ll create something worth waiting for.

The Fine Line Between Influence and Manipulation

Scarcity, urgency, and FOMO have shaped modern marketing, but they are no longer foolproof tactics. Consumers today are more informed, more skeptical, and less willing to be pressured into making purchases. The brands that continue to rely on outdated urgency tricks risk alienating their audience, while those that evolve will be the ones that thrive.

The future of marketing isn’t about manufacturing demand; it’s about meeting it in smarter ways. Real scarcity, backed by transparent supply constraints. Urgency that reflects genuine time-sensitive value, not fabricated pressure. FOMO that fuels community and belonging rather than consumer anxiety.

The brands that win in this landscape will be the ones that recognize a simple truth: consumers don’t just want to buy; they want to believe. And belief is built on trust, not tricks.

Stay ahead

Get regular insights

Keep up to date with the latest insights from our research as well as all our company news in our free monthly newsletter.

When Miguel and Mikayla Reyes launched Quesadilla Gorilla in Visalia, California, they weren’t just selling quesadillas – they were tapping into a growing demand for customization. By letting customers build their meals with fresh ingredients and signature salsas, they transformed a small local shop into a rapidly expanding chain.

Fast food chains are no longer defined by speed alone – choice now drives the industry. Consumers are rejecting fixed menus in favor of meals that fit their diets, tastes, and lifestyles. A 2024 report by Tillster found that one in three quick-service diners skipped a restaurant because it lacked customization, a jump from 21% the previous year.

Personalization isn’t just a trend – it’s an expectation. More than half of diners (58%) say they’re more likely to recommend a fast food chain if they had a positive custom-ordering experience. For Quick Serve Restaurants or QSRs, that’s not just about loyalty – it’s about survival.

QSRs are racing to keep up, using technology to turn customization from a challenge into a competitive advantage. Self-service kiosks, now fixtures in many chains, fuel this shift. Demand is rising fast – 57% of diners want more of them, up from 36% last year. Beyond convenience, kiosks give customers greater control over their meals, making customization seamless.

But technology alone isn’t enough. A seamless experience matters just as much as the ability to customize. Nearly nine in ten diners (89%) say inconsistency across locations frustrates them, and more than half (57%) will take their business elsewhere because of it. Fast food chains that embrace personalization but fail to execute it uniformly risk losing the very customers they’re trying to attract.

Image credit: Quesadilla Gorilla

Quesadilla Gorilla is proof that customization isn’t just a gimmick – it’s a growth strategy. By giving customers complete control over their meals, the California-based chain has built a cult-like following and expanded rapidly. When diners feel ownership over what they’re eating, they don’t just return – they become brand ambassadors.

The Consumer-Driven Shift

Fast food was built on uniformity – the same burger, the same fries, the same experience. But consumers now expect meals that reflect their diets, values, and preferences – and they’re willing to pay for that control.

A recent report found that 72% of fast food customers prefer restaurants with personalized ordering, and a third have ditched a restaurant that lacked it. The message is clear: if QSRs don’t offer customization, someone else will.

Dietary Needs Are Driving Change

Health-conscious consumers and specialized diets are reshaping fast food. More people are adopting plant-based, keto, and allergen-free options, forcing QSRs to adapt. In the UK, a study found that 34% of Brits follow a flexitarian, vegetarian, or vegan diet. McDonald’s responded with its McPlant burger – a fully vegan option that proved so popular it became a permanent menu item.

Gluten-free and allergen-conscious dining is no longer niche – it’s mainstream. In the US, 32 million people have food allergies, and one in ten adults avoids gluten. QSRs that once overlooked these needs are now making them a priority. Chipotle lets customers filter its entire digital menu by allergens and diet preferences, making ordering safer and easier.

Regional Preferences Are Reshaping Menus

Personalization isn’t a one-size-fits-all trend – it looks different in every market. In Japan, MOS Burger lets customers swap ingredients for vegan, keto, or high-protein options. In India, where 40% of the population is vegetarian, McDonald’s runs separate vegetarian kitchens in select locations to meet demand.

Image credit: Salad Stop!

Customization in Southeast Asia is shaped by local food culture. In Singapore, SaladStop! thrives on made-to-order salads and grain bowls, catering to a region where 65% of consumers prioritize fresh, healthy ingredients (Statista, 2024). In South Korea, Lotteria’s “Mix Your Own Burger” system lets customers pick everything from the bun to the sauce, tapping into a younger generation that values choice.

Fast Food No Longer Means Fast Decisions

Fast food has evolved from a mass-production model to a made-for-you experience. Consumers expect meals to match their dietary needs and personal values and are willing to pay for that control. Whether it’s plant-based options, high-protein choices, or allergen-free meals, customization is no longer a perk; it’s the baseline. The brands that keep up are driving higher order values and stronger customer loyalty. Those that fall behind risk becoming irrelevant.

How AI and Technology Are Making It Possible

Technology is reshaping fast food, making personalization scalable. AI and machine learning are making customization scalable, helping restaurants tailor meals while streamlining operations. For fast food chains, this isn’t just about convenience – it’s about survival in an era where consumer expectations are shifting faster than ever.

AI-Powered Ordering Systems

Image credit: Wendy’s

Automation is now streamlining drive-thru service. Wendy’s has partnered with Google Cloud to roll out FreshAI, a voice assistant designed to speed up service and reduce errors. Already in 100 locations, the system is set to expand to 600 outlets by 2025. While some diners appreciate the efficiency, others miss the human touch – highlighting the tension between automation and experience in fast food’s tech-driven future.

Digital Kiosks and Personalization

Self-service kiosks are not just about convenience – they’re becoming personalized digital waiters. AI-driven kiosks now remember past orders, suggest meal pairings, and tailor recommendations based on dietary needs. By reducing friction and speeding up service, these machines are transforming customer interactions – and helping fast food chains increase sales along the way.

Machine Learning for Menu Customization

The smartest menus now learn from you. Machine learning lets QSRs track past orders, adapt to dietary preferences, and even tweak menus based on ingredient availability. Running low on an item? The system suggests an alternative in real-time. Beyond customer convenience, these AI-driven menus help restaurants reduce waste, streamline inventory, and boost margins.

Operational Efficiency Through AI

AI isn’t just in the front of house—it’s redefining kitchen operations behind the scenes. Predictive analytics help QSRs anticipate demand, adjust staffing, and keep inventory tight. The same technology can even flag equipment issues before they cause breakdowns, cutting costly downtime. The result? Faster service, lower costs, and a more efficient back-end operation.

This shift isn’t just changing how customers order – it’s restructuring the entire industry, from kitchen design to staffing strategies.

Business Impact and Industry Disruption

The push for hyper-personalization is reshaping how fast food chains operate, forcing them to balance customization with efficiency. Kitchens once designed for assembly-line efficiency are now adapting to a made-to-order model – one that delivers choice but also adds complexity. While brands that get it right see higher sales and stronger customer loyalty, those that can’t balance personalization with efficiency risk slowing down service and driving up costs.

Rethinking fast food Kitchens

Fast food kitchens are undergoing a major overhaul to meet the demands of customized ordering. McDonald’s is experimenting with automation at a Texas location, where robots handle grilling and order assembly. Meanwhile, AI-powered kitchen display systems (KDS) are helping restaurants reduce human error and improve efficiency.

Chipotle’s “Chipotlanes” are redefining the drive-thru experience. By separating app-based orders from in-store transactions, these digital lanes reduce congestion and speed up fulfillment. CEO Brian Niccol reports that digital sales reached 37% of total revenue in 2023 – a figure likely to climb as more customers opt for customized meals.

The Business Upside

Customization isn’t just a consumer preference – it’s also good for business. A study by McKinsey & Company found that brands offering personalized experiences drive 40% more revenue than competitors that stick to traditional menus. In fast food, higher-order values, repeat purchases, and improved brand loyalty are the biggest wins.

Data collection is another major advantage. Every custom order provides insight into consumer preferences, allowing QSRs to fine-tune menu options, predict demand, and minimize food waste. A report by the National Restaurant Association found that smart inventory management driven by AI could reduce waste by up to 15%, saving businesses millions annually.

The Hidden Costs of Personalization

Despite the upside, the shift toward extreme customization brings new risks. More complex orders require more ingredients, increased prep time, and a higher likelihood of operational slowdowns. In 2023, Shake Shack’s CFO, Katie Fogertey, noted that over-customization led to longer wait times, straining kitchens and frustrating customers.

There’s also the cost of technology. AI-powered ordering systems, digital kiosks, and smart kitchen tech require significant upfront investment – something smaller franchises may struggle to afford. According to a 2024 industry analysis by Deloitte, the cost of implementing AI-driven food prep technology can range from $500,000 to over $2 million per location, depending on the scale of automation.

For QSRs, the challenge is clear: how to balance efficiency with personalization without sacrificing speed or profitability. Some are leaning on AI, others on pre-set customization limits, but one thing is certain – fast food is no longer just about being fast.

Fast Food’s New Balancing Act: Customization Versus Efficiency

Fast food chains are under pressure to rethink their entire model as customization moves from novelty to necessity. The old system of standardized meals is being replaced by flexible menus that cater to individual preferences, but adapting at scale is no easy feat. While personalized ordering can boost sales and improve inventory management, the operational complexities are mounting – forcing even the biggest QSRs to reassess how they function.

Kitchens Built for Speed Are Getting a Makeover

The shift toward customization is forcing QSRs to rethink not just their menus, but their kitchens. Designed for efficiency and volume, traditional back-of-house operations are now struggling to accommodate a growing demand for personalized meals. Chains that once thrived on uniformity are now experimenting with new layouts, technology, and automation to keep up.

Quick-service chains are automating to stay competitive. McDonald’s is testing a robotics-driven location in Texas, where AI-powered kiosks and automated fry stations are reducing labor costs and speeding up prep times. At the same time, Chipotle is using automation in its kitchens, piloting robotic tortilla chip makers to streamline production without disrupting customization. As QSRs scale automation, the challenge isn’t just efficiency – it’s integrating technology without sacrificing the personalized experience customers expect.

More Choices, Bigger Profits

Customization isn’t just about consumer preference – it’s driving higher spending at fast food chains. Research from Deloitte highlights that brands excelling in personalization see stronger customer engagement and long-term loyalty. Meanwhile, studies on digital ordering trends show that consumers spend more when they can modify their meals, opting for premium ingredients or add-ons. For QSRs, this means a direct link between menu flexibility and increased revenue, making personalization more than just a marketing tool – it’s a business strategy.

Data is another major driver. Every custom order provides valuable insight into consumer preferences, allowing QSRs to refine menus, optimize ingredient sourcing, and reduce food waste. AI-driven inventory tracking is helping QSRs minimize waste and maximize margins. The National Restaurant Association estimates these systems could save restaurants millions annually by optimizing ingredient use.

The Cost of Getting Personal

Offering limitless choices isn’t always good for business. Shake Shack CFO Katie Fogertey warned that an influx of custom orders slowed service and strained kitchen operations, frustrating both customers and staff. More ingredients mean more prep time, higher operational costs, and a greater risk of bottlenecks – issues that can erode the efficiency QSRs rely on.

The shift toward automation comes with a steep price tag. AI-powered kiosks, digital ordering systems, and robotic kitchen assistants require significant upfront investment. A 2024 Deloitte report estimates the cost of implementing AI-driven food prep technology ranges from $500,000 to over $2 million per location – an expense that could widen the gap between industry giants and smaller franchises.

QSRs are now walking a tightrope between customization and efficiency. Some are doubling down on AI to streamline operations, while others are setting boundaries on how much personalization they allow. The brands that strike the right balance will define the next era of fast food – one where convenience and choice must work in sync.

global-dining-trends

The Future of Hyper-Personalized Fast Food

The next wave of fast food will be shaped by technology and consumer demand for hyper-personalization. What was once a novelty is fast becoming the norm, with AI-driven pricing, predictive meal planning, and real-time nutrition tracking set to redefine how QSRs serve their customers.

Dynamic Pricing

Dynamic pricing, long used in airlines and hotels, is now entering fast food. AI-powered pricing models adjust costs in real-time based on demand, location, and even weather. A surge in lunchtime traffic? Expect a slight uptick in menu prices. A slow afternoon? Discounts might appear to draw in customers. The goal isn’t just profit – it’s about balancing kitchen efficiency and customer flow to avoid bottlenecks.

AI-Generated Meal Plans

AI-driven meal planning is changing how customers interact with fast food menus. Using past orders, dietary preferences, and budget constraints, algorithms can now recommend tailored meals in real time. Billionaire Marc Lore, through his company Wonder, is betting on AI-powered meal curation that personalizes menus to match individual needs. The result? A shift from one-size-fits-all offerings to menus that adapt to customers – not the other way around.

Personalized Nutrition Tracking

Nutrition-conscious consumers are demanding more than just quick meals – they want food that fits their health goals. fast food chains are tapping into this trend by linking menus to wearable tech and health apps, offering real-time meal recommendations based on calorie needs, macros, or fitness plans. By turning fast food into a data-driven dining experience, QSRs are positioning themselves as allies in personal wellness rather than just a convenient option.

Regulatory and Ethical Considerations

AI-powered personalization isn’t without controversy. With fast food chains collecting customer data to refine menus and pricing, concerns over privacy and data security are growing. The 2024 exposure of the WildChat dataset, which leaked sensitive AI interactions, highlighted the risks of poor data handling. If QSRs want consumers to embrace AI-driven dining, they must prove their systems are transparent, secure, and not exploiting personal data for profit.

AI-driven menus raise another concern – are they truly serving consumers, or just steering them toward higher-margin meals? Critics warn that AI could prioritize profits over nutrition, subtly pushing customers toward pricier, less healthy choices. Regulators are beginning to scrutinize how food brands deploy AI, with calls for transparency around algorithmic decision-making and whether recommendations serve the diner or the bottom line.

Empowering Consumers in the Age of Personalization

Fast food is no longer a one-size-fits-all industry. Consumers expect choices that reflect their health goals, ethical beliefs, and personal tastes – shifting from passive diners to active decision-makers. But with more power comes more risk. The industry must find a way to balance innovation with transparency, ensuring that personalization enhances, rather than exploits, the dining experience.

Stay ahead

Get regular insights

Keep up to date with the latest insights from our research as well as all our company news in our free monthly newsletter.

A billion people depend on India’s wheat harvests. What happens when the heat rises too fast for crops to survive?

Export bans. Soaring grain prices. A scramble for alternatives. Across Asia and beyond, food systems are under strain as extreme weather makes staple crops increasingly unpredictable. In response, scientists in China have developed drought-resistant rice to protect food security, yet consumer skepticism remains high. 

Meanwhile, in the US, biotech giants like Bayer and Syngenta are pushing climate-proof seeds, but supermarket shelves still prominently feature “Non-GMO” labels – proof that consumer hesitation lingers despite scientific advancements.

This paradox defines the future of food security. Climate change is upending agriculture at an unprecedented pace – longer droughts, erratic rainfall, and rising temperatures are cutting into global crop yields. In response, agribusinesses and research institutions are racing to develop climate-resilient crops that can withstand these harsh conditions. The science is advancing rapidly, but will consumers accept it in time?

The science behind genetically engineered crops is well-established, yet skepticism remains deeply entrenched. Public attitudes vary widely: China and India are ramping up biotech adoption to secure food supplies, while Japan and the UK remain resistant, prioritizing “natural” and organic labels. Meanwhile, Southeast Asia – a critical agricultural hub – faces a delicate balancing act, weighing the urgency of food security against long-standing cultural reservations about modified crops.

The question now is whether scientific innovation can outpace consumer skepticism. As extreme weather disrupts global food systems, climate-resilient crops could be the key to stabilizing agriculture. But will they gain mainstream acceptance in time, or will regulatory delays and public distrust slow their adoption? The outcome could determine whether the world’s farmers can keep feeding a growing population in an era of climate volatility.

The Climate Crisis Driving Innovation

Climate change is no longer a looming threat – it is already redrawing the global agricultural map. Farmers in some of the world’s most productive regions are contending with crippling droughts, unpredictable monsoons, and heat waves that arrive earlier and last longer. Yields are dropping, and supply chains are fraying. The stakes are high: without immediate adaptation, food security in major economies will be under serious threat within the next two decades.

Science has a solution – but can it scale fast enough? Researchers are developing crops that withstand floods, survive heat waves, and thrive in drought-stricken soil. Yet the challenge isn’t just in the lab. Getting these climate-resilient crops into the hands of farmers – before extreme weather renders existing varieties obsolete – is the real test.

The Data on Climate Impact on Agriculture

The warning signs are already here. In some of the world’s biggest agricultural hubs, extreme weather is slashing yields and reshaping the future of food production.

  • United States: The US Corn Belt, which supplies nearly a third of global corn exports, is in jeopardy. The USDA warns that by 2050, heat stress could cut corn yields by 30% – and in some areas, losses could reach 44%. California’s almond industry is already feeling the strain, with water shortages forcing growers to abandon thousands of acres of orchards.
  • Asia: Rice, the staple for more than half the world’s population, is under direct threat. FAO projections show that by 2050, rice yields across Asia could fall by 15% due to rising temperatures and unpredictable monsoons. Thailand and Vietnam – two of the world’s biggest rice exporters – are already struggling with prolonged droughts, shaking global supply chains.
  • Indonesia and the Philippines: Archipelagic nations like Indonesia and the Philippines aren’t just battling drought – they’re losing farmland to the sea. Salinization is creeping inland, making traditional rice paddies unviable. Farmers are being forced to pivot to salt-tolerant and flood-resistant varieties, but adaptation is slow.
  • Singapore: As a nation that imports more than 90% of its food, Singapore is acutely vulnerable to agricultural disruptions. To counter this, it is betting on vertical farms and gene-edited crops as a way to build a more self-sufficient food supply.

The Urgency for Climate-Resilient Crops

As climate extremes intensify, scientists are in a race against time to engineer crops that can survive the chaos. Governments and research institutions are doubling down on drought-proof wheat, flood-resistant rice, and heat-tolerant corn – hoping to keep food supplies stable in an increasingly unpredictable world.

  • China: In the country’s northern plains, farmland is turning to dust. Desertification is creeping southward, threatening wheat and rice yields in one of the world’s biggest food producers. In response, China is fast-tracking drought-resistant crop trials, hoping to shore up food security before harvests take a major hit.
  • Indonesia: Rice paddies are drowning. Every year, typhoons and monsoon floods submerge vast swathes of farmland, wiping out crops overnight. Now, the government is betting on submergence-resistant rice – strains designed to survive weeks underwater. If successful, these biotech varieties could become a lifeline for Southeast Asia’s most populous nation.
  • Singapore: In a city where farmland is scarce, food security is a growing concern. The island nation imports more than 90% of its food, leaving it vulnerable to supply chain shocks. To counter this, Singapore is betting on gene-edited crops and vertical farms, pushing the boundaries of high-tech agriculture. The government’s 30 by 30 initiative is a bold attempt to produce 30% of the country’s nutritional needs locally by 2030 – a challenge for a nation where skyscrapers vastly outnumber fields.

The science is clear – climate change is moving faster than agriculture can adapt. Farmers are already struggling to keep up. The real battle now isn’t just about innovation – it’s about trust. Will policymakers and the public embrace the science in time to prevent a global food crisis?

The Science Behind Climate-Resilient Crops

The fight to secure the future of food is happening in laboratories as much as in fields. As rising temperatures, droughts, and erratic weather threaten global harvests, scientists are engineering crops that can survive extreme conditions. But not all solutions are the same – some rely on age-old techniques, while others push the boundaries of genetic science.

GMOs vs. CRISPR vs. Selective Breeding: What’s the Difference?

  • Genetically Modified Organisms (GMOs): This approach involves inserting foreign DNA into a plant’s genome to introduce traits that wouldn’t naturally occur. The most well-known example is Bt corn, which carries a gene from the soil bacterium Bacillus thuringiensis – allowing it to produce a protein lethal to insect pests but harmless to humans. Despite widespread use, GMOs remain a flashpoint of debate, with critics raising concerns over long-term ecological impact and corporate control of seeds.
  • CRISPR (Clustered Regularly Interspaced Short Palindromic Repeats): A revolution in genetic science, CRISPR offers a scalpel-like precision compared to the blunt instrument of traditional GMOs. Instead of inserting foreign DNA, this gene-editing tool allows scientists to modify a plant’s own genes, enhancing traits like drought resistance or disease immunity without introducing external genetic material. Because CRISPR mimics natural mutations, regulators in countries like Japan and the UK are moving to fast-track approvals, arguing it is closer to selective breeding than traditional genetic modification.
  • Selective Breeding: The oldest agricultural tool in human history, selective breeding has shaped the crops we eat today – from sweeter apples to drought-hardy wheat. Farmers crossbreed plants with favorable traits over multiple generations, slowly refining resilience, flavor, and yield. But in a world where climate change is accelerating, this slow, incremental process may no longer be enough. Unlike CRISPR or GMOs, selective breeding is constrained by what exists in nature, limiting how quickly crops can adapt to rising temperatures and shifting rainfall patterns.

Golden Rice: A Case Study in Asia

A bowl of rice can mean the difference between sight and blindness. In parts of Asia, where rice is a staple but diets lack essential nutrients, millions of children suffer from vitamin A deficiency (VAD), a condition that can cause blindness and even death. Enter Golden Rice – a genetically engineered grain designed to deliver life-saving nutrients to those who need them most. But despite its promise, this crop has spent more time in policy debates than in the hands of farmers.

In the 1990s, scientists Ingo Potrykus and Peter Beyer set out to solve a deadly problem – how to infuse rice, the primary food source for billions, with a nutrient that could save lives. Their solution: Golden Rice, a genetically modified variety engineered to produce beta-carotene, the precursor to vitamin A. Its distinctive golden hue isn’t just for show – it’s a sign that the grain carries the potential to prevent blindness and child mortality across Asia.

But Golden Rice’s journey from lab to field has been anything but smooth. Activists have torched test plots, anti-GMO campaigns have labeled it “Frankenfood,” and bureaucratic red tape has stalled its approval for years. While scientists hail it as a game-changer for nutrition, critics argue that it opens the door to greater corporate control of the food system and unknown environmental risks. The question remains: is the world ready to accept a genetically engineered solution to malnutrition?

After two decades of political battles and scientific trials, Golden Rice has finally reached farmers’ fields. In 2021, the Philippines became the first country to approve it for commercial cultivation, marking a milestone in the fight against malnutrition. Other nations, including Bangladesh and India, are still weighing its adoption. But even with regulatory green lights, the biggest hurdle remains: Will consumers embrace it?

Science alone won’t decide the fate of Golden Rice – trust will. Dr. Adrian Dubock, one of its leading advocates, believes acceptance hinges on education and transparency. “The successful deployment of biofortified crops like Golden Rice depends not only on scientific innovation but also on building public trust,” he says. That trust, however, has been decades in the making – and is still far from guaranteed.

The Global Divide on Consumer Trust

A technology that can feed the world is also one of the most divisive. While some countries champion biotechnology as the future of farming, others reject it outright, driven by deep-seated cultural beliefs, political decisions, and misinformation. The result? A fractured global food system, where scientific breakthroughs face vastly different levels of consumer acceptance – shaping everything from government policy to supermarket shelves.

Consumer Perception Across Key Markets

  • United States: Once a battleground for GMO opposition, the US is slowly shifting toward acceptance. A 2020 Pew Research Center survey found that 27% of Americans believe GMOs are safe to eat, while 38% consider them unsafe. Yet, old fears die hard. Supermarket aisles are still packed with “non-GMO” labels, even on foods that have no genetically modified equivalent – more a marketing strategy than a scientific necessity.
  • China: The government wants biotech crops, but the people remain unconvinced. A 2023 China Agricultural University study found that 55% of Chinese consumers still oppose eating GM foods, citing safety concerns and deep distrust of corporate-controlled agriculture. Yet Beijing isn’t waiting for public sentiment to change. By classifying CRISPR-edited crops as “precision breeding” rather than genetic modification, regulators are pushing forward with gene-edited agriculture – betting that branding will make all the difference.
  • India: Farmers embrace GM crops. Consumers reject them. The divide couldn’t be clearer. While Indian farmers widely cultivate pest-resistant genetically modified cotton, a Statista survey found that 45% of Indian consumers actively avoid GM foods, citing fears of health risks. Despite this, the government is inching toward approving GM mustard – a decision that has sparked protests and political infighting.
  • Japan and the United Kingdom: Few places are more resistant to biotech foods than Japan and the UK. In Japan, over 70% of consumers favor “natural” labels, and government restrictions on GMOs remain among the toughest in the world. The UK, meanwhile, has begun rethinking its stance post-Brexit, with officials debating whether gene-edited crops should be regulated separately from traditional GMOs. But consumer sentiment hasn’t caught up to policy changes – demand for organic and non-GMO options remains strong.
  • Southeast Asia: A region caught between food security concerns and biotech skepticism. The Philippines made history as the first nation to approve Golden Rice, but protests from anti-GMO activists have slowed its rollout. In Indonesia and Thailand, gene-edited crops are being tested, but public skepticism keeps governments cautious. Meanwhile, Singapore – a leader in agritech – is moving ahead with lab-grown and gene-edited foods, though consumer acceptance remains uncertain.

The Role of Misinformation in Fueling Skepticism

Fear spreads faster than facts. Nowhere is this more evident than in the debate over genetically modified foods. Social media has supercharged public skepticism, fueling viral claims about “Frankenfoods” and exaggerated health risks. A recent study in Nature Food found that misinformation about GMOs spreads six times faster than science-backed evidence – giving fear an outsized influence on consumer perception.

“The future of billions of people literally depends on changing the narrative about how we view genetically modified food and genetic technologies,” says Professor Ian Godwin, a plant geneticist at the University of Queensland. “Misinformation has distorted public perception, and we need to refocus the conversation on science, safety, and the role of biotechnology in food security.”

The real challenge isn’t just growing climate-resilient crops – it’s convincing consumers to accept them. With climate change straining global food supplies, the gap between scientific innovation and public perception has never been wider. If biotech crops are to help feed the future, winning public trust may matter just as much as the next agricultural breakthrough.

dining-personas

The Industry’s Strategy to Win Over Consumers

Science is on one side. Public opinion is on the other. Despite overwhelming evidence that genetically engineered crops are safe, skepticism remains one of the biggest hurdles to widespread acceptance. In response, the biotech industry is rethinking its messaging – rebranding GMOs, influencing regulations, and tapping into behavioral science to shift consumer sentiment.

How Food Companies Are Rebranding GMOs and Gene-Editing

The term “GMO” has become a branding disaster. Decades of fear-based messaging have turned it into a red flag for many consumers, prompting biotech firms to distance themselves from the label altogether. Now, companies and policymakers are rewriting the language of genetic innovation – betting that new terminology will reshape public perception.

The new labels sound less like science and more like sustainability slogans:

  • “Precision Breeding” – the UK’s preferred term, positioning gene-edited crops as an extension of traditional breeding rather than genetic modification.
  • “Climate-Smart Crops” – a phrase gaining traction, emphasizing the role of biotech in reducing agriculture’s environmental footprint.
  • “Next-Gen Agriculture” – used by industry giants like Bayer and Syngenta to make gene editing sound more futuristic and consumer-friendly.

But this isn’t just a marketing play – it’s a regulatory strategy. In countries like China and the UK, policymakers are reclassifying CRISPR-edited crops as something separate from GMOs, making them easier to approve and less likely to spark consumer backlash. The distinction matters: if gene editing is seen as “breeding” rather than “modification,” it faces fewer restrictions – and far less public scrutiny.

Corporate Investments in Gene-Edited Foods

The race to secure climate-resilient crops isn’t just happening in labs – it’s now a boardroom priority. Major food corporations are pouring millions into biotech investments, betting that gene-edited foods will protect their supply chains from climate shocks and shifting consumer demands.

  • Nestlé is backing CRISPR-edited coffee beans that can survive rising temperatures without losing flavor or yield – an urgent investment as climate change threatens global coffee production.
  • Unilever has teamed up with agritech firms to develop gene-edited oilseed crops, positioning gene-editing as a tool to make plant-based foods more sustainable.
  • PepsiCo is investing in drought-resistant potato strains, aiming to reduce the environmental footprint of its global snack empire.

These corporate bets aren’t just about innovation – they’re about survival. As extreme weather upends agriculture, food giants are moving to insulate their supply chains before climate disruption hits their bottom line.

Can Branding Change the Narrative?

Rebranding genetically modified organisms (GMOs) can influence public perception, but it doesn’t alter the underlying realities. Behavioral science indicates that consumer trust is built through education and transparency, not just terminology shifts. A 2022 study by the European Food Safety Authority found that consumers were 40% more likely to accept gene-edited foods when provided with clear, science-backed explanations of their benefits.

Dr. Kevin Folta, a plant scientist at the University of Florida, emphasizes the importance of clear communication: “Stop using ‘GMO.’ It is imprecise. Everything not arising as a clone is genetically modified from previous forms.”

The future of food isn’t just about innovation – it’s about persuasion. As climate pressures mount and global food demand rises, gaining consumer trust is essential for genetic breakthroughs to reach their full potential. The stakes extend beyond corporate profits; they encompass the future of global food security.

The Future of Climate-Resilient Crops

The future of food is being rewritten – one policy, one investment, and one breakthrough at a time. As climate change threatens global food systems, governments are redrawing the regulatory landscape for genetically modified and gene-edited crops. Some nations are fast-tracking approvals to ensure food security, while others remain trapped in political and public pushback. Meanwhile, agritech startups are seeing an influx of capital, and carbon markets are emerging as unexpected drivers of sustainable agriculture. The question is no longer if biotech crops will play a role in feeding the future, but how quickly they will be embraced.

How Governments Are Handling Biotech Crops

China is breaking its long-standing GMO hesitation – and food security is the reason. In late 2023, the government greenlit commercial planting of gene-edited soybeans and corn, a major policy shift for the world’s largest food importer. Officials have positioned the move as an economic and strategic necessity – designed to cut reliance on foreign seed technology, boost domestic yields, and protect China’s food supply from worsening climate volatility.

India remains deeply divided on biotech crops. While farmers champion genetic innovation as key to improving yields, environmental groups continue to push back against its expansion. The Supreme Court is now weighing a landmark case on GM mustard, a ruling that could set the tone for future biotech approvals. Farmers argue that modified crops are critical to boosting productivity, but critics warn of corporate seed monopolies and environmental fallout. Despite the deadlock, India has already embraced GM cotton – the question is whether food crops will be next.

Post-Brexit, the UK is embracing biotech in a way the EU never did. In 2023, lawmakers fast-tracked the Genetic Technology (Precision Breeding) Act, slashing EU-era restrictions and making Britain a testing ground for gene-edited agriculture. Officials argue that CRISPR crops should not be lumped together with traditional GMOs – a move designed to attract investment in gene-edited wheat, oilseeds, and climate-resilient fruits. With fewer regulatory hurdles, the UK is positioning itself as a biotech leader in Europe.

Southeast Asia is turning to biotech and urban farming to secure its food future. Singapore is leading the charge with its “30 by 30” initiative, investing heavily in vertical farming and gene-edited crops to meet 30% of its nutritional needs domestically by 2030. Indonesia, meanwhile, is channeling capital into agritech startups focused on climate-resilient crops – but policymakers remain wary of fully legalizing GMOs. The region’s approach reflects a balancing act between food security and public caution.

Investment Trends in Biotech Agriculture

Biotech investment is no longer a niche bet – it’s a global race. As climate volatility disrupts food production, investors are pouring capital into agricultural biotechnology, betting that genetic innovation will be the key to long-term food security. The global agri-biotech market is projected to hit $104 billion by 2030, fueled by demand for climate-smart crops, precision breeding, and gene-editing breakthroughs.

Venture capital is chasing the next frontier in food tech: gene-editing. Unlike traditional GMOs, CRISPR-edited crops face fewer regulatory hurdles, making them a safer bet for investors. Startups like Tropic Biosciences, Pairwise, and Inari Agriculture have secured major funding rounds, developing crops such as fungus-resistant coffee and nutrient-enhanced leafy greens. The appeal is clear – gene-edited foods promise climate resilience without the regulatory baggage of older biotech crops.

The Role of Carbon Markets in Driving Adoption

The future of biotech crops could be shaped by an unlikely force: carbon markets. Indonesia and Vietnam are rolling out carbon credit initiatives that reward farmers for adopting regenerative agriculture practices – including biotech crops that boost soil health and reduce chemical inputs. If these incentives take off, farmers could be financially rewarded for planting gene-edited crops that sequester carbon, use less water, or cut fertilizer reliance. This shift could turn biotech adoption into not just an environmental decision, but an economic one.

Biotech crops are no longer just a scientific breakthrough – they are becoming an economic and political necessity. The intersection of government policy, venture capital, and sustainability incentives is redefining agriculture, with gene-edited crops at the center of the debate. While regulatory fights continue, one thing is clear: the success of biotech crops won’t be decided in labs – it will be decided by farmers, investors, and consumers.

The Race Between Innovation and Acceptance

Climate change isn’t waiting for regulatory approvals or consumer sentiment to catch up. Extreme weather is already reducing global crop yields, disrupting supply chains, and putting food security at risk in regions dependent on staple crops like wheat, rice, and corn. Scientists are engineering solutions, policymakers are reshaping regulations, and agribusinesses are scaling up climate-resilient crops – but none of it matters if regulatory roadblocks and consumer hesitancy delay adoption.

Some nations are moving forward. China and the UK are accelerating approvals for gene-edited crops, while India and Southeast Asia remain caught between the urgency of food security and deep-rooted public hesitation. The industry has rebranded, investors are funneling billions into biotech, and breakthroughs have produced crops that can withstand extreme heat, require less water, and resist disease.

For climate-resilient crops to reach their potential, three critical shifts must take place:

  • Public education must dismantle outdated GMO fears – moving beyond decades-old misconceptions and clearly explaining how modern gene editing differs.
  • Companies must change how they communicate biotech benefits – focusing on sustainability and nutrition rather than technical jargon that alienates consumers.
  • Regulators must find a balance between public trust and innovation – streamlining approvals without ignoring consumer concerns.

The future of food security won’t be decided in labs – it will be decided in grocery aisles, political chambers, and consumer conversations. The race between scientific progress and public acceptance will determine whether climate-resilient crops become a global necessity – or a solution that came too late.

Stay ahead

Get regular insights

Keep up to date with the latest insights from our research as well as all our company news in our free monthly newsletter.